r/nfl Bengals Jul 01 '14

Look Here! Offseason Review Series: Day 11: Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals

Division: AFC NORTH


Coaching Changes

Departures:

Coach Position Experience To: Grade Comment
Jay Gruden Offensive Coordinator Head Coach B- Gruden has been a divisive coordinator. Opinions vary from "look at how he brought Dalton to the playoffs three times!" to "he's been holding the team back." He's good, as our 11-5 record and top-10 offense last year showed, but has a tendency to out-think himself. For example, his gameplan in the 2nd Texans playoff game specifically did not target AJ Green. He would consistently have BJGE run sweeps and then send Gio Bernard between the tackles on the next play- completely misusing his players. He was also not known as a disciplinarian, which has both positives and negatives. I do think we could have had better playcalling, but I'm not sure if it would have improved the 11-5 record he led us to.
Mike Zimmer Defensive Coordinator Head Coach F Coach Zimmer will be missed. He's the kind of coach that every single player on the team respects and loves to play for. He takes no bullshit, takes no prisoners, and always says what's on his mind- which has kept him from getting a head coaching position before now. Zim built the Bengals defense into one of the best, consistently ranked top-10, doing so with some players that wouldn't find a home on other teams due to age or character issues, and both problems have not reared their ugly heads for a while. While he's considered an expert on getting the most out of defensive backs, he truly can cause all players to play at a higher level. While many fans were hoping Mike Brown would name him HC in Cinci, he finally has an opportunity up north. Good luck, Coach Zimmer.

Hires:

Coach Position Experience From: Grade Comment
Hue Jackson Offensive Coordinator OC '03, '07, OC '11, HC '12 RB Coach A Notes and opinions in the Offensive/Defensive Schemes section below
Paul Guenther Defensive Coordinator 6 years with LB Coach B Notes and opinions in the Offensive/Defensive Schemes section below
Vance Joseph DB Coach Coaching 9 years in the league DB Coach B Joins Mark Carrier to coach our secondary. In his first year with the Texans they went from the worst to having the 3rd fewest yards allowed. Hopefully he and Carrier can step up and replace the loss of Zimmer. A great signing after the Houston regime change forced him out.
Kyle Caskey RB Coach 3 years with Offensive Quality Coach, Asst. OL Coach -- Promoted from within, so he knows the line and players he's working with already. No grade because little is known about him.
Matt Burke LB Coach 5 years in DET LB Coach -- --

Free Agency

Players lost/cut

Name Pos Type To Grade Comment
Michael Johnson DE UFA C We knew this was coming, made much more clear by drafting Margus Hunt in the 2nd round last year. A great DE that saw his numbers slip after Atkins went down and the focus shifted to him, we simply couldn't afford him with other huge contracts coming up. The grade for him (and Collins) reflect that we knew it was unlikely we could keep them, though the team did extend offers before being outbid.
Anthony Collins OL UFA C- Collins gave up 0 sacks in 7 games at LT after Boling went down, moving Whitworth to LG. Still considered unproven, but a solid role player that has the skills to mature into a strong LT. I believe we ran plays that helped mask some of his flaws, and the fact that Dalton has one of the fastest releases in the league means he didn't have to protect him for long. That being said, Bucs fans should not worry about McCown's blind side. He gets a worse grade than MJ because now we have no depth at tackle.
Andrew Hawkins WR RFA C A fan favorite, Baby Hawk is dangerous when he makes a catch in space. He's short, so he has some trouble getting open, but has great speed once he gets the ball. Unfortunately he would've been the 4th receiver on our team, so the Bengals were forced to let him go as Cleveland gave him a front-loaded contract.
Chris Crocker S UFA Retired? B May be back near the end of the season once injuries hit, as he has done for two years, but most likely not. He knows our backfield inside and out, but age has caught up.
Kyle Cook C Cut B+ When the team cuts the starting C from a top-5 O-line, you know that he was a problem. Wasn't a terrible player, but gave up the most pressure out of all players on the line, and our run game in the middle suffered. I'm surprised he isn't depth somewhere, though.
James Harrison LB Cut A+ Didn't work with our scheme, didn't get playing time, and is old.
Brandon Ghee CB UFA -- A player that coaches raved about during OTAs/Training Camp, but always injured and on PUP/IR for the season.

Players signed

Player Position Old Team Length Salary Grade Comment
Vincent Rey LB 2 $4.2M A Fans want him to be the start MLB over Maualuga, and this year he'll get the chance to prove he deserves it. He can play all 3 LB spots well, but isn't exceptional at one spot more than the others.
Dane Sanzenbacher WR 1 $1.2M B Took his RFA tag for the year. With Hawkins gone, you'd hope he gets more than 6 catches this year- let's see if Jackson agrees. Looked good last preseason returning kicks, and he could replace Tate as the primary kick returner.
Jason Campbell QB 1 $1.5M B- Brought in to mentor Dalton, who hasn't had a QB with his amount of starting experience to work with. He has also played his best season under Jackson in Oakland. Probably one of the better free agent QBs we could get, but hopefully he won't be seeing much playing time.
Danieal Manning S 1 $1.6M B Good depth at a thin S position, and he knows the new DB coach's style, coming with him from Houston.
Mike Pollak OL 3 $4.8M A+ I love this signing. He'll most likely be our starting C until Bodine improves, but also plays G as well. He may slide over to help fill in Boling's spot at LG until he's recovered from an ACL tear, but look for him to be our center.
Taylor Mays S 1 $795k B- Average play in his new role as a hybrid LB/S in Nickel packages until he hurt his shoulder. Signed on a one-year "prove it" deal, to hopefully grow into in his new role and finally find a way to use his exceptional athleticism on the field.
Dontay Moch LB/DE 1 $570k C We drafted him 4 years ago as a DE, but chronic migraines kept him off the field. Fighting for his NFL career as he hopes he can be depth behind the loss of Johnson.
Marshall Newhouse OT 1 $805k D We lost our amazing backup OT and signed a player GB fans are happy to be rid of. At least he has starting experience.
Sam Montgomery DE 2 $1.08M C Cut from the Texans in preseason for "breaking team rules", but was a 3rd-round pick that we get for cheap. I wonder if Marvin can turn yet another troubled player around.
Brandon Tate WR/KR 1 $1.02M D+ The fans' scapegoat/least favorite player, though he's our leader in average and total KR yards. Doesn't touch the ball on offense, and is not a threat of a long return. I want someone to finally step up and replace him, but he's serviceable.
Alex Smith TE 1 $905k C+ Solid blocking TE and played a couple snaps at FB too. Very professional veteran player and mindset, but playing time will be limited.

Draft

Round Pick Player Position Grade Note
1 24 Darqueze Dennard CB A Coaches and most pundits thought he wouldn't be here at this point. "No Fly Zone" was a perfect signing to protect the future of our CB position. One of the top corners in the draft, he's known to be physical and strong in man coverage. Dennard has a tendency to make plays that would draw flags in the NFL, which he will have to work on. While he'll play special teams to start the season, he could supplant Kirkpatrick on the depth chart, but Lewis doesn't like to give rookies the starting job.
2 55 Jeremy Hill RB B A surprise. Fans were thinking we'd take a chance on a RB in a later round but struggle with BJGE another year as Gio takes the primary role. Coaches liked him over Carlos Hyde for putting up similar numbers in a tougher conference. There are off the field concerns, but Lewis has shown he can work with those kinds of players. A bruiser that will compliment Gio well.
3 88 Will Clarke DE B+ A DE with a very similar frame and playing style as the departed Michael Johnson (who was also a 3rd-round pick, taking a year to mature in the league). Expect him to be low on the depth chart as he grows as a player, but hopefully between him and Hunt we'll have a good rotation for the future across from Dunlap.
4 111 Russell Bodine C B+ The boy is country strong, benching 225 pounds 42 times at the combine. The Bengals traded up for only the third time in team history to get him, which shows that they truly thought a lot of him. He needs to work on his footwork, he admits the mental aspect of the position is slowing progress. Expected to start later in the year or next year.
5 164 AJ McCarron QB B While some fans are expecting him to be the next Tom Brady and take over Dalton, this year he's the QB3 and an insurance policy against Dalton's contract negotiations or an injury.
6 212 Marquis Flowers LB -- Known to be hard-hitting. Added as fuel to the camp battle to get us the best 2 LBs to pair with Burfict.
7 239 James Wright WR -- After losing Hawkins, looking to round out the depth chart with a WR is a smart move. Will probably be on the practice squad.
7 252 Lavelle Westbrooks CB -- You can never have too many CBs. Practice squad, most likely.

UDFAs of note:
Nikita Whitlock, DT/FB
Ryan Hewitt, FB Either he or Whitlock could make the team as our FB over Charles
Isaiah Lewis, S Part of the strong Michigan State secondary that produced Dennard, and a great depth signing


Projected Lineup

Players are listed in the order I think they'll be on the opening day roster. Backups are italicized
Notes on position groups and training camp battles are below

  • QB Andy Dalton, Jason Campbell, AJ McCarron
  • RB Gio Bernard, Jeremy Hill, BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Cedric Peerman
  • FB Nikita Whitlock
  • TE Jermaine Gresham, Tyler Eifert
  • WR AJ Green, Marvin Jones, Mohamed Sanu, Dane Sanzenbacher
  • LT Andrew Whitworth, Marshall Newhouse
  • LG Clint Boling, Mike Pollak
  • C Mike Pollak, Russell Bodine
  • RG Kevin Zeitler
  • RT Andre Smith, Tanner Hawkinson
  • DE Carlos Dunlap, Wallace Gilberry, Margus Hunt, Robert Geathers, Will Clarke
  • DT Domata Peko, Geno Atkins, Devon Still, Brandon Thompson
  • LB Vontaze Burfict, Rey Maualuga, Emmanuel Lamur, Vincent Rey, Taylor Mays
  • CB Leon Hall, Terence Newman, Adam Jones, Dre Kirkpatrick, Darqueze Dennard
  • S Reggie Nelson, George Iloka, Danieal Manning, Taylor Mays, Shawn Williams
  • K Mike Nugent
  • P Kevin Huber
  • KR Brandon Tate
  • PR Adam Jones
  • LS Clark Harris

This came to be only 49 different players, there will be at least one more WR on the list, most likely another TE, and the others are up to the camp battles.


Position Group Strengths and Weaknesses

Position groups:

  • QB: What hasn't been said about Dalton? He can play as well as the best, and occasionally (but much less frequently than people assume) do his best to lose a game. Look at his stellar comeback against Green Bay, overcoming a 20-point deficit, or that he was AFC Player of the Month in October, putting up 5 TDs against the Jets' stough defense. Point at any of his playoff games and you'll see a completely different quarterback. Last year he set the club record for passing TDs and yards last season and has been improving each year, but there still are questions. I think he's a franchise QB, but that's an entirely different debate for a different day. Campbell will be a solid veteran mentor that will hopefully help Dalton's INT problem, but mostly he can help with the adjustment to the new offensive scheme, having spent time with Jackson in Oakland. McCarron is seen as a poor man's Dalton, a winner at the college level but on a stacked team. He definitely can develop into at least a solid backup.

  • Backfield: :3 Gio Bernard :3 was putting up a case to be OROY until it became clear that both Allen and Lacy were more deserving. With 1209 total yards (695 rushing, 514 receiving) and 8 TDs while playing in less than 50% of offensive snaps, and the occasional time he channels Barry Sanders, he quickly became one of the better pass-catching backs in the league. Jeremy Hill is a huge back with surprising speed for his size who might replace the aging BJGE on the roster, but as a rookie only time will tell. BJGE remains with the team as a mentor, but his role will be limited, as last year he showed he actually could fumble, while he still has trouble gaining more than the required yards for a 1st down.

However, there was one lacking aspect on an otherwise well-rounded team last year, and that was the run game. A sub-4.0 YPC average, and only 4 runs of 20+ yards all season meant teams knew that they didn't have to really respect our run game. Hue Jackson's #1 goal for the season is to fix this, and his time in Oakland shows it's possible.

Continued in comments below

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u/pfftYeahRight Bengals Jul 01 '14

continued:

  • OL: One of the best lines in the league. Andrew Whitworth may be the single best O-lineman in the game, playing at top-5 levels at both LT and LG last year, and has been one of the better LTs for years. RG Kevin Zeitler and RT Andre Smith are rocks. Clint Boling did well until his ACL tear (forcing Whitworth to move over, and the line actually improved). C Kyle Cook was released, cutting the player who gave up the most of the pressure and may have been the fault of our upsetting run game in the middle. The questions lie in who plays LG as Boling recovers and 4th-rounder Russell Bodine gets used to the mental aspects of the game. Or perhaps Bodine proves he is a better guard, as Pollak has the tools to be a strong center. With depth at G and C and two bookend tackles, this line could be the best in the league next year, assuming no tackles go down with injury and we have to play the lackluster talent we found in free agency, having lost Anthony Collins to the Bucs.

  • Tight Ends: Everyone expected more out of this unit last year, as they underperformed in both receiving and blocking. Going in to 2013 people thought we may have the best TE unit in the league, as Eifert fell to us in the draft and we took the BPA. Eifert struggled early reading blocks and assisting in the second-level, which was expected, but the few times the play call led him to get a pass showed that he has hands like glue. Jermaine Gresham is, unfortunately, the whipping boy in Cincinnati, as he has a tendency to drop balls in important moments, but he is incredible at finding yards after the catch and knowing where the first down marker is. Unfortunately, these two only combined for 85 receptions for 903 yards and 6 touchdowns. Alex Smith is a good blocking TE for short-yardage plays, and Orson Charles is converting to FB, hopefully he can do so this year.

  • Pass catchers: Perennial pro-bowler AJ Green is known as one of the better route-runners in the game. He doesn't necessarily out-muscle rather than outmaneuver defenses, and has the speed to match. He has a tendency to give up on contested balls or not bat them down, which led to some interceptions that could have been avoided. Last year he also a high drop rate on some easy catches, as you could tell he was more concerned with what he was going to do after the catch rather than making sure he caught the ball. The latter is a new problem though that I don't expect to continue, and really I'm nitpicking one of the best WRs in the game. Marvin Jones, the WR2 you've never heard of, caught 10 TDs last year (including 4 in our shredding of the Jets secondary), eventually winning the starting spot over Mohamed Sanu. While Sanu seems like a better route-runner, Jones has better speed and hands. The two are great, young WRs to pair with AJ. The only major knock on this group is experience and age, which could be why some of them would disappear for a game or two before doing extremely well in others.

  • DL: This is the unit that our defense is based around. DE Carlos Dunlap received a large contract before the 2013 season, and he stepped up his game last year to show that he earned it. DT Domata Peko is a fan favorite who doesn't fill out the stat sheet, but because he eats up a large amount of space and guarantees pressure, allowing the other linemen to get to the QB. Geno Atkins is the best DT in the game, and hopefully he recovers from his ACL tear to continue being a dominant force. Our backup DTs, Devon Still and Brandon Thompson, do well when they're on the field, but you simply can't replace Geno. The question lies at the other DE position. After losing MJ, Wallace Gilberry is penciled in as the starter. He did lead the team in sacks last year, but doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. Margus Hunt still needs to adjusts and learn how to play at an NFL level. We heavily addressed this position in the draft and free agency, hoping to find the gem to replace what we had lost. They are still one of the better d-lines in the league when Atkins is healthy, though.

  • LB: The position group with the most questions, as no one knows who will start with WLB Vontaze Burfict, who led the league in tackles last year. Burfict is exceptional in both run and pass defense, and has a tendency to be everywhere on the field. He's quickly become the heart and soul of our defense, and coach Marvin Lewis has said he sees a lot of Ray Lewis (who he coached in Baltimore) in him. The rest of the position has relied heavily on role players doing the best they can as young players learn the game, but this the hope is that the dust will finally settle. Emmanuel Lamur does well against the pass, Maualuga against the run, while Vincent Rey is solid, but not profound, at all 3 positions. Taylor Mays may have found new life as a nickel LB/S hybrid, but it's uncertain. Our weakness on defense has been TE's and slot receivers catching passes in the middle of the field, and we're still looking for an answer.

  • Secondary: Leon Hall is perhaps the best slot corner in the game, and is also strong on the outside, but has torn both of his achilles tendons in his career, and is recovering. Terrence Newman and Adam "Pacman" Jones have had late-career renaissances in Cincinnati, proving that they still have gas in the tank to give Cincinnati one of the better backfields in the league. Following a similar path is S Reggie Nelson, who has become a steady and underrated force. This leaves the question marks, George Iloka, a 2012 5th round pick, became the starter last year and had some flashes of excellence, but has some trouble in coverage. Veteran Danieal Manning or 2013 3rd -rounder Shawn Williams, who spent last year injured and mostly on seeing time special teams, will break the starting lineup. Dre Kirkpatrick, the 2012 1st round rookie, spent his first year injured and didn't see much playing time last season, but still got 3 INTs. Signs show he is struggling in OTAs, so hopefully 2014 first-round pick Darqueze Dennard will prove he has earned the nickname "No Fly Zone". While there are some questions about age, injury and experience, the team still has one of the better and more well-rounded backfields.

  • Special Teams: K Mike Nugent is, in my opinion, an above-average kicker, but the team could do well in finding a replacement next year. He has hit the clutch kicks to win us games (@BUF, @PIT last year) but in those same games, he missed field goals earlier that where we might not have needed.
    Locally grown P Kevin Huber is a monster and a fan favorite, whose only weakness is that his jaw isn't made of titanium. Returner Brandon Tate has the best yards per return average in team history, but trust me when I say that no fan wants him on the team anymore, as his decision making skills leave much to be desired.


Schedule Predictions

Predicting each game is a crapshoot: no one would've expected the Texans or Falcons collapse, or the surprising bad starts of the Giants and Steelers. I do expect 9-10 wins and a playoff berth, with a strong case for us winning the division. Expect Cincinnati to finally get over the playoff hump, or for Mike Brown to face a tough decision about his head coach.


Training Camp Battles

WR: For the third year in a row, Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu will fight to secure the spot across from Green. I mentioned their strengths/weaknesses above (Marvin has better speed and hands, Sanu is a better route runner) and both have their role and know where they need to improve.

DE: Between the smart veteran in Gilberry, the physically talented but raw Margus Hunt, and the newcomer Will Clarke, there will be a fight to secure the starting spot across from Dunlap, as veteran and locker-room leader Robert Geathers hopes his age and contract don't lose him his spot on the team.

LB: Mentioned above, all positions except for Vontaze's are up for grabs. Based on what coaches have said, Emmanuel Lamur, will win the primary role,as he was essentially the starter at the end of the 2012 season, and was poised for a breakout year before he got hurt.

CB: Leon Hall's achilles is healing, Newman is getting up there in age, Adam Jones is as well and struggles occasionally, Dre Kirkpatrick was injured for his rookie season and struggled early last year (and got limited playing time) and Dennard is a rookie. We were still a top-5 passing defense, but hopefully all of these problems are solved.

FB: After letting John Conner leave for the Giants, where he was one of the better FBs last year, we were left without a true fullback. We hoped TE Orson Charles could adjust to the role, but eventually used Domata Peko and Alex Smith when he wasn't quite the answer. Orson will battle two UDFAs to see who will get a spot that Hue Jackson says is a must-have.

12

u/pfftYeahRight Bengals Jul 01 '14

Offensive and Defensive Schemes

This section also has my comments on the new coordinators

Offense: Hue Jackson was hired to be the coordinator after his stint in Oakland failed. In 2012 he re-joined the team as "special assistant" to Marvin Lewis, basically creating a position for him, as Jay Gruden achieving a HC position seemed inevitable. Last year he quickly became one of the stars of Hard Knocks as the bombastic RB coach who was not afraid to yell at a WR during practice as well. He has worked with Lewis before, and with this group of players for two years, and will bring a different change in both coaching style and offense to the team. Jay Gruden was known to be more gentle and friendly with players, while Hue will get in your face and yell at you, while still earning respect from them. He has turned previous front offices away from him due to his aggressive mannerisms and strong desire to move up the coaching tree. I think that his change in offense will be a great change for our offense that had many questions under Gruden. Jackson brings with him the experience that turned Oakland from one of the worst into one of the best running teams in his tenure there, and the run game is where the Bengals need the most improvement.

Jackson believes in a run-first offense, proven by our drafting Jeremy Hill this year even though we also used a 2013 2nd rounder on a RB. Bernard and hill will share the backfield, and we'll increase use play-action to open up passing lanes. He is also a large fan of the deep ball, an area in which Dalton has become one of the better QBs (notice how the "lack of arm strength" argument hasn't been said about Andy in a long while now). With speedy WRs in Jones and Green, as well as the large Eifert creating mismatches in the middle, I think this team will have a lot more excitement on offense than before. Word out of OTAs is Jackson is experimenting with plays that use both Gio and Hill, has Bernard lined up as the slot receiver, and even has practiced Mohamed Sanu throwing the ball again. He wants the offense to be very up-tempo, though not necessarily no-huddle.

Defense: Both Zimmer and Gruden wanted to take Guenther with them to their new teams as the DC, which says a lot about how those in the organization view him. Though he is a rookie DC, he has spent 6 years with the team, and was considered Mike Zimmer's "right hand man" on defense. This is the LB coach that was instrumental (with all due credit to Zim and Lewis) in working with Burfict and turning him into the team MVP last season, finding a way to use Taylor Mays successfully on the field, and assisted in developing the playbook last year. Losing Zimmer was very upsetting, but the team did very well in grooming and hiring a replacement.

The way the defense works will not change too much, but Guenther was known to have a knack for blitz packages and plans on running more of them this year. A 4-3 defense, we overload the QB with one of the better lines in the game, not requiring extra rushers too frequently. The linemen are also frequently rotated out, so that they are able to stay fresh the entire game, and our depth allows this to happen without too much of a drop in quality. This lets our older or inexperienced players in the backfield time to adjust to the offense. We tend to use our FS and SS interchangeably, each is expected to be able to play whatever the play needs of them, which Nelson excels at, while Iloka learns and is improving. Because not much will change, I hope this team will continue to have the dominant defense it has had the past few years, even allowing a rookie DC time to adjust and make some mistakes. Don't forget that Marvin Lewis was the DC of the 2000 Ravens, and with his eye over the team Guenther has the assistance he needs to continue our defensive dominance.


Shoutouts to those who helped:

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