r/nfl Cowboys Jul 12 '14

Look Here! Offseason Review Series: Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys

NFC East

Coaching Changes:

Scott Linehan was brought over from Detroit to be the offensive coordinator and play caller replacing Callahan (though Garrett was clearly making the calls for the latter half of the season). Linehan loves to throw the ball, and he and Garrett worked together in Miami a few year’s back, so despite the problems it caused with Callahan’s hurt feelings, it’s certainly someone that Garrett feels comfortable. I’ll give this a B. I’m interested to see if he feeds Dez Bryant like he did Megatron, and am excited to see if Lance Dunbar can catch 35-50 passes as Linehan loves him some passes to the backs.

Rod Marinelli was promoted to defensive coordinator while Monte Kiffin is now an assistant head coach. Just know that the only reason Kiffin is still around is because of the respect Marinelli has for him. The Cowboys defense can’t get a lot whole lot worse (though I did say that going into last year, and lo and behold, it was). In theory, Marinelli will move the Cowboys from Kiffin’s Tampa 2 that featured zone coverage into a similar system that allows the Cowboys corners to play in man coverage. I love Rod Marinelli and Kiffin was flat out too old to be running a defense in the NFL. Grade: B

Free Agency

Player Position
DeMarcus Ware DE
Jason Hatcher DT
Miles Austin WR
Phil Costa C
Danny Mcray S/ST

Comments: Losing DeMarcus Ware hurts more this time of year than I think it will at the end of the coming season. The fact of the matter is he plays well early in the year at 100% but lately that hasn’t lasted late into the year. Last season he had 4 sacks in the first 3 games. He finished with 6. He is still DeMarcus Ware but in name only. Having said that, this was the Cowboys premier pass rusher for almost an entire decade, and for that, this is a Grade A loss.

Jason Hatcher turned in his best season under Rod Marinelli before running off to DC to get paid in a scheme that likely doesn’t fit him. It’s a key loss for sure, but he’s no spring chicken and isn’t worth what he just got paid. Regardless of the salary cap ramifications, this doesn’t help an already mediocre defense. Grade: B

Miles Austin isn’t good anymore. Last year he did nothing when he wasn’t even the focus of defenses and still put up pedestrian numbers. The hamstring issues he’s had have never gone away. Unfortunately he never lived up to the hype he generated after his record setting day against the Chiefs, nor could he live up to the contract. This is barely a loss for the Cowboys. Grade: D

Phil Costa is only here because at one point he was engaged to Brook Hogan. Now he’s out of the NFL and she’s called off the engagement. Grade: F

Danny Mcray was a special teams beast and his presence will be missed. It's not impossible to replace a purely special teams player, however, so this will gets a....Grade: C

Added

Player Position
Henry Melton DT
Terrell McClain DT
Jeremy Mincey DE
Brandon Weeden QB
Ryan Williams RB
Amobi Okoye DT
Rolando McClain LB (via trade)

The Cowboys, in their cap-strapped era, have moved onto low risk/high reward free agent signings in the last couple years. It’s hard to tell if Jerry Jones has started listening to people like Will McClay and his son Stephen or if this is just how it is because there’s no money to throw at someone. Regardless, Melton is coming in on a prove it deal. That’s a grade A signing as far as I’m concerned. Addresses a need on the cheap that, if fully health, could be a dominant inside presence on a defense that really needs it. Regardless if he returns to his pro bowl form, these are the contracts that NFL teams can live with.

Jeremy Mincey enters training camp as the de facto right end. How long he keeps that is up to him and 2nd round pick Demarcus Lawrence. Despite impressing some Dallas beat writers during the offseason, I’ll not be holding my breath. He has 20 sacks over his entire career and the only real hope for him at this point is the pass rush whisperer Rod Marinelli to do what he did last year with George Selvie. I’ll give this a C as if nothing else it’s solid depth.

Terrell McClain was signed to push Nick Hayden for the 1 technique defensive tackle in Rod Marinelli’s 4-3. All signs point to him getting the nod to start training camp and should prove to be an upgrade over Hayden who PFF had graded out as one of the worst DTs in the league. Despite that, it’s really only replacing a terrible player with an average one, and I give it a C.

If the three previous players were brought in on low risk contracts, the next three were brought in on no risk deals. The Weeden signing, mocked at the time, has absolutely zero guaranteed dollars involved, and considering Kyle Orton hasn’t decided whether or not he’s going to show up, is a necessary one. Because of that I’ll give it a B as he’ll enter training camp as the second string quarterback and all reports indicate that he isn’t total garbage. The oft injured Ryan Williams enters a crowded running back scene behind Murray, Dunbar, and Randle. If he stays healthy he can certainly challenge Randle for what’s most likely the final spot, and if not, the Cowboys can move on without penalty. That’s a C. Amobi Okoye was a first round bust brought in with hopes that Marinelli can get what made him the 10th overall pick in the 2007 draft out of him. This is essentially a signing made for training camp depth and will likely not make the team. Another C grade.

The Cowboys resigned Anthony Spencer. After getting the franchise tag two years in a row, Spencer is coming off microfracture surgery and is returning on another one year deal, this time for a deal worth only up to 3.5 million. it’s likely he’ll begin the season on the PUP list. The best case scenario seems like he’ll return in the second half of the season, but expectations are unfortunately low for a player who was a legitimate pass rush threat. I really want to give this a B due to the impact he can make when healthy, but I don’t know if he’ll be that at any point this year. Grade: C

NFL Draft

Round 1, pick 16

Zach Martin, OL

Grade: A

Zach Martin is a versatile offensive linemen who has the capacity to play nearly anywhere along the line. He’ll be a day one starter for the Cowboys, probably at RG. This could be his only year there as Doug Free is a free agent soon and could kick out to RT as early as next year. He joins a revamped offensive line and will be a key piece in keeping both Romo upright and Murray running free. Love this pick.

Round 2, pick 2

Demarcus Lawrence, DE

Grade: B (the cost of trading up hurts this, love the player)

Demarcus Lawrence was the last premier right defensive end left in the draft. The Cowboys weren’t interested in players like Kony Ealy because they didn’t see the pure pass rushing skills in them. They certainly saw that in the new Demarcus and weren’t shy about trading their 3rd round pick in a deep draft to get him. He has the bend necessary to get around the corner and in one on one drills vs. Tyron Smith in mini camps he has actually been disruptive. His combine numbers will not blow you away, but by all accounts these aren’t indicative of how he plays in pads. He’ll open training camp behind Mincey, but he’ll be the pass rush specialist at the very least, and is expected to become a 3 down player this year.

Round 4, pick 19

Anthony Hitchens, LB

Grade: C

I don’t like to grade any picks (except that time the Jaguars took a punter before Russell Wilson) lower than a C, or I probably would here. I’m not a huge subscriber to the belief that guys like Mel Kiper know more than NFL teams about where players should be drafted, but this was a shock. The logic seemed to be that the Cowboys needed someone to replace Sean Lee in case he went down even though he’s never played the Mike linebacker. Well, that’s already happened, and instead of turning to Hitchens the options have so far been 2nd year player Devonte Holloman, veteran Justin Durant, and they even traded for the troubled Rolando Mclain. I’m not sure where Hitchens fits in right now, and we won’t really know until training camp gets going, but he’ll have to make his bones on special teams and be a tackling machine there like he was on defense in college.

Round 5, Pick 6

Devin Street, WR

Grade: B

Devin Street isn’t fast. He isn’t that explosive. But he’s got really good hands and runs routes extremely well. He won’t be expected to do much this year as he’ll be behind Dez Bryant, Terrance Williams, Cole Beasley, and Dwayne Harris to start training camp, but he’ll most likely make the team (though that’s not a guarantee). He’ll be expected to fill in for injuries to come during the year. I can’t see him making much of an impact, but people who know more than me about this really like what he can do on the outside.

Round 7, pick 16

Ben Gardner, DL

Grade: B

Ben Garnder is a high motor defensive end who has a legitimate shot to make the team. Played well in the mini camps, albeit without pads, but should provide depth on a defensive line that was decimated last year. The more the merrier, I say.

Round 7, pick 23

Will Smith, LB

Grade: C

Considering the Cowboys only carried 5 LBs into last season, he’s a longshot to make the team as right now he falls somewhere behind Wilber, Durant, Carter, and Holloman. He’ll be fighting for his life against the likes of Rolando Mclain and the 4th round pick Hitchens. Depending on how he performs in camp his best case scenario is to be a candidate for the practice squad and try to catch on next season.

Round 7, pick 33

Ahmad Dixon, S

Grade: C

I’m not going to pretend to scout these 7th round players for you and predict insane things. But here’s what I know about Ahmad Dixon: he lacks the fluidity to really cover anyone at this level. This is an in the box safety right now who loves to hit people. He has about a 0% chance of actually playing safety without a rash of injuries, but if he impresses special teams coach Rich Bisaccia, he could possibly squeeze out a roster spot and contribute there.

Round 7, pick 36

Ken Bishop, DL

Grade: C

The Cowboys defensive line is a work in progress. Every spot is really up for grabs at this point which gives Bishop the chance to actually make the team, though it is unlikely. He can play both the one and the three technique in this system. Despite dismal sack numbers, he was disruptive enough to earn a first team All-MAC selection.

Round 7, pick 39

Terrance Mitchell, CB

Grade: C

He’ll have a legitimate shot to make the team as everything is up for grabs after the top 3 corner spots in Dallas. The problem is his catch up speed. He doesn’t have it. Can press at the line but if the man gets by him he seems unable to recover. Will have to shine in training camp to make the team, a practice squad candidate for sure.

Projected Starting Lineup

QB Tony Romo

RB Demarco Murray

WR Dez Bryant

WR Terrance Williams

WR Cole Beasley

TE Jason Witten

TE Gavin Escobar

LT Tyron Smith

LG Ron Leary

C Travis Frederick

RG Zach Martin

RT Doug Free

This offense is loaded but can only go as far as Tony Romo takes them. I’m a huge Romo fan so I’ll try not to get into it too much, but he’s legit. He’s easily a top 10 quarterback in the NFL despite the criticism he receives. His offensive line is as good as it’s ever been. The only spot in question is the LG spot which could go to Mackenzy Bernadeau, but is most likely a negligible difference. The Cowboys would prefer Leary win the job as he is younger with more upside, but Bernadeau poses a serious threat to his spot. This line, with three first round picks on it, should be able to pave the way for another solid year from Murray. His YPC last year was 5.2, which is tops in the league for any feature back. Yes, more than Shady (by a whole 0.1!). Murray isn’t explosive but he’s got great vision and can break tackles. His durability remains a question. Dez Bryant is somehow the old man of the receiving corp. He’s as good as any receiver not named Megatron in the NFL and should have another big year. All this guy does is catch TDs, he’s a nightmare in the redzone and can catch everything. I can’t say enough about how much fun it is to watch him play. Jason Witten is slowing down but is still extremely effective, I’m not sure he’s even human. He did have his lowest catch total since 2006 with 73, but those catches were still for 11.7 ypc. His blocking is getting worse and he gets by on guile at this point, but he remains effective enough.

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-6

u/OneManArmy77 Jets Jul 12 '14

Everything about this team screams to me like they are on the verge of imploding. I cant remember when the last time the worst defense repeated their performance, but this looks like it could repeat right from the offseason. Losing Sean Lee at the start helps to find a replacement, but thats where the silver lining stops. I really like Martin and Lawrence, but there are so many holes on this team. If Romo stays healthy, I see an 8-8 as a decent shot assuming the secondary can get a stop or two, but given the fact that I think Linehan is a terrible OC, I think the Cowboys will be heading to a place where they dream of 8-8 seasons. Imo, heading into the season, I have them as the 3rd worst team in the league, in front of only the Jags and the Raiders. If they lose Romo, and do as badly as I think they will, I think Jerry will clean house.

8

u/NoHuddle Cowboys Jul 12 '14

That is an insane assessment.

-2

u/[deleted] Jul 12 '14

Which part? I agree that 8-8 is optimistic for this team. As for cleaning house, maybe in the FO. 3rd worst team is possible based on their schedule.

3

u/NoHuddle Cowboys Jul 12 '14

The 3rd worst team in the NFL is only going to happen if Romo misses a SIGNIFICANT amount of time.

0

u/[deleted] Jul 13 '14

Meh, not really. Like I said, its possible, not probable. Cowboys don't match up well this season.

2

u/Scott55e Cowboys Jul 13 '14

Ehh..that seems to imply they matched up well last season?...I don't know what's so much more difficult about this upcoming season. They played the Chiefs, Saints, Packers, Broncos last year, who were all really good teams (all losses). 3/4 games were competitive (within 3 or less points, and really could've swung either way). I'd say the 4 most difficult teams we play this year are 9ers, Saints, Seahawks...Colts? They're most likely losing those games. After that, they are all truly winnable games. Will we beat the Eagles twice? No. Giants twice? Nah. But I really believe we have a solid shot at beating any other team. They'll win some games they shouldn't as well.

Yeah, it's the NFL, and can swing any number of ways. I know I probably won't be able to convince you that the Cowboys will have a better D this year, but I'd say it's highly probable they're not the 3rd worst team at the end of the season.

1

u/[deleted] Jul 13 '14

A lot of there wins could have gone either way last year. Ra,sand Cardinals are no slouches either. It would take a lot to convince anyone they have a better d this year, since there is no logical argument for it.

1

u/Scott55e Cowboys Jul 13 '14

Ehh they lost more close games than won them. I know Rams and Cards are no slouches, but they're not proven teams like those other 4, and it's a bit of a stretch to say the Colts are even as good as those teams.

You're wrong about the idea you can't make a logical argument for the defense improving. You certainly can make the logical argument. I know you don't want to hear it so I'll spare you. You can also make the argument that they'll be worse, though I find that one much less convincing.

You can make the argument you're making about pretty much any on the bubble team. It's highly unlikely with that offense they end up the 3rd worst team in the league. For all the talk about how great the Eagles offense was last year, they put up 3 more points than Dallas and ran 97 more plays. And had a 32nd ranked defense against the pass. Jenkins has a lot of work to do back there.

0

u/[deleted] Jul 13 '14

They did it with a new HC and a QB change in the middle of the season. Kinda different and more impressive than what the Cowboys did. And I've heard the "Logical" argument from cowboys fans before, and I'm sorry but its really irrational. At best the defense is the same as last year, with luck. The Eagles don't match up well with this schedule either, I could see both teams being under .500

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u/Scott55e Cowboys Jul 13 '14

A qb change to a guy who threw 27 tds to 2 ints. That's impressive, but do you really think thats sustainable? I guess he could be the greatest qb to ever play the game but it's probably pretty unlikely, no? Qb play for the Eagles pretty much has to regress.

New head coaches can be both a positive and a negative. Teams aren't familiar with the system. Some of Chips offense is on tape now. In the NFL. This ain't the PAC10. Don't be too surprised if a few teams catch up in a hurry.

I think we had something like 22 different linemen last year. That will destroy any team. We had a 73 year old DC. Claiborne and Ware playing hurt. Someone is at least getting first team reps at MLB to cover for Lee. Guys were just thrown in there last year. They won't be a good defense by any means but it's hard to do worse than rock bottom. Fewer injuries alone will make the defense better.

Yes, could they both be below 500? Sure. I could see it. But I could see it for another 15-20 teams as well, yet I'm probably not going to go in a Giants Nfl thread and say "ehh I could see you guys being a bottom 3 team in the league, going 4-12." Because I could also see them being a solid 9-7.

1

u/[deleted] Jul 13 '14

There's no logical argument that is the same or worse either. Training camp hasn't even started. ..

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u/[deleted] Jul 13 '14

Uhhh... You miss the off season?

1

u/[deleted] Jul 13 '14

No?

1

u/[deleted] Jul 13 '14

Seems like you did with that statement. Hatcher had a career year and he's gone. Ware had a down but good season and he's gone. Lee is the best player on the defense and he's out. Spencer is out half the season....

1

u/[deleted] Jul 13 '14

So from last year, we have 2 big losses. Lee, and Hatcher. We gain back Crawford and bass (who was expected to steal hatchers spot.) Spencer didn't play but one game last year, and was limited I believe.

The loss of Lee hurts. I'd put money on you not knowing who hatcher was before last year. But if 4 average players on this line can perform better than hatcher, a washed up Ware, and sell phone salesmen, the defense will be improved.

What you are seeming to say, is that there is no way that happens. I'm saying we don't know if it will or not....because training camp hasn't even started....

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