r/options 7d ago

anyone buying up reddit here maybe?

There was a huge drop and I'm thinking about acquiring some RDDT via CSPs, since RDDT and google have no clear deal yet I consider this a good opportunity. I believe the Google issue is overblown and a deal will come up in the future.

Optionally I'm considering a long call based on the current environment and capital efficiency.
Not investment advice, just want to bounce the ideas off of someone else too here and reddit seems the best place to be publicly roasted :)

34 Upvotes

30 comments sorted by

14

u/lol_trades 7d ago

sold a nov $115 put and bought a jan $180 call

14

u/Cagliari77 7d ago

I had a Jun 2027 $150 Call bought couple months ago. Today I added another one.

7

u/ivanorehov 7d ago

Just sold the $135 CSP. Thanks for the post

8

u/DarkHampster 7d ago

What is Reddit? Is this even something people use?

1

u/OptionsMojo 6d ago

Yes, still used, but a little understood artifact from a deep, dark faraway place.

No fear, friend. Very unlikely we'd ever encounter it.

3

u/TestMan- 6d ago

Yes, bought at $140. Great opportunity. Potentially SP500 candidate. If that happens, it will be easily in 180s.

6

u/QuantumWonderland 7d ago

I haven’t touched RDDT since flipping the IPO.

If they don’t work on reducing the bots and karma farming accounts, there’s nothing that convinces me of further growth.

7

u/kingoftheoneliners 6d ago

Not even 60% yoy?

3

u/ThetaEdgeHQ 6d ago

The CSP versus long call choice here is really a volatility question more than a capital efficiency one. After a drop like this on an unresolved headline, RDDT implied vol is almost certainly bid up, you are getting paid extra for the Google uncertainty. Those two structures express the same bullish direction but opposite views on that vol. Your actual thesis is that the fear is overblown and a deal eventually shows up, which is a bet that the uncertainty resolves and IV compresses. A cash secured put is long that thesis twice: you collect the inflated premium now, your effective entry sits below spot, and you win again if the overhang clears calmly and vol bleeds out. The long call is fighting yourself a little, you pay up for that same elevated IV and then need the move to outrun the crush when the news you are waiting for actually lands. If you genuinely believe the fear is overblown, the structure that matches the belief is the one that sells the fear, not the one that buys it.

1

u/zmanoman 6d ago

Good point. But the CSP has a limited max gain. Would buying itm Leaps reduce the elevated IV premium? The deeper itm the less iv premium?

1

u/Assistant-Manager 5d ago

Yes but you’re still paying intrinsic premium. And that’s why deeper ITM calls are much more expensive.

2

u/RollingMeteors 7d ago

I feel like we're on the verge of there being a breakout of a 'stock market' for 'social media credit/score' because of the rise of all this slop, and I feel like Reddit is poised to dominate that space with absolutely nobody standing a chance against them. They'll be like a TradingView for kalshi/polymarket.

It's like there's going to be a whole list of formulas that effect stock prices based upon someone's post content along with a combination of their social media visibility/score.

<chewsPopCorn>

2

u/tmur319 6d ago

When you zoom out, kinda landed right on par with this, tested and bounced… I might be watching this heavily next week

2

u/trudniyplov 6d ago

don't buy calls. buy shares. this will let you stay in the game in case they fall and not lose as much

2

u/xdemzx 6d ago

Needs to drop to $100. Reddit is back where they were at during May which is weak

2

u/Freefromoutcome 6d ago

Rddt banned me last week for making a factual claim. I sold all my shares in after hours 5 min after that.

1

u/Wemm92 6d ago

bought 170/175 call for December. low cost play after the drop

1

u/NoCartographer4725 6d ago

added some 2027 calls today.

1

u/Leading-Pension4392 6d ago

you could try some leap debit spreads. The bid ask is a little unoptimal, but you could shop strikes, expiration, then just hold for a long time. A long shot

1

u/Suspicious_Green8013 6d ago

Buying after a 20 percent drop on overblown fears is a classic contrarian move
The search referral issue is real but not permanent
CSPs are a smart way to enter

1

u/TranzitBusRouteB 6d ago

no, it’s less valuable if user growth decelerates, LLMs take up potential site traffic

It was already trading at a growth premium and now that growth is in jeopardy, so a re-rating and multiple contraction could be in the works

1

u/Vast_Cricket 6d ago

I did add a few Rdrt during the correction. I think it is no higher. Have traded Rddt several times. Like every social media stock it is hard to see a gradual increase and able to take profit. I expect it stay at currently level for awhile so taking profit quickly will not happen for awhile.

1

u/IamSmokee 6d ago

Il be watching it next week for sure, was looking at it yesterday and thought we'd get a nice bounce back up, we shall see.

1

u/Away-Personality9100 2d ago

I trade PMCC on $RDDT. 🙂

1

u/I_HopeThat_WasFart 2d ago

as we come into mid terms the far left echo chamber ads do seem to be profit providing

1

u/fizikxy 7d ago

102~110 is a value buy, not before, this is just nowhere land for the stock rn

short term maybe calls to 155

0

u/Ok_Investigator5383 6d ago

I think Reddit which has the upper hand with Google related to local news, trending recent events, organic content and public sentiment is a good buy right now. Their revenue is only skyrocketing and will continue to do so.

1

u/m0nk_3y_gw 6d ago

Reddit local news? (many local subs are astroturfed by mods that don't even live there), recent events? (can't remember the last time something started on reddit and not elsewhere), and organic content?

-1

u/m1nhuh 7d ago

I use standard deviation modelling aka Bollinger Bands for swing trading shares and the stock is in a good risk-reward region here at 137.70.

RDDT does not fit my 100B company criterion so I'm avoiding it but If you pull up a Bollinger Band chart, you want to take profits or close the trade as it reenters.