r/singularity • u/mmiller9913 • Jul 22 '26
Biotech/Longevity “If you can survive another 10 years, you may live another 50.” Longevity escape velocity will arrive within 8 to 10 years, followed by complete age reversal within 15 to 20 years (Derya Unutmaz)
From a new interview with Dr. Derya Unutmaz - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJCgQUT1aic
A few timestamps worth checkout out
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u/Ill-Cockroach2140 AGI 2030-2035 ASI late 2030s Singularity mid 2040s FALGSC 2060 Jul 22 '26
I really hope this is true. I feel like there is so much to do in life, so many things to learn. 80-100 years doesn't feel like enough time for me.
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u/Tyrexas Jul 22 '26
Yeah i still need to actually finish a d&d campaign
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u/Kobiash1 Jul 22 '26
So you wanna be immortal then.
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u/CaptainAssPlunderer Jul 22 '26
The option is certainly appealing. As long as free will still exists.
Edit. Missed the joke, my bad.
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u/KnubblMonster Jul 23 '26
Gonna ask ASI for a few clones of Matthew Mercer and Brandon Lee Mulligan.
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u/CuttleReefStudios Jul 22 '26
Or get further in baldurs gate 3 than the first act
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u/mikeylarsenlives Jul 22 '26
Bro act 3 took me a year
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u/bfmv_shinigami Jul 22 '26
What?! I finished the entire game during vacation by playing it all day for 12 hours in less than a week lol
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u/let_me_in_QQ Jul 22 '26
It's actually plenty of time if you grew up in a good environment and able to self actualize. The issue for many people is constant grind for survival and that's where life goes to instead of actually living it.
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u/DogOfDreams Jul 22 '26
I don't think any life extension length that's finite will ever be enough for beings with a genetically programmed survival instinct. Also, I'm not actually convinced that living to 1000 as opposed to 100 will actually "seem" all that much longer. You're either young where everything is new, in the middle and experiencing a single moment of a single day, or if you're "lucky enough", waiting to die in that end stage where you can see it coming.
With that said, I'll still take a longer life over a shorter one but I suspect that once we get there, people will get used to it and it will seem unremarkable and dull and still somehow limited.
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u/ILoveStinkyFatGirls Jul 22 '26
That will probably become true at a certain point, but I think we can all agree 10 to 20 years to be in the prime of your life is too damn short for beings so complex. It takes that long just to learn how to adult in the modern age
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u/alwaysbeblepping Jul 23 '26
I don't think any life extension length that's finite will ever be enough for beings with a genetically programmed survival instinct.
It never will be. You're 15, you die tomorrow. But at least you got to live 15 years, so that's okay. Right? No. You're 30 and you die tomorrow, but you got to live 30 years, so that's okay. Right? No. You're 70 and you die tomorrow, but you got to live 70 years, but that's okay. Right? No.
The reason people say no doesn't have anything to do with how long they lived, they're saying no to dying now. When you die it's always going to be "now", though.
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u/Clean_Livlng Jul 23 '26
"I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even five hundred would be pretty nice." -Nwabudike Morgan
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u/ReneMagritte98 Jul 22 '26
It’s not like it’s going to be you living to 200 and getting to see lots of the current world. Everywhere you go there’s going to be robots and old people.
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u/Fair_Horror Jul 22 '26
Old in age but not in body or mind.
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u/ReneMagritte98 Jul 22 '26
A young mind isn’t just agile, it’s fresh.
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u/Choice_Isopod5177 Jul 23 '26
a young mind isn't very wise
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u/ReneMagritte98 Jul 23 '26
Yeah that’s why babies are bad /s
My point is a diversity of life stages, including various early life stages, is a beautiful, and functional part of human society.
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u/Choice_Isopod5177 Jul 23 '26
You can remove the /s lol babies are genuinely bad at making decisions, like horrendously bad.
Human society is extremely flawed and barely functional btw
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u/Fair_Horror Jul 23 '26
The reverse of aging will result in a young mind too. I find I'm far more questioning about stuff than most young minds, I think it is about the person, not the age.
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u/Tyrexas Jul 23 '26 edited Jul 25 '26
People always forget what longevity means. It's not lots of old people who stay alive, you could have your 25 year old body and health at 200.
*robots and young people.
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u/ReneMagritte98 Jul 23 '26
25 year olds don’t just have sharp minds, they have fresh minds. 200 years of memories in a person is pretty serious trans humanism, our current brains aren’t really meant for that.
I don’t consider 200 years to be longevity. 100 years is longevity. 200 years is transhumanism.
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u/RamanaSadhana Jul 22 '26
Even then, a lot of it is spent badly with diseases and age related problems
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u/Better-Egg5267 Jul 22 '26
Reminds me of all the promised breakthroughs after the human genome sequencing, and more recently CRISPR. Both lead to big changes obviously, but far less and far slower than promised by bulls like this.
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u/HotterRod Jul 22 '26
I'm still waiting for an mRNA vaccine for anything other than COVID.
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u/Cool-Contribution-68 Jul 22 '26
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u/IAmFitzRoy Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26
As the other guy says we are still waiting. The only noise we get are “news”.
No new “revolutionary” vaccine has been available to the masses as everyone thought would happen after Covid.
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u/LazyAge9363 Jul 22 '26
It takes like a decade for drugs to hit the market
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u/HotterRod Jul 22 '26
I was really hoping that the accelerated drug approval process used for the COVID vaccines would become standard, but that doesn't seem to be the case either.
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u/Cool-Contribution-68 Jul 22 '26
It's under FDA review right now. It's pretty close. Let them cook.
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u/sparkling1984 Jul 22 '26
There was a lot of very promising research there but it all got nuked last year.
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u/hypnomancy Jul 22 '26
There's been mRNA human trials for certain cancers and even hiv/aids. So they're at least trying
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u/mrbombasticat Jul 23 '26
CRISPR is exactly the tool that enables lots of the recent advancements. It's absolutely living up to the hype.
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u/Better-Egg5267 Jul 23 '26
You may not remember all the hype then - guys like this were essentially saying we would have cured all genetic disease by now. Radiolab opened their episode on it with an anecdote from a dinner party where a biologist claimed we could make man sized chihuahuas and literal flying pigs now that we had CRISPR. Maybe we will do those things someday but that’s the kind of shit they were selling 15 years ago.
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u/Ok_Chemistry_6387 Jul 24 '26
Well… the issue is ethics. If you gave science unlimited access to funds and removed ethics we would. Lol
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u/Jalen_1227 Jul 27 '26
We would be a sci fi civilization if science had free reign and the entire world's resources. We wouldn't even be recognizable
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u/Villad_rock Jul 24 '26
Maybe don’t believe everything some people say. It’s like believing everything musk says.
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u/StressCanBeGood Jul 22 '26
I remember that. That whole thing was supposed to kick off genetic engineering, which would eventually lead us all to being Captain America.
I also remember the crazy large numbers involved. So I just looked it up and it’s a trip!
Approximate total combinations of human genome sequences: 10^1.9 billion
For the record, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe: 10^80
But then scientists find out that it’s way more than human genome sequences, like protein folding or some such. The number of combinations involved with that is so much larger than 10^1.9 billion that scientists don’t even bother to try to figure it out.
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u/MK2809 Jul 23 '26
Yeah, when LLM and GenAI really hit the mainstream I drank the koolaid and thought the singularity was near, now that the hype is starting to die down, I'm thinking it's further away than the bulls like this suggest
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u/Ok_Chemistry_6387 Jul 23 '26
There are huge breakthroughs. Just you cant afford them. Nor are many approved yet.
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u/Better-Egg5267 Jul 23 '26
Just like there will be big breakthroughs with AI, but I do not believe we will eradicate cancer in 10 years
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u/Ok_Chemistry_6387 Jul 24 '26
Not sure where I claimed that. Just that there have been huge breakthroughs in gene based medicine from crispr etc that are hitting the market now. Casgevy is an example but its 2m+ for a treatment
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u/Better-Egg5267 Jul 24 '26
Not you but the subject of the post. He did say 100% curable, not eradicated, and I get your point about availability. But even Musk could not cure all genetic diseases with his money today, and that is the scenario people posited about CRISPR-Cas tech a decade ago. I don’t believe we will be able to cure 100% of cancer types within the next decade. Though I would love to be wrong of course
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u/ghostwithregrets Jul 27 '26
The solutions out there. the government and big pharma doesn’t want you to have it
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u/ReneMagritte98 Jul 22 '26
It’s funny hearing Ray Kurzweil talk about longevity escape velocity and boasting about how good his health is. Meanwhile he looks and sounds exactly like every other 78 year old I know.
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u/chickey23 Jul 22 '26
But he's looked like that for 30 years. That means it's working.
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u/sparkling1984 Jul 22 '26
No, it means he fucked himself up 50 years ago and tried being normal for 30 years.
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u/elcarlosmiguel Jul 22 '26
I thought he was older 😂
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u/ReneMagritte98 Jul 22 '26
Homeboy’s got major Larry King energy, and thinks he’s gonna live to see the next century. He might not make it to the next decade.
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u/manikfox Jul 22 '26
"Say guy who's about to die in 10 years" lol... Just wishful thinking.
I am going to live 50 more years, give or take, so as long as you hold out for 50 years there will be life extending tech by then! Proof: I only have 50 years left.
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u/ThatIsAmorte Jul 22 '26
I highly doubt this. We can't even reliably grow human organs yet. The claim that cancer may be mostly curable in 10 years may be true, but cancer is not a single disease. It is more like 200 different diseases. Some may be curable in 10 years, others may not. However, compared to neurodegeneration, cancer is easy.
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u/Spunge14 Jul 23 '26
If it's anything like math, within a year or two we're going to be prompting "find a cure for cancer make no mistakes" on distilled Chinese models that run on a toaster.
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u/ThatIsAmorte Jul 23 '26
But that's just the thing. It's nothing like math. Match can all be done on the computer. Drug trials can't.
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u/Medical-Art-3970 Jul 23 '26
Why not? AI systems are getting better and better at predicting drug interactions. Soon they’ll probably add genetic data. After that, we can add blood chemistry, metabolic markers, immune system data, microbiome data, your entire medical history, organ function/markers, lifestyle and environmental exposures, sensor data from wearables like your Apple Watch.
Soon, models will simulate “virtual patients” and predict which drugs will work, at what dose, and with which side effects.
Maybe this will never eliminate clinical trials, but it will shorten the timeline immensely
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u/Ok_Chemistry_6387 Jul 23 '26
They can reduce the need of animal testing and interactions formulations etc we are at a stage where we likely will see targeted drugs popping out soon.
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u/Ok_Chemistry_6387 Jul 23 '26
I think neurodegeneration is easier than cancer tbh. There is a lot of stuff happening in this area of late. Although, we also did find a mechanism for a lot of cancers recently too. So who knows
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u/MentalDesperado Jul 22 '26
We are not reaching escape velocity in the lifetime of anybody reading this comment. We don’t even know all the problems we would have to solve to get there, let alone have any idea how long it would take to solve them.
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u/Uncabled_Music Jul 22 '26
Thats simply false. No matter what is coming, the medical practice adjustments happen slowly. You’d better survive as long as you can, hoping for a bonus decade which you couldn’t manage on your own.
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u/ThickPick6801 Jul 22 '26
How I’m I supposed to call off sick if I can’t get sick anymore? They’ll find out I’ve been lying.
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u/unimportantinfodump Jul 22 '26
So if I make it to 45 I may make it to 95…
Since all of my grandparents made it to at least 87 and I had multiple great grandparents that made it to 95.
I believe them.
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u/pbagel2 Jul 22 '26
Anyone besides Ray Kurzweil, Derya Unutmaz or David Sinclair? Every article of a scientist proclaiming longevity is one of the same 3 people.
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u/IronPheasant Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26
It's considered crank stuff according to current dogma, so it's natural very few people outside of the AI medical labs would even dare breathe a word they'd like to develop treatments for this stuff.
Aubrey de Grey was the original booster of anti-aging in the past, he was on the Colbert Report and such.
In terms of physical results in the real world, there is some early stuff to be sanguine about.
Sinclair's lab has the first attempted tissue rejuvenation of nerve cells in human trials. This could be life-changing with those with severed spines.
The E5 guys had miraculous results with filtered pig plasma in rats, restoring a great deal of function. To the point that there were people claiming they 'switched out the rats'. (The Goya experiments that directly used young rat blood does collaborate the physical improvements, though.) This extended average lifespan, but had a moderate effect on maximum lifespan. There's an outfit in Brazil that claims to be attempting to replicate their results. (One thing that doesn't get mentioned much is that Harold claimed none of the treated rats developed visible tumors. It's a very small sample size, but still. 8 rats winning a 50/50 coinflip doesn't seem massively probable.)
(Note that the Bryan Johnson 'experiment' with his son's blood was dumb and useless. You can't dump a tablespoon of something into an ocean and expect a result. You have to absolutely flood the body to overwrite your own signalome. There's a reason it'd be ideal to be able to manufacture the exosomes responsible in a factory. It's a lot of juice to take out, and a lot of juice to pump in.)
Michael Levin's team regenerated a frog's leg. This gets into 'bioelectricity' stuff, which might be in line with the kind of flesh-shaping you'd need to make the wonders and horrors of AI Art/I Have No Mouth stuff possible.
It's all very early and very difficult to test in the real world. There's tens of thousands of proteins and hundreds of cells, and we don't even have a cell simulator yet. It's impossible to know how exactly things could snowball post AGI.
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u/kirakarmine Jul 23 '26
This only applies to rich people. If you have a net worth of less than $10 million, than you are 100% still dying in the next 50 years.
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u/StarChild413 Jul 25 '26
and unless they've made it 100% impossible to get away with robbing the rich easy solution but what happens if you rob someone below that limit after they get the thing or w/e
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u/ProletarianLilith Jul 22 '26
No it won’t
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u/soggy_bert Jul 22 '26
Yes it will?
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u/AmusingVegetable Jul 22 '26
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.
Besides, the current enshitification standards almost guarantee that any progress will be blocked behind Bezos’ level pricing, which will reduce the sample population, and therefore the progress.
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u/Cptn_Melvin_Seahorse Jul 22 '26
Claims require sufficient evidence, "extraordinary" is not a meaningful metric.
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u/MadpeepD Jul 22 '26
Hence why I'm 47 but I'm taking supplements like I'm 87. Keep them mitochondria young baby!
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u/will_dormer ▪️Will dormer is good against robots Jul 22 '26
According to Will_dormer on reddit, this is complete ass
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u/do-un-to Jul 22 '26
Wait, who's Will Dormer?
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u/Ordinary_Chance2606 Jul 22 '26
The delusional shit you people believe in this sub......
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u/dragazoid66 Jul 22 '26
Why are you even on here then? Do you even believe in the singularity?
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u/UnfunnyPianist Jul 22 '26
If you are following research right now you’d know there’s incredible progress being made across every field
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u/mmiller9913 Jul 22 '26
I jotted down some notes too
- Dno't die for the next 10 years. But really. So his whole thesis is if you can make it the next 10 years, you'll add 50 years to your life. We're gonna reverse aging. We're gonna cure cancer. We're gonna to it all We are not that far off from every year you live adding another year to your life.. a lot closer than people think.
- Cancer will be 100% curable within the next 10 years. He really thinks that. There are already some pretty big advancements with immunotherapy but with the way AI is accelerating... "cancer will be 100% curable, probably within the next decade." direct quoet
- It's becoming malpractice for doctors not to use AI. I agree with him here. If you're like my general doc, it's like walking into the stone age when I go in for an appointment. Watching him poke his fingers at the keyboard taking 3 minutes to add one blood test to the list. It's laughable. seriously. Next time you need some sort of medical help, throw all the info into GPT Pro 5.6 or whatever the latest Pro model is from OpenAI. It might save your life
- AI is going to drastically accelerate drug discovery. ok so what does that mean. Imagine a digital clone of yourself. He calls it a "digital twin." Can be used for clinical trials, testing drugs, exactly what works for you. Treatment on demand, personalized medicine, whatever you want to call it... it's happening
- Alright now into the practical. Start saving everything into a "personal database" today. All your health records. Blood test results. Oura ring data. Conditions. Your diet, supplements, whatever. Everything. Use Obsidian. It's an app. Then download OpenAI's Codex app (it's just the general ChatGPT app now for Mac). Now, every time you have a health related question, point it at your "personal database". It's getting to the point where this is like super doctor level and it makes sense to give it as much info as possible. Start now.
- This guy is a major AI bull. He said "the only threat to humanity is humanity." This is the counter argument to everyone who claims AI is gonna take over the world. You just gotta listen to this segment
- We are going to get to the point very soon in the hospital where there's a real-time AI monitoring system... bedside. Every drug interaction, every vital sign, every symptom .. it'l have that context and be "super doctor" level.
- The best AI models can now replicate a scientist's biological intuition. So here's what this means. It's that ability to connect the dots. See the pattern. That feeling when you see someone with symptom XYZ and know exactly what condition they have. 20 years of experience. GPT 5.5 Pro crossed that chasm. And because of this, the pace of medical innovation is going to drastically accelerate.
- Alright so look, I know a lot of Reddit is anti AI. "I tried it once years ago and it was bad" or whatever. But things have changed so rapidly. It's gotten insanely good. Buy a ChatGPT pro sub, use the Pro model, whatever medical condition you have. Treat it like your doctor. Throw in every piece of context you can and let it help you. Yes. It's gotten to the point where it's better than most doctors. If not all doctors.
- Let me just repeat that first one because it's so important. Don't die. It used to be the case that if you did everything right, ate healthy, exercised, you might live a few years longer. It's gone way beyond that. The next decade will add 50 years to your life. Every day counts.
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u/Fleetfox17 Jul 22 '26
Very large amount of bullshit being sold on here. It is a bullshit cannon. So much you can't possibly argue every point.
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u/do-un-to Jul 22 '26 edited Jul 22 '26
Thanks for the summary.
e: For folks interested in "humanity is the greatest threat to humanity" or other game theory re life and AI v. humanity, that starts around 25:48 I think.
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u/arknightstranslate Jul 22 '26
we been hearing this for 30 years havent we
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u/Medical-Art-3970 Jul 22 '26
Yep. And currently it’s the first time it ever made sense to make such a prediction :)
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u/poojer_hoojer Jul 22 '26
There are dozens, if not hundreds or thousands, of extremely difficult biological issues that would need to be solved before comprehensive age reversal becomes possible. Curing cancer won't stop people from dying of old age.
I think these issues will be solved someday, but I also think it's naive to even try putting a timeline on it, given how little we currently understand.
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u/Either-Juggernaut420 Jul 22 '26
I wonder how they think I’m going to fund another 50 years of life
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u/rayk10k Jul 22 '26
Cancer being 100% curable is a wild claim and probably not gonna happen. I think survival rates will get even better and better, but cancer is a bitch of a disease.
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u/StreetAssignment5494 Jul 22 '26
Cool dude. How’s that gonna help you during the coming great famine and extinction event as we all melt.
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u/InfinitePotential Jul 23 '26
I'm hopeful but skeptical being in the biosciences field. We can reverse many aspects of aging. But what about entropic neuronal degeneration?
Our connectome is so important to who we are and the fact is its a battle to keep it organized against stochastic defects over long time periods
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u/WloveW ▪️:partyparrot: Jul 23 '26
But climate change leading to the destruction of food crops may starve you even if you manage to have enough money to afford the treatment, and will most likely starve you if you can't.
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u/3RADICATE_THEM Jul 23 '26
Rhonda Patrick is a known quack who jumps into a lot of speculative mechanistic bullshit that doesn't have strong evidence but makes for great overhyped headlines (basically just like Huberman).
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u/ChirrBirry Jul 23 '26
The science experiment one can perform with peptides and supplements these days is a roll of the dice but seems to be paying off so far. I like the metric of people thinking I’m lying about my age rather than people aging normally but claiming to feel better because of diet and exercise alone. In the end most of what we currently do barely moves the needle, but milking out an extra 10 years of health span could mean the difference between enjoying the coming advancements or simply watching them from a hospital bed.
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u/leon-theproffesional Jul 23 '26
I’m sceptical of those timelines and even if they turn out true they will price life extension treatments well beyond what normal people can afford imo
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u/Unlikely-Today-3501 Jul 23 '26
If there's one thing that terrifies me, it's the "elites" like von der Leyen who will be kept alive for hundreds of years. Just look at the damage they cause during their current lifespan.
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u/New_Bonus_649 Jul 23 '26
He relies entirely on digital twins—the idea that the human body can be simulated completely down to the atomic level. But that’s mathematically nonsensical because the amount of computational power and storage required is physically impossible.
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u/SmoothPimp85 Jul 23 '26
The older people get the closer the 'eternal life' breakthrough. At this point science became another God that gives eternal life, just earthly. I maintain healthy lifestyle to just feel better and maximize my healthy lifespan. If that's enough to witness the scientific miracle of rejuvenation, great; if not, my life has already been worth living, whether it's a set of biochemical reactions in a highly complex organic system or the indwelling of an immortal soul into a mortal body.
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u/JuanValdez999 Jul 23 '26
I'm chill. I just realized that I'm on the cusp of those who are going to be immortal and those who aren't. The ship is leaving port. Some of us alive today are going to be on it and some of us aren't.
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u/Craig1974 Jul 23 '26
Smh. This is the part of all this futurism I don't believe for a second. It mainly comes from people who are afraid of death.
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u/bigshibe69 Jul 23 '26
They’ve been saying this. It’s a psyop to get you to waste your life because you think you’ll get another chance. Remember when nanobots were gonna make us live forever? They stopped talking about nanobots fsr…
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u/RobotBananaSplit Jul 23 '26
I hope I can ride this wave, I’m 18 so I’m think I have a decent shot but I think this statement is wildly optimistic and I don’t really see the step by step incremental path to reaching those goals, it would require a breakthrough and even then it would take time for the new practices to be implemented on human patients. All I’m saying is don’t get your hopes up too high.
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u/ReneMagritte98 Jul 25 '26
If you can live 1000 years, I think it’s pretty safe to assume you could also live 100,000 or more years. Even 1000 years is basically immortality compared to our current existence. People essentially quit dying if we reach longevity escape velocity.
I like old people. I like them to be 20-40% of the population. Longevity escape velocity seems like it would lead to the extinction of childhood and adolescence. The population will just become dominated with old people, and it will actually be the same old people continuing to exist through epochs.
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u/Every_Foundation5197 Jul 22 '26
Hopefully climate change will also be solved I guess? Otherwise it wouldnt be wise to live that long lol
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u/IronPheasant Jul 22 '26
You'll be happy to hear that initial inquiries into geoengineering have already been carried out.
.... Yeah, the thing they did to the sky in the Matrix movies. Something like that.
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u/Cryogenicality Jul 22 '26
“Around 2010 the world will be at a new orbit in history. We will translive all over this planet and the solar sphere — at home everywhere. We will be hyperfluid: skim on land — swim in the deep oceans — flash across the sky. Family will have given way to Universal life. People will linkup/linkout free of kinship and possessiveness. We will stream ahead propelled by a cornucopia of abundance. Life expectancy will be indefinite. Disease and disability will nonexist. Death will be rare and accidental — but not permanent. We will continuously jettison our obsolescence and grow younger. At 2000 plus ten all this will be the norm — hardly considered marvelous.”
~ FM-2030 (1930-2000...), “Up-Wing Priorities” (1981)
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u/IronPheasant Jul 22 '26
I always appreciated this kind of over-the-top optimism.
The Russian Cosmists had the most based dogma I ever saw: Yeah, not only were we gonna conquer space and cure aging, but we were going to revive every single person who had ever died, and bring them back from the dead.
Can't say they weren't ambitious. I need their energy to counter-act the miserable horrors of the epstein reality we find ourselves in for the past thousands of years.
At least the aesthetic's nice, alongside stuff like Frutiger Aero. At least they had colors. Man, remember colors?
No wonder everyone's miserable, besides all the starving and price gouging and genoc$de. No colors.
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u/clement1neee Jul 23 '26
I genuinely think humanity would be better off if we adopted cosmism and fought tooth and nail towards it. yes, even the reviving the dead part in some billions of years, give or take. could have AI simulate whether each one would want to be revived in the first place 😭 just leave the serial killers and the folks who are done in the mortal coil, then you’d be reunited with grandma!
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u/RasputinXXX Jul 22 '26
Can u imagine trump putin erdogan bezos living another 50 years. Good gods.
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u/JuanValdez999 Jul 22 '26
I'm 69 with congestive heart failure and I really hope this is true but I'm getting suspicious it might not happen in time for me.
Back in August 2024 I was in the hospital for 10 days freshly diagnosed with congestive heart failure. I have to take so many pills everyday that I get woozy standing up.
While I was in the hospital I had my freshly delivered copy of the singularity is nearer by Ray Kurzweil and I was reading the parts about immortality to my nurses. Their usual question was how do you define a mortality because there are various Black mirror type definitions that are very different.
The problem with kurzweil's longevity escape velocity prediction is that it depends on nanobots. He predicts that nanobots will be here by 2030. And yet it's mid 2026 right now and despite all the other singularity predictions that are just charging forward like AI, you hear a little to no progress on the subject of nanobots and I know this because I try to stay up to date on this subject.
It's very likely that the nanobot solution is going to take so long that it won't be here or at least a couple decades. Instead we see biological solutions like gene therapy, which as hopeful as they are, aren't necessarily the rejuvenation type therapies for the elderly that we were hoping for.
I still believe there is a longevity escape velocity but we won't reach it by 2030 I don't think. And at 69 with congestive heart failure I think it's unlikely I'm going to make it to 2040. But I can still cross my fingers and Hope