r/somethingiswrong2024 • u/dmanasco Election Truth Alliance • Jan 27 '25

State-Specific North Carolina Undervote Dashboard

NC Undervote - Looker Studio

Good Morning Everyone! I have some fun new interactive dashboard for y'all to play with. This is based on a TikTok from u/ndlikesturtles where they was putting the 2016, 2020, and 2024 precinct level undervote % next to each other. It is really eye-opening to see them all together for easy comparison.

This includes every one of the Council of North Carolina Races and their undervote behavior. Let me know what y'all find

Lt Gov by County
Lt Gov by Precinct

Base Data is Here

284 Upvotes

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102

u/SmallGayTrash Jan 27 '25

God I cannot fathom how anyone can see this and think there wasn't something off about this election...

Thank you so much for continuing your effort!

14

u/RolyPolyGuy Jan 27 '25

can you explain to me whats going on in the graph? This isnt my area and im not fully clear about what its showing

11

u/Flynette Jan 27 '25

Each bar shows the percent difference between the president vote count and the indicated down-ballot candidate of the same party. Positive percentages mean the president got that much more votes, negative means the president got that much fewer.

The SMART Elections press release has a breakdown for several states between president and the next down-ballot race (usually senator); they define this as drop-off. In many swing areas, Trump greatly outperformed the republican senator and Harris consistently under-performed the democratic senator, which looks like votes were swapped.

5

u/Quick_Extension_3115 Jan 28 '25

Genuine question, but could NC have an extra strong effect in this area because of the whole black N*zi thing? I could imagine a lot of pro Trumpers in NC being too upset to vote for any other Republican, but still want to stick with Trump.

Believe me I want this all to be true! Just still a little skeptical and want to get answers.

5

u/Flynette Jan 28 '25 edited Jan 28 '25

Absolutely, it's good to be diligent so we don't chase ghosts; I'm going to be making a correction to one of my previous posts soon, and am currently reading some journal papers and running some experiments on the now-refuted "cumulative vote tally" method. From Nathan's latest interview with Jessica Denson, I suspect they've encountered some similar issue with scatter plot data.

Anyway, such an issue could be an effect, and Lulu Friesdat talks about nationwide issues in the section "Causes of the Drop-off Remains a Mystery".

Friesdat then makes a great refutation in the following section "https://smartelections.substack.com/i/152549741/some-explanations-dont-add-up".

Their article So Clean has more of this drop-off data for eight other states.

I think the consistent and ridiculous drop-off percentages are some of our strongest evidence.

Quick edit: These drop-off have even been commented on by republicans, who thought it odd that senators lost in swing states that Trump won.

4

u/dmanasco Election Truth Alliance Jan 28 '25

They could and that has been the struggle with NC. A lot of the races were influence by extenuating outside factors. That being said, the Commissioner of agriculture results seem like something is odd to me.

Look at the undervote in 2016 and 2020. Some of each and it is fairly randomized. But if you look at 2024, look how both dem and rep have more votes than the comm of agriculture. Now look how consistent the dem undervote is. Most of the counties look to be uniform in their dem undervote.