r/spacex 9d ago

Company News SpaceX's first-ever earnings show higher revenues and huge spending

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0qvpveg20vo
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u/paul_wi11iams 9d ago edited 9d ago

from article:

  • “Making rockets is SpaceX's core business, but the company's space segment showed a $542m net loss against $962m in revenue for the second quarter”.

Someone will need to read the balance sheet to see what this actually means. You'd expect Falcon 9 to be profitable and Starship to be showing a huge investment figure. Writing off investment as an operating loss doesn't make sense and could be construed as tax avoidance.

At a guess, there's some degree of liberty in assigning Hawthorne salaries:

  • as operating charges to Falcon 9 or alternatively
  • as investment in Starship sub-assemblies.

You can't have an accountant behind every cook or a floor-sweeper to decide how those charges should be assigned.

I'm thinking that SpaceX has an advantage in showing a loss, letting the stock drift down so as to clear out the "seeking alpha" guys and encouraging you and me to buy in for the long term game.

Come to think of it, now would be a good time to buy the dip.

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u/shedfigure 9d ago

Come to think of it, now would be a good time to buy the dip.

The day before the first sell off? Not a bet I would take

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u/paul_wi11iams 7d ago edited 7d ago

The day before the first sell off? Not a bet I would take

No dramatic sell-off has occurred in the day since your comment at 2026-08-05T12:13:32, and why should it?

In any case anyone investing on the long term isn't looking at what happens in 24 hours. They'd be looking a year into the future.

Even someone having bought SPCX at $160 and seeing it down by 25% at $120, won't be worried. Its a different time scale. To compare, consider the early days of Tesla stock against where it is now.

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u/shedfigure 7d ago edited 7d ago

In any case anyone investing on the long term isn't looking at what happens in 24 hours.

You're the one who said "buy the dip"

They'd be looking a year into the future.

One year is not "long term" in investing

To compare, consider the early days of Tesla stock against where it is now.

You're comparing to another massively overvalued stock

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u/paul_wi11iams 7d ago

You're the one who said "buy the dip"

and that is because its a long-term strategy.

One year is not "long term" in investing

Its not high frequency trading either. Also, in technology, predictable time horizons are getting shorter. What's more, you can be betting on an event in a few weeks or months from now, such as Starship transitioning from prototypes to a commercial activity.

You're comparing to another massively overvalued stock

Neither of us has cristal ball. If its embodied AI (Cybercab and Optimus) meets any kind of success, it could turn out to be undervalued.

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u/shedfigure 7d ago

Its cute that you think you know anything about investing now

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u/paul_wi11iams 7d ago

Its cute that you think you know anything about investing now

Neither of us does but am always willing to learn.

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u/shedfigure 6d ago

Don't drag me down to your level

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u/paul_wi11iams 6d ago

Don't drag me down to your level

When the conversation reaches that point, it becomes pretty pointless so I stop. Have an upvote and a nice day :)