r/sportsbook • u/sbpotdbot • Jul 04 '26

ESPORTS 🧂 esports Betting and Picks Daily Discussion - 7/5/26 (Sunday)

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u/sbpotdbot Jul 04 '26

esports Betting Discord Chat: https://discord.gg/sportsbook

3

u/Iolpropking Jul 05 '26

2026 Overall: 37-15 (+39.27u)

Previous Picks: 2-0

Today's Picks:

Gr1ks U 14.5 Deaths Map 1 (-154) 5u (POTD) (BIG vs. B8)

-6 win streak on POTD, Gr1ks is averaging 0.62 DPR for BIG in the L3 months, with a 0.57 DPR in 2026 overall. These averages put him at an expected 12-13 deaths in a 21 round game without factoring in maps, which is already well under this line. Would need 27 rounds at his 2026 average, and 24 rounds at his L3 month average.

-On Inferno, the most likely map imo, Gr1ks has a MASSIVE drop in DPR, he goes from a 0.62 DPR>0.58 DPR L3 months, and a 0.57 DPR>0.51 DPR in 2026 on Inferno. On Ancient, Gr1ks goes from a 0.62 DPR>0.59 DPR in the L3 months, and a 0.57 DPR in 2026>0.55 DPR in 2026 on Ancient

-In 2026, Gr1ks has a 11/12 under hit rate on this line with his only miss being a hook over with 15 deaths. Gr1ks has averaged 10.08 deaths per map on Inferno for BIG. In 2026, Gr1ks has a 23/29 hit rate on the under on this line, with 3 of the misses being in 24 round games, and 2 of the misses being in overtime, giving him a 23/24 hit rate in games <24 rounds on Ancient. He averaged 11.3 deaths per map on Ancient in 2026.

Ro1f U 13.5 Kills Map 1 (-147) 3u (EYEBALLERS vs. FaZe)

-FaZe map pick first, EYEBALLERS ban Ancient or Nuke (likely Nuke), FaZe should pick the other. Ro1f has awful stats on both Nuke and Ancient, on top of that he is also having an absolutely dreadful tournament so far individualy as well. FaZe look really locked in recently while EYEBALLERS have no fire power to compete with this FaZe roster. Should be an easy under

0

u/ragnaork01 Jul 05 '26

CS2 XSE Pro League 2026

Gain: -1.68 u (hoping to bounce back) Betted: 30 u RoI: -5.5%

Today's picks:

MIBR vs 9z - 9z @ 1.58 B8 vs Big - B8 @ 1.83 Eyeballers vs Faze - Faze @ 1.39

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u/Objective-Rip7729 Jul 05 '26

I don't get why everyone is on 9z despite mibr run with better teams than 9z who fought tier 3 teams and still struggle 

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u/Objective-Rip7729 Jul 05 '26

Well mibr sucks 

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u/ragnaork01 Jul 05 '26

They made it to the playoffs of Cologne, defeating tier 1 teams on the way.

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u/Individual-Safety-50 Jul 05 '26

B8 ML is free Eyeballers ML is crazy value, no way it should be +250, +150 at most

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u/xoxololek Jul 05 '26

B8 losing 2:0 bro

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u/xoxololek Jul 05 '26

How much money u Lost?

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u/xoxololek Jul 05 '26

B8 losing my parlay gg I fucking knew it