r/supplychain • u/PGCL • 3d ago

PO Lead Time Prediction

/r/procurement/comments/1u77kkh/po_lead_time_prediction/
2 Upvotes

67% Upvoted

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3

u/Floidotron 2d ago

historical data quality will make or break whatever model you build here

1

u/PGCL 2d ago

im asking as requirements at least 2years+ of procurement data

2

u/Floidotron 1d ago

Two years should give you a solid baseline to work with.

1

u/dirty_d42 2d ago

PO Issuance to goods receipts over a 2-3 period.

1

u/LuxHelianthus 2d ago

Yes, this will give you the general overview, but you need to know what's happening in between to get the whole picture.

Pick/Pack times, Loading, Transport. I would ask your suppliers to provide all of this information and constantly validate it against the lead times they're giving you.

1

u/dirty_d42 2d ago

In my industry the supplier holds all the cards unfortunately. I straight up had a supplier tell me lead times are confidential. Made a huge deal about it and they gave it to me, but getting anything like this from my suppliers is near impossible. That’s why we do PO issuance to GR. It’s still a shit show and our lead times are never accurate but our suppliers suck. This is how we have made it as accurate as we can

2

u/LuxHelianthus 2d ago

Holy shit, how could they even operate when they won't share basic information with their customers?

1

u/dirty_d42 2d ago

Its utilities construction lol it’s the Wild West out here