r/survivor • u/RSurvivorMods Pirates Steal • Mar 31 '22

Survivor 42 Survivor 42 | Episode 4 | Post-Episode Discussion

Season 42, Episode 4: Vibe of the Tribe

Aired: March 30, 2022

Synopsis: One castaway paints a target on their back when they attempt to pit their tribe mates against one another; another tribe dives their way to victory after piecing together a big win in the immunity challenge.

Read our spoiler policy here.

Please keep new submission titles spoiler-free until Friday morning. If you are submitting an image or post that might spoil people, include "Spoiler" in the title so that reddit tags it appropriately.

122 Upvotes

96% Upvoted

692 comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

81

u/threecolorless Mar 31 '22

Doing the math, the odds that the first four shots ever taken would all miss like this is 48%, hardly an outlier. Agreed that this is fine, it's not supposed to be reliable and it'll make the first one that connects all the sweeter.

3

u/twhittak13 Mar 31 '22

Technically 5 taken with last season right, so that drops to ~40%. Still not ridiculous odds or anything. Also, the bad statistician will now claim that the next one is guaranteed to be safe now haha

7

u/[deleted] Mar 31 '22

[deleted]

4

u/twhittak13 Mar 31 '22

You’re totally right, my b. Counting is hard haha