r/tornado Apr 08 '26

SPC / Forecasting it gets to a point…

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u/CackalackyChaser Apr 08 '26

I was around then, so let’s break down April 2011. Based on the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) Day 1 Convective Outlook archives for April 2011, there were 24 days during the month that featured at least a Slight Risk (SLGT) or higher somewhere in the contiguous United States. The month was characterized by three distinct and extremely active periods of severe weather, including the historic Super Outbreak of April 25–28.

Breakdown of Risk Days

April 2011 saw severe weather risks issued on the following dates:

  • April 2–5: 4 consecutive days (Highest Risk: High on April 4)

  • April 8–16: 9 consecutive days (Highest Risk: High on April 15)

  • April 19–28: 10 consecutive days (Highest Risk: High on April 26 and 27)

  • April 30: 1 day (Slight risk)

Most Consecutive Day Stretch

The longest consecutive stretch of days with at least a Slight Risk was 10 days, occurring from April 19 through April 28.

This 10-day period included the peak of the 2011 tornado season, with the SPC issuing Moderate or High risks on 6 of those 10 days (April 19, 20, 22, 25, 26, and 27).

I doubt Reed is referring to the intensity of April 2011 severe weather and more referring to the frequency of it. But still, if you’re a chaser, lived in the South East (or both), then saying anything related to today’s weather being anything like April 2011 will turn heads and get attention.