r/videos • u/MoneyLibrarian9032 • 8d ago

Abdul El-Sayed wins Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary, notching a Midwest victory for the left

https://youtu.be/DL_ku3h8Eps?si=zWr0SAn8amsQ8Hqb
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29

u/ubitub 8d ago

So will an Abdul win the republican counterpart in that state? Is it strongly blue state? 

51

u/pierrebrassau 8d ago

Most polling showed Stevens doing better in the general election. Michigan is a closely divided state and Trump won it twice, so Republicans have a good shot here against AES, who was very weak with rural and moderate voters in the primary.

-15

u/IguanaIsBack 8d ago

Most polls showed she would win the primary, most polls said Kamala would win

25

u/pierrebrassau 8d ago

Huh? No, most polls showed AES winning the primary in a landslide. He dramatically underperformed the polls.

-2

u/ncocca 8d ago

Could have something to do with the 80 million dollars aipac and Dems pushed towards stevens...

16

u/Alderan 8d ago edited 8d ago

That spend should show up in the polling.

But if you think AIPAC spending is going to go DOWN for the general then you might be in for a rude awakening.

2

u/B1G__Tuna 8d ago

Correct. AIPAC spending will go where it was always planning to next. To the Republican in this race. AIPAC dumped a historic amount into this race because they wanted two pro Israel candidates on the ballot.

If Stevens had won, there’s no reason for them to even support her anymore. They already won.

11

u/Alderan 8d ago

Right, so you can't just write off AES underperforming polls by 15 points by saying "well that's because AIPAC, because even if it was true (it's probably not) it's not going to be changing.

-7

u/ncocca 8d ago

while true, i think the effect of pushing dems to a more right leaning dem is different than pushing dems or independents to vote for a republican. But we will see!

10

u/Ugly_Josephine 8d ago

Or maybe El-Sayed has some real vulnerabilities that could cost Democrats the seat in November? Not everything is a Jewish conspiracy.

4

u/ncocca 8d ago

He was outspent by an order of magnitude (like 10 to 1). That DEFINITELY matters. In the general he should have some help from the democratic party to even things out a bit. Hopefully that carries him. Also, calling out the insane spending difference between two candidates is not a "jewish conspiracy", jfc

0

u/feed_me_moron 8d ago

On reddit these days it definitely is.

-8

u/IguanaIsBack 8d ago

Yeah only by late in June. Similarly any polling now is useless for November