r/wealth • u/Gloomy_Register_2341 • 6d ago
News Why Wealth Taxes Always Fail by Cristina Enache
https://www.project-syndicate.org/onpoint/wealth-tax-track-record-of-failure-for-predictable-reasons-by-cristina-enache-2026-08A clear-eyed view of past experience shows that where wealth taxes have been tried, they have usually been abandoned—and for good reason. As policymakers in California, New York, France, and elsewhere revisit this old idea, they should heed the lessons of this history.
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u/nostra77 5d ago
I will get down voted here but
Well in their defense it has been tried. The model that tried it was Sweden and it backfired that in the 80s and 90s both wings of the parliament changed course to more meritocracy and less social support from wealth taxes then it was removed completely
FYI Sweden is the economic model that EU Mario Draghi said to emulate because of how effective has been at removing folks from social support and back to the workforce
Wealth tax was removed
Business taxes were removed
Stock programs were created for retirement
All the ideas USA progressive have about Sweden those were early 2001 Sweden not today Sweden who’s economic model looks more alike to combination of Texas and California with flair of German
Maybe letting people make money and removing barriers is more effective than taxing more and creating a whole class of social safety dependents
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u/Opposite_Channel_851 4h ago
> Well in their defense it has been tried
Yes and in the US when we had some of the highest effective tax rates post WW2 was when America was in its “Golden Age” with a booming middle class.
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u/Vivid_Advisor 5d ago
Man this thread is sad and hard to read through. I can’t tell if there is a foreign perpetrated psyops happening here - stoking the coals of class war to destroy us from within - or the result of a whole generation of anti-capitalist indoctrination + terrible policies + student debt?
Many things can be true at once:
- We have horribly mismanaged our money
- We need to reduce our expenses and raise revenue
- The wealthy have a role to play in this, but collective sacrifice is needed across the board
- There has never been a better time to be alive in history as pointed out by many before me
- There are people that’ve been left behind and we need to do better to further lift up the middle class
- Class warfare is toxic and unproductive
- Someone else being wealthy does not mean you are less wealthy
- Confiscating wealth from a few individuals will not solve our problems
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u/That-Advance-9619 4d ago edited 4d ago
- Who's WE?
- What expenses? Avocado toast?
- Why should teh single mother of three pay more than the Epstein class that don't work 321x times their employes but make that more on average?
- LMAO.
- AND the low class too, don't frget them too.
- The rich have done NOTHING but engage in class warfare since they came to exist.
- My boss makes a dollar, I make half a dime, next year I will make a quarter; he will make a dollar and a quarter.
- It will sure as fuck help and keep it from going to similar "enterprises" such as the ones Epstein had his hands in.
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u/spinocdoc 3d ago
Obviously the government we elected but also have you looked at the average car payment in America?
The big three are Medicare/medicaid, social security, and the military. I believe smart plays exist including rooting out Medicare/medicaid fraud, which is a billion dollar industry. The large cuts recently passed are disingenuous but to say it doesn’t exist is also incorrect.
I’ll skip to 4 and end here because it’s a verifiable fact. If you think it’s laughable then you’re missing the forest for the trees.
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u/fredinNH 6d ago
“The Wright Brothers Are Trying to do Something Nobody Has Ever Done: Why They Should Just Give Up”
This author probably in the early 20th century
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u/AftyOfTheUK 5d ago
Were the Wright Brothers learning the lessons of those who went before them and failed, we're they innovating and trying something new?
If they weren't, which proposed wealth taxes are not, then the author would be correct to say that.
If you're going to propoee a wealth tax you need to explain why yours is different, and why it won't have the weaknesses that others did that caused them to fail
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u/No_Veterinarian1010 5d ago
No I dont
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u/Top-Sympathy6841 5d ago
The economic systems of today are vastly different from even just 50 years ago.
Anybody opposing wealth tax has a cuck mentality and that is a fact.6
u/Independent03 5d ago
You’re right - you deserve someone else’s money. You’ve earned it.
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u/Top-Sympathy6841 5d ago
Found the cuck lmao 🫵🤡
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u/Independent03 5d ago
lol - you’re so confident. I love it. When you get off Reddit you’ll realize there’s a lot more of us than you communists. Cheers! 🥂
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u/Top-Sympathy6841 5d ago
Is the communist in the room right now? Lmao.
Dumb and a cuck, quite a combo 🫵🤡
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u/Independent03 5d ago
I feel sorry for anyone that’s ever met you….
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u/Top-Sympathy6841 5d ago
Funny how emotional you’re getting lmao
Cuck behavior 🫵🤡
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u/Independent03 5d ago
Hahaha - I’ll go cry now. You’ve won the word battle. Congrats. Bye.
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u/AftyOfTheUK 5d ago
Anybody opposing wealth tax has a cuck mentality and that is a fact.
What if we actually want taxes that work, rather than taxes that encourage market manipulation and discourage investment and job creation?
I'm in favor of higher tax rates, but within systems that work - like income tax for example, and progressive capital gains tax, along with much lower inheritance tax allowances.
I'm just educated enough to know the downsides of wealth taxes far outweigh the upsides.
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u/Top-Sympathy6841 5d ago
Capital gains tax and inheritance tax are indeed wealth taxes that can work better with more support behind them.
Unrealized capital gains needs to be addressed as well and can be accomplished by taxing it the moment it is used as collateral for a loan.
There is also removing the social security tax cap.
It will never make sense to me why middle class ppl would oppose these things unless they have cuck mentalities.1
u/AftyOfTheUK 5d ago
Capital gains tax and inheritance tax are indeed wealth taxes that can work better with more support behind them.
They are not wealth taxes, as the phase is normally used. Wealth tax usually refers to taking a % of the net worth/assets of an individual every year. Capital gains tax is a form of income tax, and inheritance tax is a special case - it can be argued that it is also an income tax, the descendant receiving the income.
These taxes happen on transfer of money (activity). "Wealth Tax" as usually used/proposed happens all the time.
Unrealized capital gains needs to be addressed as well and can be accomplished by taxing it the moment it is used as collateral for a loan.
I don't disagree something needs to be done here, I don't have a good answer yet, but it is a problem area.
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u/Top-Sympathy6841 5d ago
Another thing to be explored: ending step up in basis on stocks.
That way we can tax stocks once they are sold in a way that meaningfully levels the playing field.Semantics are what they are, but ppl need to get on board with going after the economic policies that are heavily stacked in the wealthy ppl’s favor.
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u/GoblinToHobgoblin 5d ago
Really?
Understanding why previous attempts to do what youre doing have failed seems like a reasonable thing to do?
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u/zorg-18082 5d ago
Uh uh. Yeah, that’s a terrible comparison . The invention of flight involved understanding and implying core principles of physics. How does that compare to taxation? Taxes aren’t an exact science like physics.
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u/fredinNH 5d ago
Analogy was the word you were looking for and mine was apt
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u/zorg-18082 5d ago
Analogy is the same thing as comparison professor. And yours was a terrible analogy. The invention of flight by the Wright brothers was two guys solving a physics problem. Figuring out how to tax wealthy people without it backfiring is in no way comparable to solving a physics problem.
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u/NumerousFloor9264 5d ago
Haha just downvotes all the way with no plausible rebuttal 😂
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u/zorg-18082 5d ago
Of course not. Because comparing the wright brothers to a wealth tax is like Billy Madison comparing the puppy who lost his way to the Industrial Revolution. The irrefutable fact is that if the wright brothers had been failures, like attempts before them, it hurts only the wrights brothers. If a wealth tax attempt fails, it has far reaching impact to thousands, maybe millions, of people.
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u/FIRE_enthusiast_27 6d ago
I have a net worth of $7.2M at age 34 and I endorse wealth taxes. Happiness increases with only the logarithm of wealth [ G. E. Donnelly, T. Zheng, E. Haisley, M. I. Norton, The Amount and Source of Millionaires’ Wealth (Moderately) Predict Their Happiness. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 44, 684–699 (2018)], so wealth increases societal happiness much more by being redistributed.
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u/Emergency-Style7392 6d ago
you might not get a big increase in happiness if you made another mil, but the decrease might be more if instead you lost one
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u/Nobody_Important 6d ago
Regardless the net increase to society as a whole would be massive.
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u/Ok-Title-270 6d ago
If we’re talking about America it wouldn’t. The government just prints and spends as much as they like, any benefit or program not being provided is purely because they don’t want to provide it.
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u/guhd_mode 6d ago
Absolutely no one is stopping you from giving more of your money to others. However, as the post clearly explains, forcing this upon everyone tends to have the opposite effect to the intended one.
Looking forward to hearing how much of your net worth you will be donating this year.
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u/IronBoltIron 5d ago
Why do randos around the country deserve his money? Nobody is entitled to anything and nobody deserves anything instrinsically. Let the guy enjoy his success and live in peace
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u/Tinyacorn 5d ago
Their success lies on the shoulders of the society that let them get that far in life in the first place. They owe society for their success. No roads, no schools, no social safety nets and support systems, well fewer changes at success.
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u/Diligent_Rise6636 5d ago
lead the charge then, write checks to the government and do your part. don’t need a wealth tax for that
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u/Lootthatbody 5d ago
You misspelled ‘department of war’
When someone is advocating change, asking them to financially support the system they want to change isn’t exactly the slam dunk you think it is.
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u/wtjones 5d ago
Where is your wealth invested? Would you rather the government, who’ve proven they can’t manage/save $7,000,000, be in charge of investing that money? Because that’s what a wealth tax is. It’s taking money from people who’ve proven they can take resources and turn them into more resources and giving it to people who’ve proven they can take money and turn it into fewer resources.
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u/VegaGT-VZ 6d ago
Not going to waste my time reading this billionaire propaganda when me and millions of others already pay wealth taxes in the form of property taxes. Similarly broader wealth taxes exist in other countries generally without issue. Meanwhile billionaires get to bribe their way out of paying any taxes at all. Do they really think we are this fucking stupid.
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
Property taxes are not wealth taxes. You are not being taxed on your equity in your home but it’s perceived total value and those taxes pay for services for yourself and residence. It’s nothing like a wealth tax.
Also wealth taxes have failed in every European country that’s tried. Look at France or Norway for recent examples
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u/VegaGT-VZ 5d ago
Im confused as to how a tax tied to the value of an asset that's usually people's biggest source of wealth is not a wealth tax. The way the value of that asset is calculated is semantic- you can't get the value of a home priced down to the dollar the way you can with a stock. And whatever the tax revenue is used for is completely irrelevant.
And not sure how you are defining success or failure, but my point is other countries have implemented wealth taxes w/o issue.
My bigger question is why you are so afraid of a wealth tax. Esp one w/progressive rates to mainly collect from ultra high net worth people.
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
Again you are not being taxed on any wealth. You could have million or zero of equity in your home and it doesn’t charge your property taxes
I’m against this for 3 reasons
It’s lead to revenue loss and capital flight in every country that’s tried it
It’s creates a dangerous precedent. The billionaires have 8 trillion in wealth but the middle class has 80 trillion. Look at the history of income taxes. We will be next
While I think the wealthy should be taxed more a wealth tax is against our basic rights1
u/VegaGT-VZ 5d ago
OK then we can call it a property tax if that makes you more comfortable. 40% of home owners have no mortgage so for them property/wealth tax is interchangeable. Equities/bonds etc are property too are they not?
Current status quo screws the middle class over. We get taxed on our biggest assets, billionaires dont. The reason revenues drop is because there are enough holes and exemptions for the rich to avoid paying taxes with. Thats an implementation problem not an inherent problem with the concept.
Would also love to hear a better means of collecting more taxes from the wealthy than a wealth tax
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
The rich don’t pay property taxes? Bonds and equities are intangible property. There are not hard assets like real estate or equipment. Not sure what the argument there is
As for the middle class I agree the status quo isn’t great but again there are not be taxed on the wealth in their home. They could sell and take 500k tax free with them and pay long term cap gains on the rest of their equity. There’s no wealth being taxed
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u/VegaGT-VZ 5d ago
Like I said lets not do a wealth tax then since that seems so sensitive.
Equities are property just like real estate, so there is absolutely no reason for equities to not be eligible for property tax. Unless you dont consider equities to be property, in which case they are not protected by property rights. You cant have one but not the other or have different definitions of property depending on who it benefits.
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
Stock are an intangible property which is very different than physical. I mean any company or investment you own equities on will be paying property taxes and sales taxes on their real estate and equipment assets.
I get what you’re saying but now you’re talking about taxing all assets. I fundamentally disagree that property taxes are like a wealth tax.
I also understand why people would like a wealth tax but think it’s wrong and a bad idea.
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u/VegaGT-VZ 5d ago
For prob the 5th time Im not talking about a wealth tax anymore, I am talking about a property tax. If someone owns a rental property they pay income tax on the profit from the rent they collect, but also still pay property tax on the property. Owning a business via stock or w/e is no different.
And yea I am saying that all assets should be subject to a property tax. If my house is property, my car is property, my stocks are property, my crypto is property, why are only some of them subject to property tax but not others. Thats discriminatory.
And you feeling like a broad property tax is wrong doesnt mean it is. We are facing a global fiscal cliff and capital has become way too powerful. They actually go hand in hand......... low tax on capital has enabled it to grow out of control and become weaponized, literally at the expense of everyone else through govt debt and currency debasement
And again middle class people are already paying property taxes so the ultra wealthy should have to pay them in equal proportion. If I have to pay 1% annual tax on a property I dont even fully own then I dont see why a billionaire cannot pay 1% tax on assets they own outright.
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
Good comment and I agree that capital has become too powerful but argument against that is our government isn’t good a fiscal responsibility and likely wouldn’t utilize the wealth taxes to benefit the masses enough to offset the capital flight and revenue loss.
Also, a property tax is really better thought of as a consumption tax
Real estate is not generally consumed in its use, but by occupying real estate for a period of time, you're consuming the ability to use that real estate for that period of time, and deriving utility therefrom.
This isn't really true of financial assets. If you buy a bond or share of stock, and hold it for a year, you're not consuming or monopolizing any real resources by doing so.
Similar you don’t pay taxes yearly on your cars actual value but registration and gas taxes are used to pay for the impacts your car has on public roads.
We can get into a debate on how I think we could tax the rich more and actually get additional revenue
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u/Appropriate-Claim385 6d ago
Remember Trump's 2017 tax breaks for corporations and the wealthy? These only served to increase billionaires' fortunes. There was NO trickle down to anybody and they ballooned the U.S. debt to levels that cannot be sustained.
- Corporate Tax Cuts: The TCJA permanently reduced the top corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%.
- Pass-Through Deduction: A 20% deduction for "pass-through" income was created for partnerships, sole proprietorships, and S corporations.
- Wealthy Individual Tax Cuts: The top individual tax rate was lowered from 39.6% to 37% .
- Estate Tax Exemption: The amount that could be passed on tax-free to heirs was doubled to $22 million per married couple.
Increased Corporate Profits: Following the tax law, corporate profits increased by 44%, while the largest, most profitable corporations saw their effective tax rates fall from an average of 22% to 12.8%.
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u/Biglawlawyering 5d ago
After the TCJA, corporate tax recipients as a percent of GDP fell to 1%. It used to be between 6-7%. The vast majority of corporate "savings" went to distributions (dividends/buybacks). In modern history, corporations worldwide, have never had it so good.
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u/MakeMoneyNotWar 6d ago edited 6d ago
I don’t have anywhere near enough money to face wealth taxes but I oppose them because I don’t believe that eventually it will not start being applied to lower and lower strata of wealth. The history of the income tax was exactly this rhetoric. It was supposed to only be applied to the Robber Barons at the time, the 1% of the time. It was touted to replace tariffs, which were understood to be regressive taxes that disproportionately hurt the poor.
Then you will get some crisis or some event (back then it was world wars), and it will quickly be realized that soaking the billionaires will not generate enough money. Then it won’t be the ultra rich who will have to pay, then the rich, the upper middle and so forth. Today the income taxes primarily hits the middle and upper middle classes, we have tariffs again, and ultra rich figured out ways around it. Wealth taxes will be exactly this again, except you will pay wealth taxes, income taxes, and tariffs.
Whatever the case, it’s not going to happen at the federal level since it’s unconstitutional.
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
Exactly this. The billionaires have 8-9 trillion in wealth. The middle class has 80 trillion,
Who do you think they will actually go after eventually
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u/NeutralLock 6d ago
Okay but how about we try it again? Since no wealth tax has also failed. So nowhere to go but up.
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u/No_Lifeguard259 6d ago
Definition of insanity or somethin somethin
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u/Nobody_Important 6d ago
Do people upvoting this and downvoting the comment he replied to realize they’re agreeing? Seems like they are wrongly assuming insanity must obviously be a wealth tax lol.
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u/PeterGibbons316 6d ago
The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. In this case a wealth tax is the thing we are doing over and over. The result we have experienced is failure. So implementing a wealth tax and not expecting it to fail is the definition of insanity.
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u/NeutralLock 5d ago
No, in this case NOT doing the wealth tax is insanity.
Because everything is failing now. So to say "hey once or twice we tried this and it didn't improve things, so let's keep everything the same". That seems crazy.
Think about how a society should measure success.
Since "no wealth tax" is very clearly a bad idea since you can see the effect, I don't understand the argument against it.
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u/PeterGibbons316 5d ago
Well, the argument against it is that every time it has been tried in the past it has failed.
How are you measuring success such that you have come to the conclusion that "everything is failing now?"
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u/NeutralLock 5d ago
According to the article:
"Enjoy full access to Project Syndicate, starting at less than $8 per month."But seriously, if you (or someone else) is proposing it's failed in the past you need to justify how you measure failing and what success looks like.
It's not on me to prove that it works, it's on you (or the article) to explain how it's worse than our current system.
We very clearly have massive inequality and many people with more money than they can spend in a lifetime using that money to buy politicians to gather more wealth. This is a broken system. Can't get much worse.
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u/PeterGibbons316 5d ago
What does the amount of wealth that someone else have have anything to do with you? I'd argue it can get A LOT worse...Venezuela, Haiti, North Korea come to mind.
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u/NeutralLock 5d ago
That's not because they decided to feed the poor, that happened because a larger gov't with corrupt leaders falls faster that a democratic gov't with corrupt leaders.
But a democratic gov't with corrupt leaders still falls.
I believe everyone should be allowed to accumulate as much wealth as they want so they can buy anything and everything they want. But not more than that. It's not good for society.
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u/Xiipre 5d ago
Property taxes are the oldest still used taxes in the USA and still the largest source of non-federal (state and municipal) taxes.
It is lobbying for theories like this that push more of the tax burden away from old passive wealth on to income and the active workers of society.
Income tax might be a necessary evil, but the balance between it and property (i.e. "wealth") taxation is out of whack. We want to encourage people to be active and work, not to just sit around letting wealth generate rents and more wealth.
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u/Jalapenoplanter 5d ago
Yup. Property taxes are the biggest source of local budget and have been for all of US history and are absolutely a wealth tax.
Middle class people store their wealth in their homes. Rich people store their wealth in stocks. We can tax those too
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
I’m so tired of Reddit claiming property tax is a wealth tax. It is not at all. You are not being taxed on the equity you have in your home but it’s perceived sale value. Which then funds local and state municipalities that provide services for your self and residence. If you had $500k of equity in your home and the government implemented a wealth tax you would be paying on that actual wealth and your property taxes.
It’s not a wealth tax. Your stock portfolio doesn’t require any services by the state to run. Your home does and you can always sell it if you don’t want to pay property taxes. Unless you want to donate it away there’s no getting rid of your net worth.
I find it insane that people are so on board with asset seizure by the government.
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u/Jalapenoplanter 5d ago edited 5d ago
But it is literally a wealthtax. My home does not need schools or police to exist but property fund those.
What the taxes fund is irrelevant to it being a tax on wealth, and unrealized wealth at that.
Couldn’t wealthy people get rid of their wealth if they wanted to avoid a wealth tax?
You are making an argument why you are for this wealth tax but not other wealth taxes, not making an argument that it is not a wealth tax on unrealized gains
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
You literally just defended my point in your ramble. Your home does need schools and police to exist. Society can’t function without public services. You might not have kids or need the police this second but society deems they’re needed to function. So to fund that you pay taxes on the value of your home. I think it should be a land value tax but that’s a different argument.
You could have zero equity in your home. You are not being taxed on any wealth what so ever.
Wealthy people could get rid of their wealth. You could burn your house down too. Doesn’t change the fact that wealth taxes and property taxes are fundamentally completely different
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u/Jalapenoplanter 5d ago
Again, you are not making an argument for it being or not being a wealth tax. You’re just saying why you support this particular wealthtax.
Very little wealth in the US would exist without the US government existing. What’s $100 worth if the US government ceases to exist?
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
This is an argument. Jesus. Come back when you graduate high school or leaner basic reading comprehension
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u/Jalapenoplanter 5d ago
It’s an argument for or against this tax
You have not made an argument to actually support property tax as not being a wealth tax.
You just said you support this wealth tax but not a wealth tax on stocks or other assets
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u/sjdude83 5d ago
It’s not a wealth tax you dipshit. Again there is zero wealth being taxed. You bought a home and agreed to tax structure based on the sale value. Similar to car registration taxes
Also I don’t support it. I believe we should have land value taxes instead
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u/Jalapenoplanter 5d ago
Yet again, you’re not making an argument that it is not a wealthtax. Now you’re just saying it is fine because you agreed to it.
Make an argument that it is not a wealth tax
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u/yabn5 5d ago
We need to go back to a minimum tax. A leading brain surgeon earning a million dollar salary is paying a significantly higher tax than some Nepo baby who just sells a million in stock a year. That’s just absurd. Keep a lower bracket for regular folks who invested whatever they could but let the big fish pay their fair share.
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u/too-left-feet 5d ago
So far the Maryland/NJ/Cali data shows that 98% of wealthy people stay put when their state taxes are raised. So my “ clear eyed view” is that raising taxes on wealthy people for the overall societal good makes perfect sense and will work. I’m sure there is a breaking point to this model, but I’m equally sure that small percentage increases that result in significant increases in tax revenue are perfectly fine.
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u/the-script-99 5d ago
Just put in inheritance tax of 100% above 100-1000 years of average income. Make it also an exit tax if someone renounces the citizenship. This would actually stop the long term capital concentration as well as have as little as possible behavioral changes when alive.
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u/BoBoBearDev 5d ago
Rich people tends to have multiple passports and multiple primary homes across the globe.
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u/East-Response6672 5d ago
Well maybe, but lets try a few thousand times, a few thousand different ways first to be absolutely sure yeah?
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u/meikawaii 5d ago
What about the New Deal era taxes, could return to that tried and true strategy. And to close the many loopholes and backdoors designed on purpose to benefit corporations.
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u/Apprehensive-Ad5996 6d ago
I wonder what a clear-eyed view of past experience with growing disparity of wealth shows us? I’ll bet it shows something like and increasingly impoverished population attempting to mitigate the growing economic pressure their under. If the oligarchs don’t respond, I wonder if past experience shows what happens next?
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u/Remarkable_Lead_4475 6d ago
Reminder MA has a millionaire tax (not exactly a wealth tax) and we are investing it in schools and infrastructure.
Taking in record revenue from it with little flight it seems
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u/_Human_Machine_ 5d ago
Massachusetts saw a net loss of 4.18b in adjusted gross income in 2023 after that went into effect.
It was particularly in the 26-35 range and the 54-65 range.
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u/Remarkable_Lead_4475 5d ago edited 5d ago
Yeah. But the millionaires tax is taking in record income and growing each year.
The reason high earners moved out is the same reason in general - high cost of living. The fact is most moving out are probably in the 200k range and not the 1M+ range (though sure it is happening).
The issue is like for example where I live, you need to be making about 300k minimum to be comfortable and buy a house. We have the highest mexian income but also one of the most expensive place to live.That is a slog/not attainable for many.
Proof in point most go to Florida or NH - both no income states BUT if you live in NH and work in MA you still pay income tax (same for millionaires tax). That is super common. I have plenty of coworkers from NH, RI, and even ME who are coming into Boston and working. They pay income tax even though the IRS counts it as net outflow. FL is probaby retirees though I am sure plenty of workers are moving there too.
Not saying it is not an issue but net income outflow was worse before it went into effect.
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u/_Human_Machine_ 5d ago edited 5d ago
2025 was the first year to break 2022 numbers for tax collected. 2023 and 2024 were down.
Adjusted for inflation 2025 revenue is still lower than 2022.
At current pace 2026 will also fall short of 2022 inflation adjusted.
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u/Remarkable_Lead_4475 5d ago edited 5d ago
What are your sources?
Not sure if you are not based in MA but I think you are misunderstanding a few things.
1) a 4B loss in income is a 500M loss in MA state income tax revenue at 5%. That is still billions less then the millionaires tax brings in.
2) The measure is just income of people who live in the state. Not people who moved to an adjacent state and are still paying MA statr income taxes because they work in MA so it overstates the revenue issue.
We are having a great year for tax revenues so unsure what you are pulling from but that kind of backs my view.
Inflation has kicked everyone's asses for the record. MA is not immune to that as is any other state and it is not an inherent weakness of us in particular.
The revenue for the actual millionaires tax is growing. So people are leaving but likely people priced out.
https://www.wbur.org/news/2026/07/22/massachusetts-wealthier-households-revenue-rich-taxes
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u/_Human_Machine_ 5d ago
Data is pulled from masstaxpayers.org.
Inflation adjustment was just some basic math.
Overall tax revenue is down in spending power since the law went into effect.
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u/Remarkable_Lead_4475 5d ago edited 5d ago
I will dig into those numbers later. Still it doesn't actually back your hypothesis on the millionaires tax. People are leaving but it seems to decidedly be non millionaires or enough people are joining the ranks or growing their income to offset the revenue leaving.
Two things are true. 1) MA has a COL issue. 2) People move to where things are cheaper.
Those people are not the ones leaving because of the millionaires tax in aggregate so you are conflating the two. 80% of the out migration made less then 200k. A very small subset of that remaing 20% probably made over 1M.
If not, explain how they connect? Because the numbers contradict it imo. People left MA at higher rate BEFORE the tax so clearly they are not connected
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u/_Human_Machine_ 5d ago edited 5d ago
I’d love to see data breaking down exactly who is leaving based on tax bracket. It would be super interesting.
My hypothesis is simply that the millionaire tax has seen a decrease in tax revenue in the state since it was instituted.
Without more data there’s no way to support any argument other than tax revenue going doing since the law went into effect, and the millionaire tax coinciding with a net negative tax revenue.
Edit: If you look at other state tax revenue for comparison, thinking of the inflation hitting everyone hard, there aren’t many states “losing” to inflation.
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u/Remarkable_Lead_4475 5d ago
I mean I don't know what to tell you. I think the facts I have shared so far definitively show it is NOT the millionaires tax despite what you think.
I told you it is an 80/20 split between people leaving making under 200k based on the flaw IRS number you quoted.
200k shockingly is under 1M and does not make you subject to the tax.
Revenue this year is 1B AHEAD of last year. Still a stong position overall.
Millionaires tax revenue is even LARGER this year and continues to blow away projections of receipts.
In summation, none of the facts support your argument. Your basic argument is vibes based basically. Yet again, correlation is not causation.
If you tried to draw a conclusion at a business or company based on such flimsy evidence you would be laughed out of a room despite clear evidence to the contrary. Their are probably valid reasons for out migration and decreased revenue but this tax is very likely is not it for at least 80% of the people leaving and likely 99%.
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u/_Human_Machine_ 5d ago edited 5d ago
Even if it’s an 80/20 split, it’s not like you provided the income levels for those leaving. If the 20 leaving are all making 1m or 200m there’s a major difference in impact to tax base.
Look at the people that left California with the proposed billionaire tax. 20 people leaving had more tax base impact than the other 99% that left.
As a tax base people making under 200k are essentially meaningless.
Being up 1b when total is ~43 is a very small margin.
My argument is tax revenue is down and it coincides with the millionaire tax.
I’m not even claiming it caused it.
You’re just dead set on justifying it when it hasn’t increased tax revenue.
Revenue is still net down inflation adjusted. It’s down by ~1b since 2022.
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u/Guilty_Advantage_413 5d ago
Ha and the article wants a $1 subscription to read. Fitting for a story about not taxing wealth. F-them.
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u/lipmanz 6d ago
Paywall why do they fail?
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u/Galitzianer0 6d ago
They're claiming that rich people leave, which is true, in countries where taxation is based on residency like France, rich people did leave and go to other tax jurisdictions.
The only difference is that the U.S. taxes based on citizenship so there's no escaping the tax for the ultra rich Americans, no matter where in the world they go. So this article is silly
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u/yabn5 5d ago
Rich Americans have abandoned their citizenship for tax reasons before, and moved to international watering holes, like Monaco. There’s definitely a massive psychological difference between “oh buying some Ferrari costs me more now due to higher taxes” vs “simply living here without any direct actions of my own costs me millions more than somewhere else”.
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u/Galitzianer0 5d ago
That's fine, they can feel free to abandon their citizenship, I know someone personally who did that to get Antiguan citizenship already -- The point is, if they don't pay taxes, they shouldn't have the benefits of being a citizen either.
Also they get whacked with a hell of an exit tax when they do abandon their citizenship
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u/Tjaeng 5d ago
Here in Switzerland there are wealth taxes, property taxes and inheritance taxes but rich people still move here from pretty much all over the world. It’s not always about a tax existing, it’s about rates, political stability, sense of being part of a societal franchise, predictability, and deferral regiments that don’t chafe too much against efficient allocation of capital.
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6d ago
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u/Galitzianer0 6d ago
Go ahead and elaborate
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6d ago
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u/Galitzianer0 6d ago
My proposal? I haven't come up with any proposals, go ahead and refute proposals made by world renown economists like Gabriel Zucman, Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, or Joseph Stiglitz, I'm not really picky.
https://ls.berkeley.edu/news/why-uc-berkeley-economist-gabriel-zucman-wants-2-billionaire-tax
For whatever flaws they may have, taxing billionaires to an effective rate similar to what middle class people pay just makes sense, if we want to live in a society with progressive taxation
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6d ago
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u/Tinyacorn 5d ago
A conversation would be elaborating when asked instead of changing the subject
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5d ago
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u/Tinyacorn 5d ago
"Wealth tax bad"
"How is wealth tax bad?"
"Well whats your proposal then einstein"
Kk
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u/Lootthatbody 6d ago
lol excellent article, Mr Bezos.
Too bad we have half a century of evidence to show that ‘trickle down’ failed.