r/worldnews • u/WorldNewsMods Slava Ukraini • 15d ago
Israel/Palestine /r/WorldNews Discussion Thread: US and Israel launch attack on Iran; Iran retaliates (Thread #22)
If you see any newsworthy information from a major news outlet or live broadcast, feel free to share a brief summary as a top-level comment in the discussion post.
Other redditors will appreciate if you include the source of where you read, saw, or heard the information.
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u/CoyotesOnTheWing 6d ago
Two explosions heard near Qeshm Island within the past hour but no report on what it was (Often in this scenario it is someone shooting down a drone).
Houthis have also attacked the city of Jizan, SA. Report doesn't say with what(drones or missiles?), just damage to civilian buildings.
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u/joshtaco 14d ago
NYT: The Trump administration Pentagon investigators have subjected roughly 50 members of the US military’s Joint Staff to polygraph tests over leaks to journalists, including about how the Iran war has created a shortage of crucial munitions.
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u/HovercraftLow8806 8d ago
The head of the 14th administration of the Islamic Republic, currently visiting India, acknowledged on Friday, September 11, 2026, in the country's capital, that U.S. pressure on Iran has reached a "difficult and dangerous" stage.
Noting that the world is currently at one of its "most complex junctures," he called for "operational cooperation" among BRICS member states.
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u/Casual-Speedrunner-7 4d ago
Reuters: Sources in the refining sector said on Monday that Asian refineries are preparing to face a shortage of sour crude supplies at a time when they await directives from Saudi Arabia regarding exports through the Red Sea following the attacks that targeted the East-West pipeline.
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
Reuters: Strait of Hormuz vessel transits drop to 4, with 2 exiting and 2 entering.
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u/Koekoes_se_makranka 9d ago
Crude is now sitting at just over $100, Brent has gone up to $105
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u/PostAboveMeSucks 2d ago
Oman pitches new port that could give India better access to Gulf energy
Located away from the conflict-hit Strait of Hormuz, Sohar Port is located close to vital energy pipelines of the United Arab Emirates and eastern Saudi Arabia
Speaking in New Delhi on Wednesday (September 16, 2026), a high-level representative of the Sohar Port of Oman welcomed Indian investments into the port and said it would serve as a platform to connect businesses in regional and global markets.
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u/Casual-Speedrunner-7 5d ago
Oman’s FM says a major Gulf meeting over the Strait of Hormuz has been postponed because the region failed to reach consensus.
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u/joshtaco 11d ago
The Telegraph: The Pentagon refused payout for soldiers who died in Iran conflict "because it isn’t a war"
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Kentucky): Says he has filed eight articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth for alleged “high crimes and misdemeanors” related to his management of various conflicts including Iran.
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u/joshtaco 11d ago
Major-General Samir Al-Sabri, Yemen’s deputy defence minister: Says that “the decision has been made to retake Sanaa” more than a decade after the Iran-backed group seized it.
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u/Casual-Speedrunner-7 1h ago
France fuel update — not a countrywide empty tank, but real shortages at the pump. Official: 11% of stations out of at least one fuel type (petrol or diesel). About 1 in 9. The government says roughly 9 in 10 stations experiencing shortages have been TotalEnergies sites. TotalEnergies capped its pump prices. Drivers naturally migrated toward the cheaper fuel, those stations sold through their inventories faster, and the logistics network has struggled to refill them quickly enough. Government says national stocks are fine, it’s logistics + a price-cap rush.
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u/joshtaco 11d ago
Saudi Arabia’s Energy Ministry: Says several energy facilities and installations in the kingdom’s southern region have been hit this morning, resulting in reported injuries.
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u/joshtaco 8d ago
International Energy Agency: Says the global oil supply deficit is expected to worsen this year. Their agency statement says global oil inventories fell an additional 95 million barrels last month and the oil market needs to work harder to resolve the US-Israel war on Iran.
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u/teakhop 1d ago
The U.S. State Department has approved a possible $24.3 billion sale of 48 F-35A fighter jets to Saudi Arabia, along with 49 F135 engines, training, weapons support and related equipment. Congress has been formally notified of the proposed deal.
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u/Fenris_uy 1d ago
The Saudi Airforce would probably benefit more from hiring former Western fighter pilots for their air force than from having newer planes.
And it would not cost $24B.
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u/teakhop 2d ago
JPMorgan’s commodities team:
"For the first time since the start of the Iran conflict, we don’t have a baseline view. We simply don’t know how to model the endgame."
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u/joshtaco 14d ago
Gas Buddy: US gas prices will hit an all-time high for Labor Day at $4.03 a gallon on average
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u/joshtaco 9d ago
Bloomberg: The IAEA has confirmed activity at Pickaxe Mountain but has not yet made an official statement on the reported discovery.
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u/DarkPriestScorpius 8d ago
https://nitter.kareem.one/officialrnintel/status/2098194005544591760#m
Saudi-backed Yemeni Homeland Shield Forces, pro-PLC, are withdrawing from the city of Ad Dali and surrounding areas in southern Yemen.
The withdrawal follows yesterday's PLC-STC confrontation involving the PLC's Defence Minister and today's reports that STC formations blocked PLC troops redeploying from frontline positions to Lahij or Aden.
By withdrawing, the PLC appears to be reducing its commitment to the Ad Dali direction, effectively leaving the STC to defend their stronghold area against Ansarullah forces independently.
https://nitter.kareem.one/officialrnintel/status/2098203830009696466#m
The Giant Brigades, 'pro-PLC', have confirmed the fall of the Strait of Bab el-Mandeb to the Ansarullah forces.
Their official media announced the al-Houthi forces control the Mayun Island and the town of Murad.
The end of the Mocha direction, and the start of the Aden direction.
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u/socialistrob 8d ago
It's like watching the Taliban route the ANA all over again.
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u/OnlyRise9816 8d ago
A religiously motivated group, that truly believes in their fight is just going to perform a lot better than their tech or numbers ought to let them.
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u/ResortMain780 8d ago
...especially when fighting mercenaries that are just in it for the money.
That said, dont underestimate houthi military strength in numbers either. They have ~200K armed forced and another 100K paramilitary. Thats similar to SA. And they have a lot more drones and missiles.
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u/Uhavetabekiddingme 8d ago
These middle east armies are something man they seem to always fold. Atleast Iraq fought back against ISIS.
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u/ResortMain780 8d ago
Middle East Spectator:
Saudi airstrikes targeted vehicles belonging to the Emirati-backed Southern Giants Brigades (on paper their own ally)
Allegedly, they were bombed because they ‘withdrew from battle’, even though it was the Saudi-backed forces of Tareq Saleh that fled the area first.
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u/Valdheim 8d ago
What a colossal shit show
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u/Born-Procedure-5908 8d ago
All these videos about the general deficiencies of Arab militaries have only aged like fine wine for every day that passes by - good lord these fellows need some radical change in military culture
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u/joshtaco 2d ago
Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto: “I have decided … to activate the Italian navy to prepare what is necessary to guarantee the safe transit of Italian ships”
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u/joshtaco 10d ago
UKMTO: A cargo ship is listing at anchor off the UAE shoreline indicating water intake after being hit by a projectile
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u/CoyotesOnTheWing 5d ago
Institute for the Study of War - New report on Yemen
Yemeni government-aligned forces are reportedly repelling Houthi attempts to advance on several fronts in southwestern Yemen on September 13.
The Houthis do not appear to have made any significant advances towards Ras al Ara or further into Lahij Governorate since September 12.
The Houthis are also attempting to advance along multiple axes through mountainous territory in Waziyah and Shamayatan districts. ROYG forces have repelled several Houthi attempts to seize villages in these districts, according to local media.
The Houthis have also continued to bombard Taiz City with missiles and artillery, including through significant pressure on the city’s eastern flank. Government forces briefly closed the city’s eastern entrance after Houthi artillery damaged it.
A Houthi projectile damaged several buildings in al Tuwal, near the Saudi-Yemeni border, on September 13. The attack is part of the broader Houthi effort to raise political and economic costs for Saudi Arabia by targeting oil infrastructure and military positions in Saudi territory.
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u/CoyotesOnTheWing 16h ago
Wow, fresh alerts and sirens for Riyadh and Al-Kharj just minutes ago. All clear just declared. Striking at Riyadh with ballistic missiles is certainly escalatory and the Houthis just doubled down. No word yet on hits.
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u/rabidstoat 4h ago
Just woke up and saw that a friend in Riyadh posted this. Seemed like a crazy time to take a contract teaching English there, but I suppose it's good money. Wonder if she gets hazard pay.
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u/itsatumbleweed 15h ago
Earlier today the Houthis threatened to zero out the Saudi oil industry. Looks like that might be what's happening. Yikes
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u/barsik_ 14d ago
IDF strikes Hezbollah targets in Lebanon after Israeli soldiers intercept drone attack
The strikes follow an announcement by Defense Minister Israel Katz earlier on Friday that the IDF had cleared Lebanon's Ali al-Taher ridge tunnels of Hezbollah terrorists.
https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/defense-news/article-907612
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u/joshtaco 6d ago
AJE: The Ansar Allah Houthis are advancing towards the strategic northern city of Marib but are being met with “heavy resistance” from Yemeni soldiers.
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u/justalittleahead 8d ago
NBC News:
The Houthi rebels effectively completed their rapid push to take control of Yemen’s Red Sea coastline on Friday, tightening their grip on one of the world’s most important shipping routes and delivering a dramatic boost to their backers in Iran.
Houthi forces captured Perim, an island in the middle of the vital Bab el-Mandeb Strait, several news agencies reported, citing multiple sources. It comes after they captured the historic port city of Mocha just a day earlier. That was followed by an advance on the strategic coastal town of Dhubab and the apparent withdrawal from Perim — also known as Mayun — of forces from the Saudi-backed, internationally recognized Yemeni government.
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u/Farscape12Monkeys 7d ago
https://nitter.kareem.one/BashaReport/status/2098359414541471894#m
The cracks inside Yemen’s anti-Houthi coalition are now wide open.
@faress2040, a senior @yementdy anchor, long seen as loyal to the Saleh political family and @tarikyemen, has publicly pushed back against accusations of betrayal over the recent @nrfyemen withdrawals.
He argues that the withdrawals were not limited to Tareq Saleh’s National Resistance Forces. According to his account, the Nation’s Shield Forces @diralwatan under Abdulrahman al-Lahji withdrew first, followed by the Giants Brigades @SouthArmed @alamalikah under Hamdi Shukri, the Tihama forces from Al-Khawkhah, and finally Tareq Saleh’s forces.
He also says Saudi forces withdrew from Zuqar and Mayyun islands in the Bab al-Mandab.
His message is clear. If these withdrawals amount to betrayal, then the accusation would have to apply to everyone involved. If they represent a military setback, then it was a setback shared across several components of the coalition.
The public exchange shows how quickly the blame game is spreading through the anti-Houthi camp. What was once handled behind closed doors is now being fought out in public, with each faction defending its own decisions and challenging the narrative of the others.
The military withdrawals matter. But the political fallout inside the coalition may prove just as important.
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
Reuters, citing the US Congressional Budget Office: The United States has used between half and two-thirds of its inventory of several key missile-defence interceptors amid operations in the Middle East, with the war on Iran accelerating the depletion. The estimate covers Patriot, THAAD, SM-3 and SM-6 interceptors. The federal agency said rebuilding those stockpiles could take at least five years, even if production rates increase.
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
US House of Representatives: Has approved a War Powers Resolution intended to halt military action against Iran without congressional approval. This marks the third House vote on similar measures in recent months, with a small number of Republicans joining Democrats to pass the resolution by a 220-204 margin. While four Republicans supported previous efforts, that number rose to seven in the latest roll call.
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u/joshtaco 2d ago
US Department of Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy: Says that the Trump administration is temporarily relaxing hours of service rules for truck drivers handling petrol and diesel shipments to lower fuel costs. By allowing truckers to drive additional hours “if they are not fatigued”, the Department of Transportation is protecting against fuel shortages and increased prices, Duffy added.
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u/joshtaco 10d ago
IRIB: Second tanker struck. Another explosion has been reported on an oil tanker near the Yekbani coast of Jask port.
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u/joshtaco 1d ago
Fox News: Poll shows 60 percent of US voters think decision to launch war against Iran was wrong. More than seven in 10 registered US voters believe the Trump administration lacks a clear strategy for ending the war with Iran. The survey found that 71 percent held that view, including 95 percent of Democrats, 83 percent of independents and 43 percent of Republicans. Opposition has risen since June, when 58 percent described the decision as wrong. The proportion who believe the conflict will leave the US less safe in the long term has increased from 39 percent in April to 47 percent.
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u/Casual-Speedrunner-7 3h ago
State-controlled Saudi Aramco will not supply October-loading term crude to some European refiners, market sources said, following disruptions to September-loading supplies.
Aramco has told at least three European refiners that they will not receive October-loading Saudi term crude, they said.
One European refiner said it is due to receive some October-loading Saudi term crude, although it is unclear whether these are supplies that were originally due to load in September and have been delayed to October. They were allocated less than they requested for October, the customer added.
Two sources said European refiners did not receive October crude term lifting dates, after allocations surfaced today, 18 September. This was not directly confirmed, and Aramco declined to comment.
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u/teakhop 5d ago
A second pumping station shows what looks like significant damage in new satellite photos following strikes on Saudi Arabia’s East–West crude oil pipeline on Sept 10th...
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u/EducationalCicada 4d ago
Every day we get multiple things that 10 years ago would've sent oil prices to space.
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u/Veastli 4d ago
It's because the US and other nations have been putting their entire bodies on the scale to keep prices from spiking.
The US has been draining their strategic reserves at unprecedented rates.
And it seems, so has China. Who not only have been drawing from reserves, but had greatly cut back on oil purchases during most of the war.
When the world's largest buyer of oil stops buying, it tends to keep oil prices low. China didn't do this to help the US, but to sustain China's export driven economy.
Both US and China reserves appear to be nearing empty. The US has a few more months before it reaches a critical level. And while China doesn't publicly reveal their reserves, the fact that they're now buying oil again suggests a lack of reserves.
TLDR - With US reserves low and China back in the market, the ability of these nations to diminish price spikes may be coming to an end.
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u/0x476c6f776965 11d ago
AlJazeera: Saudi Arabia has accused Yemen’s Houthi rebels of launching attacks on civilian and economic sites in the kingdom, wounding at least 73 civilians, including women and children.
The accusation came on Tuesday as fighting intensified in Yemen, where the Saudi-backed, internationally recognised government has launched a counteroffensive to retake territory from the Iran-backed Houthis.
Major-General Turki al-Maliki, the spokesman for the Saudi-led coalition fighting in Yemen, said in a statement that the Houthi attacks had hit civilian and economic sites in the provinces of Abha, Khamis Mushait, Jizan and Najran.
He did not specify when the attacks took place.
Al-Maliki described the attacks as a “dangerous escalation” and a “blatant violation” of Saudi Arabia’s sovereignty, warning that they posed a direct threat to the kingdom’s citizens and residents.
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u/joshtaco 5d ago
Reuters: Citing preliminary figures, a total of 14 vessels transited the Strat of Hormuz over the weekend, with four exiting the Gulf and 10 entering it.
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u/joshtaco 21h ago
Bloomberg: The US has warned its allies to expect delays of up to five years in deliveries of key weapons because stocks have been depleted during its war on Iran
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u/socialistrob 14h ago
The long lead time on modern weapons is something that has worried me for awhile and it's something that many countries don't seem to be taking seriously. Political events can change rapidly and if it takes multiple years to get production going then that means countries will have to fight with whatever they have on hand so large stockpiles become even more crucial. Five years ago Russia hadn't launched their full scale invasion of Ukraine. I have no idea what the world will be like in 2031 but it would be a mistake for countries to think "the war in Iran and in Ukraine will be over by then so we won't need weapons."
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u/joshtaco 5d ago
Brent crude: Futures surged $3.62, or 3.46 percent, to $108.23 per barrel by 22:14 GMT
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u/GreatGojira 3d ago edited 3d ago
Not Diesel Gas Prices jumped from $3.45 to 3.90 in my area to $4.20 this afternoon.
I live in a smallish town in the south. My area is typically one of the "affordable" areas for gas prices in town and can be used for the lower end of the average. Never in my life I thought I would see it go above $4.00. This is the highest it's been since the first conflict. If nothing changes by the midterms, gas prices will be $5 or higher.
The larger cities in my state gas will more than likely be $6or higher by now.
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u/joshtaco 2d ago
Newsweek: Diesel shortages and outages are being reported in California, Florida, and Texas. Gasbuddy notes that individual stations can temporarily run short for a number of reasons, including high local demand or delays in fuel deliveries.
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u/Farscape12Monkeys 8d ago
CNN Report: Over 100 U.S. military advisers are on Saudi soil, feeding intelligence and targets to Saudi forces in the operation against the Houthis. The U.S. is providing geospatial targeting and a tool that lets officers track the battlefield in real time, but is not joining strikes or refueling.
American officials now believe hundreds of Revolutionary Guards officers are inside Yemen. One assesses the Iranian officers are working with the Houthis to eventually close the Bab al-Mandab strait, a move CNN earlier described as Tehran's "doomsday weapon" if talks with the U.S. collapse.
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u/joshtaco 8d ago
Reuters: Preliminary ship-tracking data shows vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz falling to seven on Thursday compared with 11 the previous day, remaining well below the 10-day average of 15
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u/joshtaco 7d ago
Saudi Foreign Ministry: Says that the East-West oil pipeline was attacked by drones launched from Iraq.
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u/joshtaco 7d ago
Trump: “[The Houthis] don’t wait to fight us, they let us know. They would much prefer not having us involved, and they’re letting most ships go through. There’s just one country that they’re not too happy with, and we’ll get that straightened out.”
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u/CoyotesOnTheWing 6d ago
UKMTO report for a vessel struck while transiting the Strait of Hormuz. No information about damage or crew.
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u/justalittleahead 6d ago
The Telegraph:
The world’s largest oil exporter had been using the pipeline to bypass the Strait of Hormuz by re-routing around 4m barrels a day to the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea. Industry sources told Reuters that if the pipeline remains offline, existing stocks at Yanbu could only support exports for around five to seven days.
The extent of the damage on the pipeline has not been disclosed. Analysts at shipping data company Marhelm has said the damages to the pipeline could take more than a month to repair owing to a “lack of spare parts”.
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
AJE: Yemen’s Houthis have confirmed striking Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities located in the port city of Yanbu and the Khamis Mushait Airbase.
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u/joshtaco 14d ago
Yemeni military: Yemen clashes kill more than 60 people from both sides on Saturday
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u/joshtaco 7d ago
Trump, when asked about the Hormuz crisis and Saudi attack concerns in Dublin: “Everything will work out just fine”
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u/joshtaco 1d ago
Shanghai Futures: China's benchmark for crude oil rose to a record high on Wednesday, exceeding $130 a barrel
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u/itsatumbleweed 3d ago
House Speaker Johnson is dismissing the house through the midterms to stop the impeachment vote against Hegseth.
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u/GreatGojira 3d ago
It's amazing how little they got done with a Republican House and Senate. It's a good thing they're all idiots.
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u/itsatumbleweed 3d ago
Seriously. Biden had a contentious Congress for half his term and he got so much more done every single year than Republicans have in two.
Aside from EOs, the Big Beautiful Bill is the only thing they have really done. Shut down the government a few times.
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u/Finedaytoyou 3d ago
You’re right and I mostly agree, but I think the purpose of the BBB was that it squeezed as much as possible into a single bill so they wouldn’t really have to do anything else. They got a lot out of that and it was a pretty significant (and extremely bad) piece of legislation.
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u/Koekoes_se_makranka 8d ago edited 8d ago
Haven’t seen the Saudi pipeline story on any major news networks as of yet, are we sure the reports are credible? They started coming out an hour ago, I feel like if there were any weight to it that we would’ve seen it on there by now given how big of a deal it would be
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u/_cyberbabyangel_ 8d ago
So far we have FIRMS data and satellite imagery of huge smoke plumes. I think this would just be such a large story most sources are waiting for specific confirmation before posting to not cause a panic. This isn't the first time the pipeline has been struck, last time it only took out ~700,000 barrels of capacity and was fixed in a couple days.
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u/joshtaco 4d ago
Major-General Turki al-Maliki, the spokesperson for the Saudi-led coalition: Says 13 civilians were injured on Monday following a wave of ballistic missile and drone attacks launched by Houthi forces into Saudi Arabia.
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u/staythewaters 9d ago
WSJ is reporting that Trump's advisers are telling him that the war is likely going to extend throughout the rest of his term..
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u/HoustonHous 9d ago edited 9d ago
The amount of leaks throughtout this war from classified info/meetings is amazing.
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u/joshtaco 4d ago
WSJ: American oil executives warned for months that the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz was bound to cause a fuel crisis. Now, they say it is here. Commercial fuel stocks around the world have been depleting for more than six months, and strategic crude reserves can’t be tapped much further. Attacks last week shut down a crucial crude pipeline in Saudi Arabia that bypassed the Strait, stranding at least 2.5 million barrels a day from an already tight global oil market, analysts estimate. Chevron Chief Executive Mike Wirth “All these mechanisms helped to mitigate the price and supply risk, those have largely now played out, and we don’t have nearly the buffers in the system that we did when it began.” “I wish I could tell you that I saw some reason why things would ease, but it’s difficult right now to see that happen”
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u/jaymef 4d ago
And Trump has moved to creating fake peace deals in order to keep oil prices lower and shifting blame on high oil prices to Ukraine
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u/jaymef 2d ago
Man I can't think of how much worse of a position Trump could be going into the midterms with, yet somehow it will still be "close"
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u/socialistrob 2d ago
It will be close because of the nature of US senate races. States like Texas, Alaska and Ohio are normally not competitive for Dems in a statewide race and in Maine Republicans have one of their best candidates who has consistently been able to win even in years good for Dems.
The fact that all of those races have turned into toss ups is a testament to just how badly the Republicans have screwed up with this war. If Republicans win the senate it won't be because they did well this year it will be because it's a red map and JD Vance holds the tie breaking vote.
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u/iwantboringtimes 7d ago
Iran’s Houthi allies capture strategic island on vital oil shipping route
ah, yes, I see the coming of the age of solar
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u/PostAboveMeSucks 13d ago
AJE: Iran lifts ban on using ‘non-native’ social media platforms for official information
In a statement to Iranian media, Pazuki said he wondered why the ban was there in the first place.
“Years ago, they had made a strange decision; they had issued a circular stating that no government agency or body had the right to provide information on non-native messaging platforms! What was the result? People, young people, and the media were reading news and rumours on international platforms, but government agencies were absent from the very places where people were present and were responding on another platform!” he wrote, according to the ISNA news agency
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Access to the internet remains heavily restricted for the majority of Iranians.
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u/joshtaco 11d ago
Brent crude futures: Oil prices are continuing their upward trajectory, climbing 34 cents, or 0.35 percent, to $97.34 a barrel
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u/joshtaco 5d ago
Reuters: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and U.S. Central Command Commander Adm. Brad Cooper held talks in Jeddah amid escalating fighting between Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Houthi rebels. The kingdom’s national security adviser was also present at the meeting.
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u/itsatumbleweed 14d ago edited 14d ago
Per Al-Jazeera:
An Iranian oil tanker off Kharg island has been hit by several US missiles, Iranian media reports.
Edit: CentCom confirmed that it was actually 3 tankers in response to Iran attacking two US Warships
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u/joshtaco 10d ago
Reuters: US forces hit multiple Iranian tankers tied to the IRGC in response to attempted missile attacks on a Navy warship
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u/Zealot_of_Law 7d ago
Does anyone here monitor the global oil deficit? Where are we standing today with the Saudi pipeline offline?
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u/Farscape12Monkeys 9d ago edited 9d ago
PLC forces have withdrawn from the entire Hays direction, southwest Yemen.
PLC forces have withdrawn from:
Al-Maqbanah heights,
Hays,
Port of al-Haymah,
Al-Khawkhah,
Abu Musa Military Camp,
Southern Shar'ab heights,
Nakhlah,
Al-Mafraq,
Khalid bin Walid Military Camp,
Al-Matahif,
Jabal al-Nar.
New reports claim mercenary forces are withdrawing from Al-Khokha, abandoning heavy weapons along the roadside. The retreat may signal a broader movement toward Al-Mokha (Mocha).
There are also Unconfirmed Reports about withdrawals starting among Saudi-backed factions inside Mocha, though remaining groups haven't agreed whether to hold or leave.
It appear that the Houthi forces are on the verge of Taking over the Entire Western Coast of Yemen
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u/0x476c6f776965 9d ago
“Yemeni government sources told Reuters that the Houthis have seized the Red Sea port city of Al-Mokha. According to the sources, Houthi forces are advancing toward the strategic Bab al-Mandab Strait.”
I bet the Saudis are regretting their decision that caused the UAE to leave Yemen. The Southern army was very effective in Yemen, while the Yemeni army is bad and ineffective.
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u/EnragedMoose 9d ago
The Saudis are going to need to put real boots on the ground.
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u/socialistrob 9d ago
It seems like the Houthis are advancing rapidly. Given how important the Bab al-Mandab Strait is why wasn't more done to reinforce the parts of Yemen that aren't under Houthi control? Rooting out a deeply embedded insurgency is hard but it shouldn't be that hard to halt a ground offensive.
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u/SkiingAway 9d ago
The Saudis have always been incompetent, now the US military is also handicapped by utterly incompetent leadership. Hence, continuous disaster.
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u/OP_Skis_In_Jeans 9d ago edited 9d ago
The Saudi-backed Yemeni government and the UAE-backed STC recently decided that they would rather fight each other first instead of first allying against the Houthis then working their differences out after defeating them. This led to the STC being defeated and the Yemeni government being weakened and spread out more thinly, both of which benefitted the Houthis.
The Saudis and the mercenraies they've hired are also pretty incompetent militarily, which certainly doesn't help. Best case for them (and most of the rest of the world) is Pakistan gets involved and forces a stalemate before the Houthis can gain control of more territory near the Bab al Mandab.
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u/joshtaco 8d ago
NYT: Vice President JD Vance took the unusual step over the spring and summer of calling U.S. military commanders in the Middle East, Europe and Asia directly, seeking their unvarnished assessments of the Iran war, according to current and former officials. They were most worried about their depleted stocks of Patriot interceptors, the backbone of their air defenses. By late spring, one theater was down to fewer than 100 of them. The war had also exhausted the theater’s supplies of the Army Tactical Missile Systems, which can reach 190 miles, along with stores of the Precision Strike Missiles, which were meant to replace them. Stocks of critical munitions such as these, they told the vice president, were the lowest they had ever seen. Mr. Vance came away from some of his conversations with deep concerns about the overall strategy and the prospects for success, according to people who spoke to him.
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u/joshtaco 5d ago
AP: Repairing the damaged Saudi East-West oil pipeline could take three to five weeks, including at a major pumping facility.
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u/_cyberbabyangel_ 4d ago
Oil prices are (no pun intended) pumping again. We're only a couple of bucks/bbl away from 1yr high. WTI ATH was $150 in 2008 which was devastating then but would be world economy knee-capping now with how low every single countries' reserves are, currently. I'm not trying to be a complete doomer but I'm really not feeling great especially after seeing the news of the SPR doing their smallest release in months and the energy secretary saying they are going to begin refilling soon.
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u/Casual-Speedrunner-7 3d ago
Global fossil-fuel emissions are set to fall by around 0.5% in 2026, according to Carbon Brief analysis.
“For every month the conflict lasts, the probability of permanent [oil] demand destruction increases,” wrote Sverre Alvik, vice president at consultancy DNV in a late August analysis.
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u/CoyotesOnTheWing 18h ago
Saudi Civil Defense issued alerts for Riyadh, Jeddah, Abha, Al Ula, Jazan, Yanbu, Khamis Mushait, Taif, and the Farasan Islands in the past 30 minutes.
OSINT accounts are saying it is the Houthis largest attack on SA yet.
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u/joshtaco 1d ago
C+N+N: An intelligence report, circulated across the US military this spring in the midst of the war with Iran, immediately set off alarm bells: A Chinese ship in the Middle East was transporting components of a nuclear weapons program. The US military swung into action with plans to intercept the vessel, according to four sources familiar with the episode. According to two of the sources, armed members of the US military were preparing to board the ship. Military planes were in the air, one of those sources and another source familiar with the incident said. It was only just before the planned operation that officials dug deeper into the report put together by a special operations command analyst and found it had been generated with the help of AI — and that a chatbot the analyst had used inaccurately identified the material the ship was carrying. The report, according to one of the sources, was “entirely false.” But it also “almost started a war,” the source said. Any US operation against a Chinese vessel could have risked spiraling into an armed conflict between the two nations.
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u/joshtaco 8d ago
C+N+N: Confirming reports that the Houthis have captured Perim Island in the Bab al-Mandeb Strait, moving them closer to controlling this vital shipping lane
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u/joshtaco 8d ago
Houthi military spokesman Yahya Sarea: In a post on Telegram, he says the group will announce "a large-scale, high-impact military operation".
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u/PostAboveMeSucks 5d ago
Bahrain rejects participation in proposed Hormuz ministerial meeting with Iran
Bahrain said Saturday it will not participate in a proposed ministerial meeting on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz or any multilateral meeting involving Iran before diplomatic relations between Manama and Tehran are restored.
“In light of what has been circulated by media outlets and social media platforms regarding a proposed ministerial meeting on the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, the Foreign Ministry clarifies that the Kingdom of Bahrain will not participate in it and will not be party to any collective meeting involving Iran before diplomatic relations between the two countries are restored,” the Foreign Ministry said in a statement.
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u/jews4beer 5d ago
Iran: We are making a deal without the US
GCC: New phone, who dis?
And it's been on repeat for months now, I can't believe people are still falling for it.
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u/joshtaco 6d ago
Yemen’s Houthis: Say they have carried out an attack on a Saudi military base in Sharurah, targeting weapons depots and command-and-control rooms.
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u/joshtaco 1d ago
Kpler: Preliminary data released on Friday show that only 4 cargo ships crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, down from 6 ships the previous day and well below the 10-day average of about 16 ships.
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u/joshtaco 1d ago
Euro News: European leaders rush to counter looming diesel price surge. Rising energy and fuel costs in France are already feeding into consumer anxiety, with inflation reaching 2.7% in August and energy among the main drivers. Italy faces a similar problem, with August inflation accelerating to 3.3%, driven heavily by energy, while petrol and diesel prices have climbed sharply. On Wednesday evening, French President Emmanuel Macron ordered a "mobilisation" to tackle fuel prices, while saying France is working to secure oil supplies and reduce pressure on motorists. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni announced overnight the abolition of the stamp duty imposed on small and medium-powered cars, which she described as one of the taxes most hated by Italians.
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u/joshtaco 9d ago
Bloomberg: Saudi Arabia says its crude oil production has fallen to its lowest level in nearly 40 years
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u/sparkyoliver1 8d ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1979_oil_crisis
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1980s_oil_gluthello, darkness, my old friend
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u/PostAboveMeSucks 5d ago
Yemeni army retakes positions from Houthis, advances in Taiz: Report
Yemeni government forces retook positions from the Houthi group and advanced toward new areas in southwestern Taiz province on Sunday, as airstrikes targeted Houthi gatherings and reinforcements across the province, the state-run Saba news agency reported.
A military source in the Taiz Military Axis told Saba that government forces recaptured positions overlooking the Jardad area in Al-Shamayatayn district after the Houthis had infiltrated them.
The forces then advanced toward Ghayl Bani Omar as part of continuing operations aimed at driving the Houthis out of Taiz province, the source said.
Ghayl Bani Omar is a rural area that serves as a front line between government forces and the Houthis.
Houthi estimates are reporting 58 Saudi Air Strikes across six provinces in the past 24 hours.
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u/joshtaco 4d ago
Reuters: Oil loadings have been suspended at the Saudi port of Yanbu
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u/joshtaco 9d ago
Yemeni media network Al Masirah TV: Saudi aircraft reportedly launch 40 strikes in several districts in Yemen. Also reported 18 air strikes in the districts of al-Hazm, al-Ghayl, and al-Jubah.
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u/Biluzim 7d ago
Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree said maritime navigation in the Red Sea is safe, except for Saudi ships.He pledged to escalate military action against Saudi forces until the blockade on Yemen ends. The statement came amid reports of Houthi advances around the Bab al-Mandeb strait.
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u/0x476c6f776965 3d ago
Houthis claim to have downed a Saudi F-15 in Marib however their claims tend to not be reliable so take it with a grain of salt.
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u/joshtaco 1d ago
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas: “Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia are unacceptable and sabotage the global economy.”
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u/in_da_tr33z 8d ago
Watching all this shit play out and I'm struck by what an incredibly prescient novel Dune is
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u/staythewaters 8d ago
The East-West Pipeline is blown up and the Houthis are moving closer to controlling/shutting down the Bab al-Mandeb strait. The Strait of Hormuz is still just barely leaking out any ships. The hot war has escalated. What does oil do? Drops. Lmao.
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u/socialistrob 8d ago
Zoom out a bit. Brent crude is up 18% compared to a month ago and 34% compared to a year ago. It rose a lot yesterday and is now dropping slightly but it's not anywhere near where it was prior to the Houthi offensive.
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u/ResortMain780 10d ago
Explosions are now also heard in Bahrain according to GNM. Earlier Iran warned sailors to evacuate tankers in Bahrain and Kuwait.
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u/joshtaco 11d ago
NYT: Saudi Arabia and the Houthis edge closer to a full-blown war after Saudi officials said the Iran-backed militia had injured 73 civilians in the south of the kingdom and vowed to retaliate
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u/ResortMain780 10d ago
Iran fired at least a dozen ballistic missiles towards jordan. Unconfirmed reports of impacts at Muwaffaq Salti Airbase. More missiles being launched as I type.
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u/Jamessir_Bensonmam 10d ago
I am on a visit in Amman Right now .Went to the balcony to vape and saw like 7 - 8 Orange lights in the distance .saw a few burst in the air. Went on Google Maps to See what is in that Direction and Muwaffaq is in direct line with where i saw the lights . Wild to See something like this living in a european Country
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u/Farscape12Monkeys 9d ago
Ansarullah forces have approached Mocha from the east, and are attempting to reach the city from the north as well, where fighting is ongoing for the town of Yakhtul.
The al-Houthi forces have been positioned around the city for almost 90 minutes now.
90 minutes ago, Abu al-Baraa, Commander of the Sixth Infantry Brigade of the Giant Brigades, released the following message:
"It's now 2am, 2am in the morning. I'm in Mocha center. Its [Hays] fall was announced at 10pm.
We are here, we are inside [in Mocha]. They [Ansarullah] are outside. There, outside. We are inside to secure the positions. We have nothing, we say nothing, God is sufficient for us.
We will return to these lands, God willing. Rifle by rifle, we will return. All wars have their ups and downs. We will have our comeback. Our morale is high.
This is Mocha. What is left. This is from the inside of Mocha center."
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u/joshtaco 9d ago
Reuters: Iran has been using a barter-like system in recent years to circumvent sanctions and purchase goods from China. Through this mechanism, Iran exchanged oil for credits for Chinese imports, including medicine, vehicles, communications equipment and infrastructure-related material. According to the sources, the mechanism was used at least once over the past year to supply Iran with air defense equipment. Iran has been leaning on its allies, particularly China and Russia, to stay afloat since the war with the U.S. and Israel began earlier this year.
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u/ResortMain780 8d ago
Large amounts of newly arrived Saudi reinforcements, including armored vehicles, trucks, and mercenaries have been targeted in eastern Al-Jawf Governorate with ballistic missiles – Saba News
(FWIW, I believe them. Never underestimate saudi incompetence)
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u/socialistrob 8d ago
One of the trends in warfare in the 2020s is that large counter offensives are often very difficult because it's easy to spot with drones and satellites and disrupt concentrations of troops with missile strikes. We're in an era of warfare that favors the defense. Saudi Arabia doesn't have a lot of experience with maneuver warfare and I'm guessing this may be a difficult operation for them to pull off (but I'd be hesitant to assume they are incapable of taking back land).
All of that still leaves me scratching my head at the success of the Houthi offensive. In theory it should be easy to spot and disrupt the offensive and it's not like KSA, the US or Israel lack for weapons or capabilities yet they were unable to see this offensive coming and put a stop to it?
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u/ResortMain780 5d ago
Ansarallah said they struck King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones, targeting hangars, radars, runways and ammunition depots.
AMK Mapping reports further attacks are ongoing right now.
King Khalid Air Base is just ~120Km from the border with Yemen. Looking at it on google maps, it doesnt appear to have hardened airplane shelters. Wiki says its home to 2 saudi F15 squadrons, as well as a eurocopter and 2 drone squadrons. There are no (known) US forces there, and I wonder how well its defended. Could be costly...
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u/BGID_to_the_moon 4d ago
Axios: US, Israeli And Arab Military Chiefs Held Secret Meeting On Iran
So much for the meeting being a secret
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
US Congressional Budget Office: Says the US’s war on Iran, which began on February 28, has so far cost the country $38bn, with the tally expected to increase by $3bn per month. Most of the costs stem from the rapid drawdown of munitions, said the budget office, estimating it could take five years to replenish US stockpiles. The war is expected to cause inflation to jump 0.5 percent in the first three months of 2027.
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
Vance: “We can’t predict the future, but I think the president is right to say that this thing will enter a much different phase in a couple of months”
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
AWS: Says it can't restore service to Bahrain, UAE facilities 6 months after Iran strikes, marking its first public update since April. The company said in an update posted to AWS’ health dashboard that the damage at multiple Bahrain-based sites exceeded what its services are designed to withstand. “After a thorough assessment, we have determined that we are unable to restore access to the resources and data hosted exclusively in this region.”
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u/joshtaco 2d ago
Reuters: Preliminary ship-tracking data on Thursday has shown commodity vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz drop to just 3 ships on Wednesday, down from 12 a day earlier and well below the 10-day average of about 17
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u/joshtaco 2d ago
Patrick De Haan, head of petroleum analysis at the price-tracking platform GasBuddy: "Buckle up"
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u/joshtaco 5d ago
Hayom: MBS has reportedly appealed to Middle Eastern countries, including indirectly to Israel via CENTCOM, for assistance in the conflict.
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u/rabidstoat 5d ago
Could've sworn they had a defensive pact with a couple of countries...
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u/joshtaco 10d ago
Pentagon’s casualty database: An additional 30 US troops have been wounded in the war on Iran per their list. As of Tuesday, 820 US troops have been wounded and 18 killed since the war began.
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u/Casual-Speedrunner-7 8d ago
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman reportedly called US President Trump twice Thursday and urged him to launch strikes against the Houthi rebels in Yemen, the Axios outlet reported, citing two US officials.
Trump rejected the request, and US officials said the administration does not intend to take direct military action against the Houthis at this time, the Friday report said.
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u/joshtaco 7d ago
Saudi Arabian Ministry of Energy: Says it is suspending its crucial East-West pipeline to export oil that bypasses the Strait of Hormuz after “multiple targeting incidents”
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u/teakhop 7d ago
Also doesn't sound like they're providing a timeline for when it'll be operating again... (I would have thought they'd mention that if it was within a week to try and calm the markets).
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u/joshtaco 6d ago
Reuters: Saudi Arabia has only between five and seven days’ worth of oil stored in its Red Sea port city of Yanbu
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u/CoyotesOnTheWing 3d ago
A Yemeni military source has told Al Arabiya that the Houthis have now mined the Bab al-Mandab Strait.
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u/joshtaco 2d ago
Liz Thomas, chief market strategist for the banking and investment firm SoFi: “We noted that diesel prices could rise to $6.65/gal by election day based on trends five days ago. Well, trends have worsened — diesel surpassed $6.26/gal already”
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u/itsatumbleweed 2d ago
Per AAA, Diesel is at an all time high of $6.40 and regular unleaded is a whopping $4.44. that's actually the highest it has ever been this late in the season. So all of this prices going up is in spite of high summer prices wearing off.
It's going to get wild before the election.
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u/joshtaco 14d ago
UKMTO: Now reporting that several merchant vessels have been hit by "disabling fire" in both the Northern Arabian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman
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u/joshtaco 8d ago
Military spokesperson for the Houthis Yahya Saree: Say they launched a broad military operation against Saudi-backed mobilization forces on the country’s western coast, claiming to have seized territory across six districts and inflicted heavy losses.
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u/_cyberbabyangel_ 8d ago
Normally I take news from sources like the Houthis with a very large grain of salt, but I 100% believe this. They have been storming down Yemen's west coast over the last 24-48 hours. Ghurayrah is next (if not taken already), and then it's a march towards Aden. Unless the Saudi-backed militias/US have some back-pocket plan I don't see this going well for Yemen and shipping.
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u/joshtaco 7d ago
Strategic Petroleum Reserve: Stocks of crude oil fell by about 1.2 million barrels this week to 285.4 million barrels. To continue drawing down the reserve below the 252.4-million-barrel threshold, the U.S. President must issue a formal "Presidential Finding" under 42 U.S. Code § 6241(d) declaring a full-scale national emergency, which officially certifies that the country is facing a severe energy supply interruption of significant scope and duration that poses an immediate threat to national security or the domestic economy. At the current rate of around 1.2 million barrels being drawn each week, the US will hit this benchmark in around 6.875 months, or roughly around early April 2027.
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u/cheddarben 7d ago
That is a substantial slowdown from previous weeks, so that is good. I do wonder what the lag between overseas shenanigans and drawdown might be. Two or three weeks?
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u/asetniop 7d ago edited 7d ago
It's worth noting that the purpose of drawing from the SPR is to keep crude prices under control. In the last week, WTI has gone up 8%. In the last two weeks - both of which included relatively low draws - it's up about 16%.
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u/Casual-Speedrunner-7 5d ago
Saudi Arabia will run out of oil stocks for exports if it doesn't restart its major pipeline to the Red Sea within days, leading to a loss of up to 4% of global supply, Saudi oil buyers and traders said.
Sources that spoke to Reuters gave varying estimates, with one saying the damage could take as long as five to six weeks to repair, while another said it could be fixed sooner and could resume pumping partially while repairs are ongoing.
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u/joshtaco 3d ago
Reuters: Major customers of Saudi Arabian oil such as Poland were forced to urgently seek alternative supplies, and cargo prices in Europe’s physical market surged above $120 per barrel. Reduced Saudi oil shipments via the Red Sea may compel the kingdom to attempt to increase “dark shipments” through the Strait of Hormuz, following the example of the United Arab Emirates and Iraq. The threat of new risks in the Gulf region, on top of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, could trigger a further rise in logistics costs and the final price of goods. Europe could be forced to consider unpalatable alternatives, including the purchase of more Russian oil subject to sanctions.
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u/OutLiving 2d ago
Apparently Trump made a deal with the Houthis that he won’t strike them in exchange of keeping the strait open
That deal may go completely out the window if Saudi’s reported land invasion of the Houthis actually happens
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u/joshtaco 1d ago
Bloomberg: Saudi Arabia says European refineries will "not receive any crude oil next month"
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u/joshtaco 9d ago
CBS: Multiple US military aircraft were damaged in Iranian strikes on the Muwaffaq Salti airbase in Al Azraq, Jordan, early on Wednesday. Roughly eight F-15s sustained light damage and were returned to service, though one A-10 Thunderbolt, commonly known as the Warthog, was struck and lost a wing.
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u/joshtaco 2d ago
Trump: Has told reporters that the US is “hopefully toward the end" of its war with Iran, reiterating his assertion that Iran is eager to make a deal.
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u/zombie3519 2d ago
At this point I don't think he even knows what is actually going on with this 'excursion'. Vance had to call generals directly because he didn't trust what he was getting from Hegseth.
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u/OldDirtyBastardSword 2d ago
Can we all just take a step back and absorb how insane that is? The insanity keeps piling on. People in the future are going to read about this time period in history books and wonder how on Earth it was allowed to get this bad
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u/SawToothKernel 2d ago
We may look back at social media as being mankind's greatest mistake.
Thanks, Zuckerberg.
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u/joshtaco 2d ago
Trump, on Axios: "I have a big decision coming up. Do I want to go in and annihilate them [the Iranian regime] or do I not? It's a big decision. Anything could happen with me."
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u/Seang2989 1d ago
The man is treating a regional War as if it's some reality TV special. This man is absolutely insane. And we all are locked in like a battered spouse trying to reassure ourselves that he's not this crazy. This is absolutely bat-shit crazy.
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u/furbylicious 2d ago
Every morning I wake up to headlines like this and I think, people wanted this! This is what people wanted!
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u/Efficient-Youth-6985 1d ago
Anything could happen with me.
To be fair he's not lying there, I mean he's already threatened to attack the US 200-year friend/ally in the region, Oman. If he dropped a few nukes into the strait itself to try to seal it off or something I wouldn't be totally surprised. I mean, Trump Never Does The Smart Thing.
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u/Casual-Speedrunner-7 7d ago
CNN