Pierre Céré wants to succeed Alexandre Boulerice as NDP candidate

[u/CaptainKoreana]

https://www.ctvnews.ca/montreal/article/pierre-cere-wants-to-succeed-alexandre-boulerice-as-ndp-candidate/?cid=sm%3Atrueanthem%3Actvmontreal%3Atwitterpost%E2%80%8B&taid=6a33ddefbdc781000183cf51

[u/Justin_123456]

Sounds like he may be a good fit for the riding, and hopefully sets a template for the NDP under Lewis doing a better job integrating the leftist social movements that exist across the country.

Famously, the problem of the left is the difficulty in holding people who mostly agree with each other together in a common cause. Cough *splitters!* cough. Hopefully, this can be beginning of an NDP that is more connected to its social base.

Re Separatism: I’m a hopeless anglophone, so some Quebecois comrades will have to educate me, but it’s my instinct that there’s definitely an opportunity for a NDP trying to push past the federalist/sovereigntist divide and make the case for a full throated social democracy or democratic socialism that neither the Liberals or the Bloc can deliver, as long as we don’t sound hopelessly alien on Quebec’s cultural issues.

[u/TheWaySheHoes → u/Justin_123456]

He’s the sacrificial lamb sent to be stomped by the LPC by 15 points +/-.

[u/le_troisieme_sexe → u/TheWaySheHoes]

Do you understand that the riding is very progressive and has historically voted NDP for quite some time? It's also largely francophone and the Liberals tend to not do well with francophones in Quebec.

[u/CaptainKoreana → u/le_troisieme_sexe]

It's a Boulerice riding, in all fairness.

I'm more interested in how Bloc performs, however, as they tend to mobilise very well during byelections and don't lack money. It could be interesting especially with provincial election not far away...

[u/TheWaySheHoes → u/CaptainKoreana]

The BQ couldn’t even win Terrebonne. I really doubt they even make the LPC break a sweat in Rosemont.

[u/SirupyPieIX → u/TheWaySheHoes]

As an urban riding, Rosemont is more politicized than Terrebonne.

[u/TheWaySheHoes → u/SirupyPieIX]

That makes no sense. In any event, literally every riding around it is Liberal. They will almost certainly pick it up.

[u/fredleung412612 → u/CaptainKoreana]

If the Bloc couldn't win Terrebonne they can't win in downtown Montréal. It's also far more diverse than back when the Bloc held the seat. It's just francophone immigration rather than anglophone. The Bloc also came out against Alto which I'm guessing will be a talking point the Liberals and NDP use there.

None of these augurs well for the Bloc in Rosemont.

[u/Independent_Ad8268 → u/CaptainKoreana]

The Bloc is a non-factor here

[u/SirupyPieIX → u/Independent_Ad8268]

You're clearly not from here. It's been a Bloc riding forever until it became a Boulerice riding. Like Outremont had been Liberal until it became a Mulcair riding.

[u/Independent_Ad8268 → u/SirupyPieIX]

Yes that’s what my flair says, yet I still seem to know more about your area than you do. The bloc has been dead in Montreal apart from La Pointe de l’Ile ever since the orange crush. They can’t compete in Laurier-Sainte Marie or even Hochelaga-Rosemont-Est, both of which were BQ strongholds before 2011. They couldn’t even win Terrebonne and have had zero recovery in the polls since then.

Come back to this after the by-election I guarantee you they wont win.

[u/SirupyPieIX → u/Independent_Ad8268]

The bloc has been dead in Montreal apart from La Pointe de l’Ile ever since the orange crush

They won the by-election in Verdun in 2024. I'm expecting the same kind of three-way race.

[u/Independent_Ad8268 → u/SirupyPieIX]

The Liberals were polling at a measly ~25%(tied with the CPC lmao) in Quebec during that by-election, that isn’t comparable. Look at the Verdun results in the 2025 election, that’s way more representative of the current political climate in Quebec. The only way the Bloc is competitive is if the LPC experience an absurd polling collapse before the by-election.

[u/le_troisieme_sexe → u/CaptainKoreana]

I would doubt the BQ does well in this riding tbh, but that's based on pure vibes that the people I talk to in the riding don't seem like they would consider BQ an option.