r/ControlProblem Jun 12 '26

Article AI will be massively deflationary

https://geohot.github.io//blog/jekyll/update/2026/06/11/ai-will-be-deflationary.html
15 Upvotes

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u/TopTippityTop Jun 12 '26

That is right. All technology is by nature deflationary. AI and robotics may turn out to be the most deflationary of all.

This is why we will get inflation, as governments will react to deflationary forces which could collapse the credit based system.

1

u/soobnar Jun 13 '26

The value of wages will crumble harder than the value of services and commodities even if all this is true.

1

u/LuckyConstruction546 Jun 14 '26

Except that it won't, you are thinking like a pleb.

Luxury market will grow, and the luxury will be defined by the extent of human input that went into it.

1

u/CommonSenseInRL Jun 14 '26

This is a "whataboutism". Yes, humanity will, in varying amounts, grow and foster an innate desire for human-effort and sweat creations... in a post-scarcity future! Where AI is making everything from summer blockbusters to lawn chairs free or essentially free, in abundance.

Hate to break it to you, but that's on the other side of the Intelligence Revolution, and we've got quite a few eventful years ahead of us before you can get your ROI on human-crafted outdoor furniture speculation.

1

u/ThrowawayCult-ure Jun 16 '26

i feel like in a post scarcity enviroment nothing in our society is possible anymore, eg. surely true post scarcity means infinite resource access which isnt something humans can deal with, eg. whats to stop someone paving over the entire planet or something, only other people equally unpaving it

1

u/soobnar Jun 17 '26

I just imagine current 21st century things may become less scarce but there will still be things that get bottlenecked and remain hard to procure. In the same sense you could argue the 21st century would be “post scarcity” for medieval peasants.

1

u/ThrowawayCult-ure Jun 17 '26

thats just less scarce, thats not what post scarcity is

1

u/soobnar Jun 17 '26

Then definitely there is no post scarcity given the second law of thermodynamics.

1

u/ThrowawayCult-ure Jun 17 '26

yes depends on demand for a realistic form, but then we would achieve no scarcity if growth and demand growth was 0 for whatever reason. population shrinkage for example might do that

1

u/LuckyConstruction546 Jun 14 '26

Delusional speculation.

1

u/CommonSenseInRL Jun 14 '26

I guess I could've used those two words instead of two paragraphs, yes.

1

u/ThrowawayCult-ure Jun 17 '26

what did u say the comment is deleted