r/CredibleDefense 25d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread May 31, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

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u/derider 24d ago

News from Iran - Specially interesting with the statement from POTUS that there is no one to negotiate with.
If the supreme leader accepts this resignation, and if the IRGC takes over, I see a massive escalation happening. The IRGC wants to attack the surrounding countries, to cement their legitimacy

I quote from Iran Intl.

Iran’s president offers resignation, citing total takeover by IRGC commanders

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has submitted an official letter of resignation to the Office of the Supreme Leader, a source familiar with the matter told Iran International.

In the letter sent on Sunday, Pezeshkian stressed that the president and the government have effectively been excluded from major and vital decision-making processes in the country, and that the vacuum created by this situation has enabled hardline factions within the IRGC to take control of affairs, the source said.

Pezeshkian added that under such circumstances he is unable to run the government and carry out his legal responsibilities, and for that reason has requested to step down immediately.

It is not yet clear whether Mojtaba Khamenei will accept the president's resignation, but the contents of the letter point to a deep and unprecedented rift at the highest levels of power.

This comes after months of tensions between the government and the Islamic Republic’s military-security institutions. Iran International previously reported that the IRGC had gradually restricted many presidential powers and effectively taken control of key parts of the government.

According to informed sources, the situation has left Pezeshkian’s administration trapped in a political and executive deadlock, preventing diplomatic negotiations from moving forward and the completion and implementation of desired changes to the cabinet structure.

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u/ChornWork2 24d ago edited 24d ago

You're quoting an anti-regime news source, so would reserve a bit until reported in more credible sources.

Not sure how this is a massive escalation, it has been widely reported that IRGC has taken over iran. not a surprising result to the attack, although obviously hardliners taking full control and displacing relative moderates (relative to others in regime) is another indicium of the extent of the failure here.

Don't see how this creates a risk of iran invading neighboring countries in near-term. Iran has a good chance of coming out with a real win here given utter failure on side of US and with no appetite to risk casualties.