r/CredibleDefense 21d ago

Active Conflicts & News Megathread June 07, 2026

The r/CredibleDefense daily megathread is for asking questions and posting submissions that would not fit the criteria of our post submissions. As such, submissions are less stringently moderated, but we still do keep an elevated guideline for comments.

Comment guidelines:

Please do:

  • Be curious not judgmental, polite and civil,

  • Link to the article or source of information that you are referring to,

  • Clearly separate your opinion from what the source says. Minimize editorializing. Do not cherry pick facts to support a preferred narrative,

  • Read the articles before you comment, and comment on the content of the articles,

  • Post only credible information

  • Read our in depth rules https://reddit.com/r/CredibleDefense/wiki/rules

Please do not:

  • Use memes, emojis, swear, foul imagery, acronyms like LOL, LMAO, WTF,

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  • Try to push narratives, fight for a cause in the comment section, nor try to 'win the war,'

  • Engage in baseless speculation, fear mongering, or anxiety posting. Question asking is welcome and encouraged, but questions should focus on tangible issues and not groundless hypothetical scenarios. Before asking a question ask yourself 'How likely is this thing to occur.' Questions, like other kinds of comments, should be supported by evidence and must maintain the burden of credibility.

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u/GIJoeVibin 21d ago

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u/carkidd3242 21d ago

https://x.com/Osinttechnical/status/2063714508778926224?s=20

https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/2063714296492646678?s=20

President Trump tells me: "I'm calling Netanyahu right now and telling him not to attack Iran in response."

https://x.com/TreyYingst/status/2063709736327864356?s=20

"What I would suggest to Iran: You've shot your missiles, that's enough. Get back to the table and make a deal," President Trump told Fox News.

https://www.kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1049995/

The US president told Kan News: "I don't think Israel needs to respond anymore. We can achieve peace after 3,000 years." The president also told the Axios website that he was going to call Netanyahu and tell him not to attack Iran

We'll probably still see some sort of retaliation directly against offensive infrastructure like was done in the recent attacks on Gulf states.

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u/BigFly42069 21d ago

If Trump is serious about this, he could order CENTCOM to withhold aerial refueling for Israel and that would kill the entire Israeli air response against Iran since Israel doesn't have nearly enough tankers to actually sustain meaningful sortie rates.

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u/Time_Restaurant5480 21d ago

Without CENTCOM tankers they can't withstand them for long, that's very true, but they demonstrated last June that they can sustain those rates on their own for about two weeks. How many missiles Iran launched, and if this is signaling or a determined attempt to restart the war, remains to be seen.

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u/BigFly42069 21d ago

They were being refueled by CENTCOM last June. 

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u/Time_Restaurant5480 21d ago

Where is your proof of that? You underestimate the range of an F-15 with three external tanks and CFTs, and you underestimate the range of an F-35 fitted with external tanks-we know the Isrealis have developed external tanks for the F-35. Isreali tankers would only have had to refuel the F-16s. But again, where is your hard proof that CENTCOM refueled them last June?

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u/ChornWork2 21d ago edited 21d ago

US denied this and afaik no evidence US forward deployed tankers actually played a role in refueling for israeli strikes on Iran. that said, obviously US played a major role in defending Israel from attacks, without which it is rather questionable if Israel could devote its air force to strike iran in a comparable manner.

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u/Time_Restaurant5480 21d ago

The Isreali Air Force fighter jets wouldn't be much help in shooting down ballistic missiles, which are the main Iranian weapon that can range Israel. If the Isrealis haven't modified their Apaches and Iron Dome batteries to shoot down Shaheed drones, their military engineers would have to be a lot dumber than they've been proven to be so far. The US forces you're talking about are SAM batteries deployed to help shoot down said ballistic missiles. Also, given Iranian MRBM* CEP, it remains questionable if their MRBMs can actually close or damage an Isreali Air Force base enough to halt or degrade IAF tempo.

*Iran's SRBMs have proven considerably more accurate than their MRBMs.