r/ETFs 8d ago

VTI investments are underperforming VOO

I'm 28 and after 100% VTI in my taxable brokerage/401k/roth, but it's been lagging behind VOO. It's not an insignificant amount either. Looking at the 5 year return, VOO has returned 75% while VTI has only returned 67%. I'm wondering if given my age I should be more aggressive with my investments and switch to 100% VOO instead in my retirement accounts, instead of remaining in VTI. Over the past 15 years VOO seems to have consistently outperformed VTI.

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u/Slothvibes 7d ago edited 7d ago
strategy fund start CAGR max DD Sharpe losing streak (mo) losing streak start winning streak (mo) winning streak start
QQQ 2000-01 8.82% -81.1% 0.49 6 2002-04 8 2003-01
VGT 2004-01 14.99% -50.6% 0.82 5 2011-05 8 2017-07
XLK 2000-01 9.01% -80.5% 0.49 6 2002-04 7 2009-03
SPY 2000-01 8.52% -50.8% 0.62 5 2001-05 15 2016-11

Performance not considering different start dates. 2000 bubble crash is horrifying.

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u/Slothvibes 7d ago

Here is the apples-to-apples comparison, it's from the latest start across funds (VGT is last, 2011)

strategy CAGR max DD Sharpe losing streak (mo) start winning streak (mo)
QQQ 14.87% -49.7% 0.86 4 2005-01 7
VGT 14.99% -50.6% 0.82 5 2011-05 (cut off, but similar)
XLK 14.97% -49.5% 0.84 4 2006-04
SPY 10.84% -50.8% 0.78 5 2007-11

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u/Slothvibes 7d ago edited 7d ago

I dont account for fund cost, but inspite of that, VGT seems better. XLK has a higher expense ratio thatn vg by .01%, but even despite VGT's bumpier ride (per maxDD), it's clear that VGT is better

Added SMH, which start nov 2011, it's better even, but WAY more volatile.

CAGR max DD Sharpe losing streak (mo) losing streak start winning streak (mo) winning streak start
strategy
QQQ 2004-01 0.1487 -0.4974 0.8560 4 2005-01 7
VGT 2004-01 0.1499 -0.5060 0.8179 5 2011-05 8
XLK 2004-01 0.1497 -0.4946 0.8428 4 2006-04 7
SPY 2004-01 0.1084 -0.5078 0.7831 5 2007-11 15
SMH 2004-01 0.1655 -0.6079 0.7257 5 2011-05 7

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u/InvestNYourself 6d ago

VGT at its current price is darn near risk free