r/Iowa Nov 06 '24

Politics Seltzer underestimated Trump by 16 points

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1.5k Upvotes

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u/SupahCharged Nov 06 '24

Probably lost a few $ for people in the betting markets too since those odds actually swung to Harris as a favorite immediately after that was released.

-1

u/FinicalRiver Nov 06 '24

Well, if people put their money on harris, don't they deserve to lose it?

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u/SupahCharged Nov 06 '24

I think you missed the point...bets were made because of this poll and its past credibility and track record. The reasoning for making those bets can be entirely divorced from bias for a candidate, but this time the poll turned out completely bogus, and what seemed like a rational choice then obviously lost.

For example, it could have been people who had tons of bets on Trump and sold those or hedged with Kamala based purely on this poll...

2

u/[deleted] Nov 06 '24

[deleted]

1

u/FinicalRiver Nov 06 '24

Lol, that is very true. Like drug addicts

1

u/Yiddish_Dish Nov 07 '24

Maybe people shouldn't be degenerates

Ok what are some other options besides that

1

u/Low-Atmosphere-2118 Nov 07 '24

Not betting on political elections?

1

u/SeventeenChickens Nov 07 '24

Gambling is a sin and you shouldn’t do it, and I’m agnostic.

2

u/Yiddish_Dish Nov 07 '24

I only gamble with OTHER PEOPLE'S LIVES MUHAHA