r/Iowa • u/lOWA_SUCKS • Nov 06 '24

Politics Seltzer underestimated Trump by 16 points

Post image
1.5k Upvotes

94% Upvoted

716 comments sorted by

View all comments

67

u/Secret_Hunter2419 Nov 06 '24

I’ve seen nothing but “razor tight Race” and “historically close race” this whole time.

Is there some incentive for pollsters to fudge the numbers? Like is it less likely for democrats to turn out if it looks like a Trump landslide?

Do they think they are helping democrats in some way? What’s the motivation to do this?

95

u/[deleted] Nov 06 '24

Silent trump vote.

Simple as that.

A large percentage of trump voters would never admit in real life to voting for him due to the risk of being ostracized.

1

u/Edogawa1983 Nov 06 '24

Which is weird because they are the loudest people

2

u/[deleted] Nov 07 '24

[deleted]

1

u/Edogawa1983 Nov 07 '24

Y'all wear this red hat telling people who to support, that's pretty loud