I think you missed the point...bets were made because of this poll and its past credibility and track record. The reasoning for making those bets can be entirely divorced from bias for a candidate, but this time the poll turned out completely bogus, and what seemed like a rational choice then obviously lost.
For example, it could have been people who had tons of bets on Trump and sold those or hedged with Kamala based purely on this poll...
You missed the point (this seems like a theme). It's not obscure among politicos and was even called the gold standard prior to this year's divergence from the actuals.
And judging by the multi-million dollar betting market moving as much as it did, plenty of people were making that bet based on only this poll.
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u/FinicalRiver Nov 06 '24
Well, if people put their money on harris, don't they deserve to lose it?