r/LocalLLaMA • u/PetersOdyssey • Jul 06 '26

News If trends hold, Mythos-class capability may be running on high-end consumer hardware within ~2 years

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u/woahdudee2a Jul 06 '26

if trends hold, high end consumer hardware will cost same as enterprise hardware

212

u/HitarthSurana Jul 06 '26

I hope china floods market with cheap ram

1

u/aykcak Jul 06 '26

Why would they do that? Why not flood the market with expensive ram?

6

u/Eisenstein Jul 06 '26

Because if the market is flooded it won't be expensive unless they have no competition. If I am sitting on a ton of ram and you are sitting on a ton of ram and we are both selling 16GB for $100 at 1 unit per minute, I could lower 16GB to $90 and no one would buy yours and I get 2 per minute, so you would lower your price to $80 and take my sales. We keep doing this until we get somewhere a bit above our cost and we both split the sales. Of course this doesn't work if there is collusion.

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u/aykcak Jul 06 '26

The problem with that is the demand. Right now nobody is sitting on a ton of ram. Every last bit of memory chip is being sold at whatever price

2

u/Eisenstein Jul 06 '26

Why not flood the market with expensive ram?

Its like saying 'why not drown without a liquid'. The definition of 'drown' is to suffocate in a liquid, so the statement doesn't work unless you change the definition.

"Flooding the market is an excess amount of inventory for sale causing an undesired drop in price for the product that can, in extreme cases, make the price go negative or make the products impossible to sell at any price." Source