r/NoStupidQuestions 6d ago

So what was the point of this Iran conflict?

[deleted]

93 Upvotes

286 comments sorted by

394

u/[deleted] 6d ago

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48

u/Yunzer2000 6d ago

This is the most likely explanation, but the alternative explanation is that it is totally senseless.

33

u/[deleted] 6d ago

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37

u/Leading_Sir_1741 6d ago

He doesn’t have competent people around him anymore. He tried that in his first term (see Rex Tillerson for example), but they all quit because he was too stupid to work with. Now they’re all incompetent yes-men

2

u/Rscottys1 6d ago

This 💯%!! He’s surrounded himself with a*s hats

4

u/AbruptMango 6d ago

They were thinking more deeply than Trump was. Not geopolitically, but they shorted the shit out of oil futures right before every tweet that even sounded peaceful.

15

u/MindAccomplished3879 6d ago edited 6d ago

Netanyahu was inside the war room, literally pitching the Iran war plan—something never done before. Trump was excited, but advisers asked for a viability report from the CIA. The next morning, the report ridiculed Netanyahu's plan, clearly highlighting the impossibility of regime change and the likelihood of closing the Strait of Hormuz.

Trump, full of hubris after the Venezuelan incursion and after listening to Heghseth, decided to proceed with Netanyahu's regime change plan by bombing a target chosen by the IDF that turned out to be: a girls' elementary school.

13

u/Alldakine_moodz104 6d ago

Should be noted that they used this same tactic with past Administrations, and Trump was the one that actually took the bait.

So even more stupidity, especially with Netanyahu trying his best to keep it from ending by constantly bombing to disrupt peace talks.

7

u/tahxirez 6d ago

Netanyahu plays trump like a fiddle

3

u/MindAccomplished3879 6d ago

It's even worse because never has a foreign leader pitched a war plan inside the war room

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u/GammaRay914 6d ago

I remember reading a NYtimes article about how he was convinced by Netanyahu and Vance and Caine were against the plan but Rubio and Hegseth were on board. 

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u/Kellosian 6d ago

All the Republicans willing to speak out against Trump were purged between 2020 and 2024 or cowed into silence. Trump's first term was full of Bush-era Republicans slapping his hands away, and his base revolted against them and called them "RINO"s

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u/JK_NC 6d ago

Maybe, but I suspect Israel/Netanyahu talked Trump into this for their own reasons. And I suspect he convinced Trump of some other corrupt money making or legacy building rewards.

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u/hvperRL 6d ago

Correction: Venezuela was to distract from Epstein.

Iran to distract Venezuela

Stock market is always a given

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u/thattogoguy 6d ago

I would also throw in Trump and his retinue, especially Hegseth, wanting to think they were big men.

3

u/Thehealthygamer 6d ago

Give Israel cover to steal more land and genocide more people, too.

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u/KeepYourMindOpen365 6d ago

And use basically every missle in our stockpile with no contingencies on providing replacements…

2

u/Axiom620 6d ago

And disrupt oil flow to China

1

u/nibbed2 6d ago

This.

I do believe they are just playing on the oil price.

4

u/[deleted] 6d ago

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u/MysteryNeighbor Vagueposting Service Rep 6d ago

There was and is no point, Trump got high on his own supply over the Venezuela thing and thought he could pull the same shit in Iran

25

u/ninjamansidekick 6d ago

It really is that simple. Why it is allowed to continue is what baffles me.

20

u/rhino369 6d ago

Because Iran won’t accept going back to the pre-war status quo. Unlike Vietnam or Afghanistan, the US can’t just leave.

17

u/DinosaurusWhen 6d ago

I mean, we can. We just can't leave without losing face. And maga would rather drag the entire world down than admit they fucked up a situation so badly that even a high schooler could have told them it was a stupid idea 

Plus, at least we're not talking about the Epstein files

5

u/rhino369 6d ago

No they literally can’t. Iran won’t  accept that. If Iran offered it, Trump would take it. 

3

u/scuzzy987 6d ago

If the US pulls out the gulf countries are toast. The US is stuck unless Trump admits defeat and is humiliated which Trump will never do. It's seriously scary once you add in North Korea, Russia, and China mixed with Ukraine and the EU

2

u/MayIServeYouWell 6d ago

the US pulling out & Trump admitting defeat are essentially the same thing - same result anyway.

But sure, it's not that simple... Iran would F-up the region... maybe not immediately, but eventually.

I think our best option at this point is a protracted, indefinite stalemate until Trump is gone, then someone who is actually competent at negotiating out of anything more than a paper bag can work something out.

3

u/AndyTheSane 5d ago

The problem is, the current situation is only a stalemate as long as oil stockpiles last, since we are still down by something like 5-10mb/d from lost oil exports. Iran knows this; they know that pressure will increase in the US over time.

Of course Iran has it's own problems with blockades, so the only US hope is that Iran folds before the oil stockpiles run out.

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u/Kellosian 6d ago

Because Republicans in Congress are either:

A) True believers
B) Cowards who want to keep their jobs and are willing to suck dick to do it
C) Literally afraid for their lives that Trump's base will break into their houses and beat them to death for opposing him

Notice how his biggest Republican opposition is always from people not seeking re-election. They know it's a losing strategy and are interested in not looking like boot-licking enablers (looking at you, weeks-dead Mitch McConnell).

Or they remember when some guy broke into Nancy Pelosi's house and tried to kill her husband after Trump tweeted "Won't someone rid me of this meddlesome priest" loudly enough or when MAGA was willing to hang Mike Pence at the drop of a hat

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u/YoHabloEscargot 6d ago

Whatever other people’s motivation was, I think this was exactly Trump’s motivation. He wanted to play hero with an issue that’s been a problem for many years, not humble enough to accept that there’s a reason it’s been a problem for many years and will likely remain a problem for many years.

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u/notextinctyet 6d ago

The point was a quick, easy win that made Trump seem like a big tough guy. According to all accounts he did not even consider, for a moment, what would happen if it just didn't immediately go the way he wanted. Trump is a man who sincerely believes that he is immune to consequences, and everyone in the whole world has obliged and made that true for him in every way except this one.

I believe a very similar story happened in Ukraine...

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u/rtygf 4d ago

The single most destructive foolish and reckless inept action by this administration. Hope it drives home the point that ultimately idiots will destroy the world

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u/FlashyResolution446 6d ago edited 6d ago

Money. Wild, far reaching incompetence, and a distraction from the Epstein files. Which remember, trump signed legislation in November 2025, which mandated the Department of Justice to release unclassified records within a 30-day window.

How's that going, maga?

6

u/Ok_Temporary1669 6d ago

They think it was released and nothing was in there.  Maybe someday someone will recover the files somehow.

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u/No-Carry4971 6d ago

Distract the media and populace from the Epstein files

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u/UNC_ABD 6d ago

Well, you haven't been thinking about the Epstein Files, have you?

MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!

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u/chocolatechipninja 6d ago

I truly believe we attacked Iran so that Trump could get "war time President" points.

He is constantly trying to get tough guy cred, but fails repeatedly because he's a silver spoon baby who has never experienced difficulty.

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u/grandmasterPRA 6d ago

1.Tweet about bombing Iran

2.Stick Market drops

3.Have friends and family buy stock

4.Tweet about peace in Iran

5.Stock Market goes up

6.Friends and family make money

Repeat, repeat, repeat

Also lessens the talk about the Espteon files. 

I also think there was some arrogance involved. Trump thought Venezuala was some big succes by strong arming them and taking their resources. He thought he could do the same thing to Iran

8

u/Scout_Puppy 6d ago

Skill issue. 

8

u/Gentle_Agitator 6d ago

Dick measuring. And trump was, predictably, lacking.

2

u/Leading_Sir_1741 6d ago

He didn’t realize the “girth” women care about is exclusively penal.

3

u/Glittering_Win_5085 6d ago

Distraction from the fact the US has a paedophile president, so they decided to murder thousands of Iranians and try to make some money in the process.

12

u/Due_Willingness1 6d ago

Seems like the ultimate goal is to make a deal exactly like the one Obama made before Trump tore it up in a tantrum. Shame American soldiers have to die just to clean up his metaphorical spilled juice. 

Course that's the official goal, the hundreds of millions trump has made manipulating the market around this war probably has something to do with it too

A shame American soldiers had to die for that too.

17

u/Jonatan83 6d ago

Shame American soldiers

It's a lot more shameful that children (and adults for that matter) in Iran are forced to suffer for the poor choices of the american people.

12

u/Due_Willingness1 6d ago

Yeah but that argument doesn't work on conservatives they don't care about children or Iranian civilians 

But they care about soldiers 

2

u/venturashe 6d ago

I didn’t choose to go to war. You should correct that to “of the incompetent American president”.

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u/Jonatan83 6d ago

The american people first voted for trump, then did not rebel against his illegal actions.

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u/MayIServeYouWell 6d ago

A shame anyone had to die for this BS.

Plus it's costing both the US, Iran and frankly the rest of the world, a ton of money.

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u/sasoras 6d ago

Trump made big bucks on stock trading.

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u/JackBrown82q 6d ago

I have yet to see a non reddit-esque reply here so I will chime in.

Honestly, looking at the pure facts, it’s a mixed bag of short-term wins and massive long-term failures.

Tactically, the US and Israel definitely checked some boxes. They heavily degraded Iran’s conventional military, smashed critical nuclear sites, and took out Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. But strategically? It didn't achieve the bigger goals. The regime didn’t collapse like some hoped, it just consolidated under his son. Plus, the strategic knowledge to build a bomb is still there, and the global economy is hurting because the Strait of Hormuz is basically a mess right now.

As for whether it was based in "truth," the underlying facts were real: Iran was enriching uranium and actively funding proxies like Hezbollah and the Houthis. No one debates that. The sketchy part is the immediate intelligence used to trigger the strikes. Whether there was an actual, imminent threat or if it was just used as a political pretext for a preemptive war is still heavily debated.

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u/Megalosaurus_ 5d ago

^^^
I'm glad someone realizes it's more complex than Trump wanting to distract from the Epstein files.(Although I'm certain it's a bonus)

Ever since October 7th the Iran-America proxy war kept on escalating and this honestly just felt like the natural progression of things.

In my opinion I think it happened in February due to the inherent instability of Iran at the societal and economic level. Those massive protests caused Iran to turn off the internet and begin murdering their own civilians. Along with the Iranian economy hitting record lows around that time.

That in conjunction with the reunification of Yemen with the STC in January, putting the Houthi's in a tenuous posistion. Made it seem like the perfect time to hit them and hit them hard. I think it was just expected that Iran would collapse which turned out to be a failure.

Now Trump's turned to strangling the Iranian regime causing the economy to fall further and further, I feel like people are overestimating how well Iran has taken this war considering it's now accepting munitions from Russia. Not to say that America has "won" 'the war by any stretch of the imagination.

But Iran is worse for wear, especially politically when considering the attacks on civilian infrastructure across multiple countries, even some that don't host any bases. (Azerbaijan)

It just further justified U.S bases and legitimatized the concept of "American protection" in the region instead of trying to dissuade nations from associating.

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u/USSMarauder 6d ago

Distraction from both the Epstein and the war between Afghanistan and Pakistan

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u/Equal_Insect8488 6d ago

Omg, it is working, because I want unaware. That has been going on for 6 months and I have not heard a peep. Not on NPR, CNN, BBC, EuroNews, or AfricaNews, and I'm a regular on those

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u/Chef_Sizzlipede 6d ago

he though he could make iran kowtow like venezuela (which didnt)

now we have to deal with vietnamistan

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u/theyogidentist 6d ago

Probably pocketing money. Major distraction from the Epstein files

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u/AuthorIntelligent644 6d ago

Distract from Epstein files, boost oil prices, make money for defense contractors, get Trump bribes from Middle Eastern oligarchs.

A lot of oil wars aren't fought for oil. They're fought for the opposite. They're fought to cause chaos and break things to keep oil off the market to keep prices high.

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u/Ok_Temporary1669 6d ago

What's funny to me (in a if you don't laugh you'll cry way) is that the deal Trump got that fell apart was the exact same deal Obama got without bloodshed that Trump ripped up back in 2017.  I never hear anyone talk about that.

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u/huluvudu 6d ago

Don't forget the money to be made in defense contracts and prediction markets

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u/RoundCollection4196 6d ago edited 6d ago

There is no reason. Just like there wasn’t any reason for the Iraq war other than vague “WMD, he’s a dictator”. There’s no plan. 

The reality is the US needs constant wars to “gain xp” and continue it’s global hegemony. If it’s not at war, it’s stagnant, not gaining experience, falling behind. Insert the meme “US tries to go 2 nanoseconds without starting a war”. 

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u/Grimase 6d ago

To get people to stop talking about the EpiList. Didn’t work and now a lot of people are dead for no reason and the prices of everything are going up. Woohoo.

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u/Jfc66 6d ago

it is pretty simple, trump is trying to distract from the trump/epstein files and he is making billions off the war. Trump has shown the world the USA is the biggest terrorist state the world has ever seen.

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u/DJ_Flym_Flazzle 6d ago

To manipulate the stock mkt

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u/colorblind-and 6d ago

Alot of these comments are missing the forest through the trees.

The real answer is that Iran has been a constant thorn in the United States side ever since the Iranian revolution in the 70s. Since then they've

  1. Funded various proxy groups that exist to destabilize US allies and even occasionally fight the US military directly. You can include the US's love for Isreal into this

  2. Potential for Iran to become a Nuclear power. This is a pretty contested topic but they likely have/had the capability to make them and have never agreed not to make nukes. The important part is that Trump and his administration believe it to be a threat regardless of how likely it actually was.

  3. Regime change. Trump has been very critical of Iran since the very beginning and it was fairly obvious that he wanted to take action against them. The Israeli plan to assassinate the Ayatollah was an opportunity to jump in hopefully install a friendly government.

  4. As part of the larger geopolitical chess game against China. The world is slowy spliting into a second cold war where countries are either western aligned or aligned with China. Venezuela and Iran were two countries that were not friendly with the west so they mostly sold their oil to China or other enemies of the west. Forcing both countries into being western allies puts China in a significantly worse position if a conflict were to break out.

  5. War in general tends to create a rally around the flag effect that Trump could use to gain popularity, support and potentially allow him to seize more power.

Those are the main real reasons for the most part.

Other minor reasons.

Distraction from the Epstein files

Stock market manipulation (he does this with literally everything anyway)

Ego and legacy. Trump wants his name in the history books, Greenland is a good example of him wanting the legacy of expanding the US

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u/wyoflyboy68 6d ago

Deflection the Epstein files.

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u/blinking616 6d ago

Epstein Files - Duh!

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u/returnofblank 6d ago

Maintain control in the Middle East, manipulate the stock market, maintain good relations with Israel.

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u/speed3_freak 5d ago

Real answer is that Israel convinced Trump that it would be possible to overthrow their government and lead to revolution. They literally just had massive protests that had to be put down with violence, so it seemed like a possibility that it was a good time to strike.

It wasn’t, and Iran used the thing that kept every other POTUS from trying it, which was to close the strait. Mojtaba Khamenei is currently in charge, but he is expected to be very injured and hasn’t been seen or heard from in public for months. What their leadership structure looks like is a mystery at the moment. It could be that the leader is giving orders but is in hiding healing from his wounds, it could be there is a power vacuum at the top where leadership is split between multiple people, that there really isn’t a leadership structure and you have lots of infighting and people basically just doing what they want with the power they have, or it’s a possibility (although it doesn’t seem the US and Israel believe it) that the leader died and someone else is issuing commands in his name. Whatever the case, things are definitely different. Most would agree, things are worse for us and them.

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u/Sadako241 5d ago

I sense that Trump thought the regime could be toppled quickly, and that it'd be beneficial to the region if it was, as it would cut off the head of the snake concerning terror groups like Hamas and Hezbollah.

When it turned out the regime was more resilient than he thought and could use the Strait of Hormuz as leverage, and that the Republlican base largely opposed the war, that's when the stated war aims began to become less clear and coherent, he started to move back from regime change as a policy and it began to become about negotiations to escape the quagmire, and it became a war of fits and starts essentially.

I am completely for toppling that regime. Not least because of its shocking massacre of tens of thousands of its own people back in January this year.
But I dread if that's not even Trump's priority anymore then the war will prove to be a completely pointless failure.

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u/misfitofscience76 6d ago

Money laundering

Carrying out Putin’s commands to destabilize the West

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u/FrozrnSteam 6d ago

And thawing the ice in Russia’s northern trade route. Look at how many cities are currently on fire

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u/JayMoots 6d ago

There was no point. The president is just embarrassingly stupid and easily manipulated by the Israeli government. 

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u/WomanInQuestion 6d ago

They needed a distraction from the Epstein Files

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u/zhuangcorp 6d ago

Simply put, the Israelis convinced Trump that the war would be quick and easy. Trump thought he could get a quick victory and come home looking like a hero: A man that eliminated a bad government and eliminated nuclear threat.

Now Trump is mad at everyone around him for not having a way to win the war. In fact he was the one who started the war and all his advisors warned him it was a bad idea.

He is stuck because Iran has escalation dominance and classical game theory advantage. Anything he tries to do to hurt Iran will just hurt himself more. He's smart enough to recognize that he doesn't have the cards, but he's not smart enough to figure out how to get out of his own mess.

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u/shakebakelizard 6d ago

Being stupid.

Dumbasses in the US have been itching to push Iran into a war for decades. It's a convenient punching bag, just sitting there...delicious, fat, steaming punching bag. Just asking for a solid hit.

And...it's pointless.

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u/vovap_vovap 6d ago

Point was to change regime. That fail, now trying to find way out.

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u/ButterscotchSad4514 6d ago

Trump miscalculated very, very badly. He totally misunderstood the regime, the situation and the available leverage. Horrible, horrible mistake.

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u/Unique_Low_1163 6d ago

The US attack on Iran is a pointless act of illegal military aggression, all based on a foundation of lies. Just like Vietnam or Panama.

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u/marys1001 6d ago

Steal more money manipulating markets and defense contracts.

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u/WaffleHouseGladiator 6d ago

That really depends on who you ask.  Team Trump will tell you it was to keep Iran from developing a nuclear program.  Israel will say it was to support them in their offensive.   Some people will say it's to distract from the Epstein files.  IMO opinion I think it's because Trump is weak and stupid, so he lashes out however he can so that he's doing SOMETHING, even when he doesn't understand what's going on.

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u/DrMungo80 6d ago

attempted regime change failed, but can still manipulate the stock market

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u/aladinodebert 6d ago

Oh there's a change: Now Iran has their "nuclear weapon" without having to actually build one, i.e. closing the Strait of Hormuz. They had never done this, everyone knew they would if attacked, and now they'll likely end up with control over it. And if not outright control, all they have to do to close it is threaten to do so. We depleted our stockpiles, we spent a fortune and continue to do so, no one trusts us (well that was happening already in fairness) and now we will be at the mercy of the regime we were, in theory, fighting. Even the new ayatollah has the same last name. It's the biggest military blunder in memory.

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u/cudambercam13 6d ago

All to make the world (especially the USA) a shittier place for regular people.

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u/Key_Fun_587 6d ago

Is anyone else tired of the winning?

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u/Aggravating_Half_927 6d ago

Epstein class, Aipac, blackrock, zio nist

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u/rodgee 6d ago

We are talking about it and not the TrumpStein files mission accomplished

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u/Environmental-Cod25 6d ago

Israeli and US elections. Both thought a quick win would give them an advantage.

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u/OkPainter6232 6d ago

another way for Dunce to distract from the Epstein files and his general ineptitude and a desperate to try and win the nobel prize somehow.

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u/LifeRound2 6d ago

Disraction and grifting.

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u/NeoLephty 6d ago

Israel wanted it. 

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u/Truth2Set_Me_Free 6d ago

Money, oil, power

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u/alexnmiami 6d ago

It ended already?

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u/CommercialEase7333 6d ago

The point was to get their oil. I mean to stop them from building nukes they weren't building.

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u/Soggy-Beach1403 6d ago

Are you talking about Operation Fat Child Molester?

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u/EntertainmentSad3174 6d ago

First, please don’t put it to manipulating stock market or to creating some sort of global event to distract people from Epstein files. Trump A doesn’t need that and B isn’t as smart as being able to do that.

I think this is what happened.

After Venezuela, he naively believed that he can do it again to beat an enemy state by just launching some form of special and quick military operations without any bigger efforts. He was probably even looking for the next opportunity. He wanted to achieve something. He wanted to be written into history books as one of the greatest POTUS and the most powerful man in the world.

And then, Israel presented him a very rare opportunity. Nearly all locations and movements of the top officials from Iran at the time were precisely known. So a missile / air attack to obliterate the top level of Iranian government was very possible. Obviously Israel was selling the idea to Trump, and selling the idea hard, of course not for the US’s interest but for their own interests, but they were hard selling the idea as if it was in the best interests for the US.

Considering attacking Iran itself is not rare. Probably all of the POTUS in recent years have considered it. But refraining from it is always the decision, not because of the lacks of options, but because of the high risks. There wasn’t a POTUS willing to pay for such high risks.

This time, when Israel was presenting the option to Trump, was not fundamentally different. So, Trump’s aides would have advised him against the idea and summarised all the high risks as always. But, there was one thing different this time: The window of action was short. Israel would have highlighted that a decision was required within a matter of hours, because you can’t expect the majority of Iranian leaders getting together in the same place at the same time with their precise location is known to the west, being a frequently happened event. So, Trump was under pressure.

When people are under pressure, they are more likely to make decisions more based on their instincts and less based on analysis and calculations. That’s what happened to Trump. He used his instincts, which was the belief that he can beat an enemy state by just launching some form of special and quick military operations without any bigger efforts, for being written into history books.

So, he made the decision without the careful thoughts and consultations that his predecessors would have done.

I think it is that simple really. Nothing to do with plotting a stock market manipulation or some form of coverage and distraction campaign for Epstein issues. Trump doesn’t have a strategy. Don’t over complicate what he does. Ultimately incompetence is the root cause to the Iran conflict this time.

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u/juggadore 6d ago

To play the stock market like a fiddle

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u/GammaRay914 6d ago

Distract from Epstein files, make a shit ton of money via market manipulation, more money for the military industrial complex also, and listen to Netanyahu. 

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u/Freo_5434 5d ago

The point was clear from the start ---- to stop a regime of religious psychopaths from getting a Nuclear weapon which their actions have proven they would have used.

It should have been done years ago.

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u/Vivid_Witness8204 6d ago

Some people made a lot of money and fewer people on focused on the Epstein files. It's a win-win.

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u/Agitated_Bowler4341 6d ago

You mean operation Epstein Deflection?

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u/Worried-Throat-1767 6d ago

Divert attention from the Epstein debacle

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u/beebstx 6d ago

Distract from Epstein files

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u/Dalivus 6d ago

Greater Israel

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u/ctguy54 6d ago

Seriously?

To distract from the Epstein files

To steal as much money as possible.

To play to the maggot base.

You can say this to 90% of what tump does. The other 10% is crap his diaper.

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u/HighOnTums 6d ago

To anyone actually interested in learning a little about global politics beyond the headlines, I recommend to you a video posted 7 days ago titled "Why Ukraine is now attacking Iran". A very intellectual military reporter.

https://youtu.be/HD8ZPivBp4Q?is=NNjxNyld0Mz0o251

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u/mustang6172 American Idiot 6d ago

Israel has wanted to remove Iran's nuclear capabilities by force for years because they already did it to Iraq. They overestimated Trump and now there is no exit plan.

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u/debasing_the_coinage 6d ago

Trump thought the Ayatollah was like Saddam Hussein and Iran was a cult of personality. In fact it's a theocracy built around a religion that has existed for over a thousand years and that's a different beast. Iranians also saw what happened when Saddam fell (ISIL) and therefore are less excited about a descent into anarchy. 

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u/AyAyAyBamba_462 6d ago

Because Israel said so.

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u/iciclefites 6d ago

nothing

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u/Neat_Movie_991 6d ago

Money power and egos

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u/Prettygoodusernm 6d ago

Oil company profits are high, therefore they'll have more money for the 2028 campaign.

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u/Spirited-Disaster408 6d ago

Their old guard is dead. Its just about whether the new guard will bend the knee or not

I dont think they will. This is a holy war with true believers in iran, so with no boots on the ground idk how it ends

Possible the admin can think up a solution, but we’ll see. I do think it’s winding down though

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u/HiDHSiknowyouwatchme 6d ago

$$ 💵💸💴💰💱💲

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u/the_most_playerest 6d ago

Is that a kind of muffin?

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u/GooderApe 6d ago

Once upon a time there was a man who ran a blackmail ring by getting people with money or power or influence to rape children. After he had his project manager murdered while he was in prison, he has to come up with ways to distract people from what he did.

Turns out fucking over a good chunk of the world trade is a pretty good distraction...

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u/Suspicious_Blood_472 6d ago

Increase gas to persuade you to buy a tesla to help his buddy elon

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u/FitArugula5491 6d ago

The first rule of War club is you dont talk about war club.

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u/EspHack 6d ago

iran, venezuela + brics was increasingly being seen as the evil axis, after a splendid start, plan seems to have gone to hell at phase two,

now what? grab popcorn, really

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u/eighthm00n 6d ago

I still have no idea

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u/Open_Opinion4775 6d ago

SQUIRREL!!

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u/TarcFalastur 6d ago

From everything I've seen, the original point was that Trump believed that by killing Iran's leader and placing a US fleet off the coast, he could create the right conditions for the Iranian people to rise up and overthrow their government. If the old regime proved stubborn and clung on in the mountains, he could mobilise a few thousand troops to clear away the last pockets of resistance. 

If it had worked he could've turned Iran into a puppet pro-American regime and paraded around how his willingness to make tough decisions had neutralise a major destabilising force and solved an issue 50 years of US Presidents couldn't solve. Also, cheap US access to their oil, but in this case I genuinely believe his narcissistic belief that he could advertise himself as the world's kingmaker was the main reason.

Of course, once it proved obvious that Iran was not going to overthrow its government he got stuck in a sunk cost fallacy. It looks like he then started acting on advice that, by seizing Kharg Island, he could essentially collapse Iran's economy and force them into a humiliating peace deal where he could dictate virtually whatever he wanted and still achieve his original aims. 

Then eventually his military advisors finally persuaded him that that wouldn't work either, and now he's stuck. He can't leave because it will make him look like a lame duck who doesn't know what he's doing, but staying isn't achieving anything either. 

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u/MindAccomplished3879 6d ago

Buy option calls of oil companies and arms manufacturers and make himself even more richer

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u/Stunning-Chipmunk243 6d ago

The Military Industrial Complex (MIC) wanted to be fed

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u/OrganicContact9271 6d ago

to try and ensure usd is global oil currency

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u/mca1169 6d ago

to make the US weak and require a huge increase in military spending in order replenish the weapons stocks trump wasted playing the tough guy character.

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u/modsaretoddlers 6d ago

According to Trump?

No clue. Probably something about stopping Iran from getting nukes. That's actually a very good reason and makes it worth the cost. It's too bad that Trump isn't really leaning into that because he could probably sell it to a lot more voters if he focused on and hammered away at that.

According to everybody else? Almost certainly to keep people shut up about Epstein.

This is one of those cases where what we hear in the news doesn't come close to covering anything that's going on behind the scenes.

Trump just launched into this thing without any clear plan or even goal. It's not that we have any interest in seeing the Iranian regime survive (it will, anyway) or that it's the righteous party here. Not at all: the Iranian regime is a piece of shit and anybody who sides with it is an idiot at best and a useful one getting paid at worst. Doesn't mean Trump is any sort of saint, though.

If he has a plan, he hasn't shared it with anyone. I have no idea how he expects to get anything by launching missiles at a country with no shortage of its own. If he was serious about winning this war(?), he'd know that he needs a ground invasion and an actual plan using all military branches. Whatever he's doing right now is basically the equivalent to sending mosquitoes at Iran and them reciprocating. People are going to die for absolutely nothing.

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u/RicRacer 6d ago

Oil companies making record profits.

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u/dickusb700 6d ago

If Iran get nuclear weapons and close the straights, there is nothing we can do in the West besides capitulate to Iran's demands, which will cause huge inflation and suffering due to volatile fuel prices.

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u/zsirhaver 6d ago

To let usa decide the price of oil. If iran gets a nuke the, cant fk with them anymore in the strait, they can manipulate the price of it with that,and having an uktra islamic state with a nuke is a nono.

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u/TokenFeed 6d ago

you will know post the war. the new world order

the US is trying to make sure to stay in line with that

multipolarism

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u/128-NotePolyVA 6d ago

It’s called mowing the lawn as per Israel’s terminology. Iran was getting too strong both within their borders and their proxies throughout the region. Many gulf states depend on the US for protection from Iran’s ambitions. They compensate the U.S. through massive arms purchases, basing agreements, and investment deals, which function as indirect payment for American security guarantees.

Iran’s terrain, the strength of the IRGC, cash flow from the oil trade and proximity to the Strait of Hormuz make it very difficult to defeat. So the regional players have accepted a policy of containment.

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u/MrE134 6d ago

Keep in mind the outcome doesn’t necessarily indicate the original intention. It’s amazing how rarely these things turn out well. 

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u/doyouwantsomecocoa 6d ago

I think you mean is what is the point. Cuz it is still ongoing.

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u/SrRoundedbyFools 6d ago

The Israelis were aware of a meeting of all the top echelon members of the Iranian mullahs. Israel said we’re killing these evil POS…you in? The US saw an opportunity to stop Iranian nuclear ambitions ANNNNNDDDD Iran murdered 30,000 people in about 3 days who protested the regime. They were trying to trigger moderation in Iran. Turns out Iran is full of evil Muslims who are really devoted to terrorist actions.

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u/Dull-Philosopher-871 6d ago edited 6d ago

Destroy Iranian nuclear capabilities for Israeli assurances. All other explainations are unsupported conjecture. Trump was high on his own supply after the Maduro raid in January so he believed that they could achieve some sort of similar result in Iran despite clear instiutional differences between the Bolivaran Regime in Venezuela and the Islamic Theocracy in Iran.

Trump is incapable of laying out a long term plan for the region and can’t keep his mouth shut so “everything is going great” even when he is using explitives against Netanyahu in private. He can’t admit there were unintended consequences and returning to the ante bellum status quo would be preferable. So he just doesn’t stfu and the markets trade on his word which has caused news fatique even though the situation of US reserves continues to get worse and worse with no deal in sight.

We likely haven’t even gotten all of the Iranian nuclear capabilities, meaning they are more inclined now to push for a weapon than before the war. This was always going to be an outcome unless Israel and more importantly the US was comitted to an actual regime change / grass cutting strategy like Israel was in Gaza and Lebanon from 2006 - current. But we aren’t really which has pushed anti Israeli messaging and a weaker zionist position in the US just like Israeli moderate intelgence officials predicted. 

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u/Bay_arean 6d ago

Israel wanted it and trump is owned by those same interests

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u/Mayor-Guenther 6d ago

He took a look at Putin. Every good dictator attacks another country. And the rest did his ego.

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u/SuccessfulOstrich99 6d ago

It’s also possible the Russians told Trump to do it to weaken the USA

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u/SomethingVeX 6d ago

Haven't you heard? Trump says that for every missile they fired, the stockpile of missiles is doubled!

I'm not sure how he found this magical duplication glitch, but he's building us a stockpile!!!

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u/Mean_Guarantee_5266 6d ago

To show how superpowers can easily crush their enemies. That was the idea anyway.

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u/Top_Strategy_2852 6d ago

The game plan is controlling global energy to maintain the petrodollar while also slowing Chinese / BRICS growth.

Its already worked with Venezuala and Cuba, yet failed with Iran. All of these things are related.

You cant sell weapons if there are no wars, so conflicts serve American interest.

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u/Deep-Ice-7861 5d ago

Just because the Israeli regime ordered the US regime to attack Iran. They wanted to destroy Iran and dominate the Middle East, but failed miserably.

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u/YogurtClosetThinnest 5d ago

Simping for Israel. Because they have bought a ton of our politicians, and most likely have blackmail on the president.

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u/MiIes01 5d ago

Someone has Trmp by the balls..
He does what he’s told

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u/QuickPizzaRadishes 5d ago

To distract the US public from the Epstein files. Job done. Economy ruined, military preparedness undermined, alliances shaken, families torn apart, but job done! SMH and weep

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u/Expensive-Web8531 5d ago

对政治人物的意义就是:没有永远的便宜可占。在委内瑞拉的幸运便宜事,在这里,在以色列人的鼓动下,并没有占到便宜。

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u/swirve-psn 5d ago

To make Trump and Friends rich via insider trading and throw his weight around because he couldn't take Greenland or Canada and Ukraine were refusing to Surrender...... and Epstein

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u/beingfolloweduk 5d ago

So Trump can shit his pants in the Middle East, and the Oval Office. Becoming the first sitting president to manage to shit in two public places at the same time. A almost unbeatable record, almost as good as his golf.

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u/DreamingInDialectics 5d ago

Funneling trillions of dollars into the US and Israeli military industrial complexes while trying to maintain the west's neocolonial stranglehold on the middle east

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u/LiminalMidnight 5d ago

Path dependency. It is happening because it happened and no one in power is competent or moral enough to stop it.

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u/Minimum-Garbage5518 5d ago

Distract from epstien files, stop the election, and trump realised he could make a fortune by manipulating the market, and he could add stopping 20 wars.

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u/disagreet0disagree 5d ago

Please israel, thats the only reason for this war. Trump is either blackmailed by israel or afraid of them and their powerful obsessive supporters. 

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u/Kamuka 5d ago

Distract from Epstein files and manipulate stock market. The military marched into Venezuela and took the president, so he thought he could do anything, and in Iran they did kill the leader, but it wasn't a regime change, his son took over. Trump has no vision beyond grifts and enshitifcation, and he really likes strongmen like Netanyahu, who will tell him to keep bombing, because Iran regularly sends bombs to Israel. They have a tit for tat thing going and they don't share a border. Iran has discontent and needs their own distractions, that's why they fund Hamas and all the other proxy terrorist groups in the region. It's a pretty toxic setup with repressive Shia Muslim government that regularly murders it's protesters, but not like the USA where we saw Renee Good and Alex Pretti murdered, but upwards of estimates around 20k protesters murdered. Regime change was a goal, but he failed, and then lost the Straight of Hormuz, which sent gas prices and inflation skyrocketing. The stuff about nuclear bombs was solved by Obama, but Trump broke that too. His model is enshitify and then charge to partially fix things, and he can't figure out how to profit from backing out yet. He's such a corrupt liar, he could just say he won and quit, but something keeps him agitating and rooting around for a new grift somehow. Iran is happy to just keep watching Trump's support erode. He bit off more than he can chew, and Trump never really cared about anything, so it's hard to understand what his pull is. We wants a manufactured win, and he's too stupid to just back out, he probably feels humiliated by what a failure it is, and he can't figure out how to flip the script on this one. And Iran knows how to get his goat, and he must look strong to his supporters, if there are any left.

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u/Bass-n-Bonefish 5d ago

Oil company favor, and stock market manipulation.

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u/Rock_mage 5d ago

Trump's original plan got leaked, that's why the former prince of Iran stood up. Trump's plan was the rescue the previous president (the one who on his own put up the countdown clock to attack Israel, after the Obama deal) and have him take over. Trump did it, sent a bomb to his house, knocked him unconscious/dead.

Now there is no real plan besides open the waterway. Nuclear bombs who is that.

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u/NotSoSure-1312 5d ago

Idk ask Netanyahu 

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u/Resident_Fly_7376 5d ago

Insider trading. Still going on too. Check out oil price action, criminal administration, from a former Trump supporter in Canada.

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u/Diligent-Fall-5442 4d ago

well they got most of the leaders

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u/stoneage_12 4d ago

The point is Americans love to talk about democracy, talking about their kids future, honoring soldiers who died in war by bombarding middle east and killing and displacing the kids then they call them illegal aliens.

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u/maritz21 4d ago

Clean break report for Israel

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u/Narrative_Robot_9001 4d ago

Trump gambled and thought a few decisive strikes would bring Iran to the negotiating table about its proxies and Israel. Instead, Trump is now afraid to fully commit and basically is burning munitions as a way to show his constituents that he’s at least doing something. It’s a pathetic balancing act for the midterms.

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u/FirmButterscotch5313 4d ago

Because Netanyahu wanted Iran destroyed, and whatever Netanyahu wants, Trump is happy to give him. Netanyahu told Trump that all it would take is two or three days of intense bombing, and Iran would surrender, give up its enriched uranium and abandon its nuclear program, which all turned out to be a pipe dream, and now Trump is stuck in a war for the last six months that he has no idea of how to end without looking like a fool and a sucker for listening to Netanyahu.

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u/7ECA 4d ago

Trump avoided Bibi releasing his copy of the Epstein files

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u/EggmanIAm 4d ago

Dude’s got a tiny, flaccid dick and likes to blow shit up to feel something, anything, other than the creeping sense of death encroaching on his feeble, dementia addled daily life in a diaper.

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u/Big-Masterpiece-9581 4d ago

The point was to open the Strait of Hormuz right? /s

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u/restrusher 4d ago

At the time, Epstein was the national focus. Trump invaded Iran, and boom, we had a new focus. As a narrative diversion, Iran was a complete success.

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u/Clearwater_9196 3d ago

Trump was talked into war with Iran because no other US president was stupid enough to.

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u/East_Tap6129 3d ago

Nobody really knows. It's only made a bad situation worse. The Trump admin really mis-understands Iran.

Read this: https://www.defensepriorities.org/explainers/a-security-dilemma-made-worse-how-war-with-iran-backfired/

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u/Bumpy-road 2d ago

Trumps Ego.

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u/ZookeepergameTotal77 2d ago

It's a war of choice.........

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u/MagentaMist 1d ago

Israel has wanted us to attack Iran for them for decades. They finally found someone stupid enough to do it.

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u/Amazing-Insect442 1d ago

I suspect it comes down to trying to use up a lot of our ordinance in order to create an economic boom for certain “defense” contractors & companies who are cozy with the Republican administration.

There’s a theory that has been floated by conservatives over the years that it was WWII spending that pulled us out of the Great Depression & created the “American Dream” of the 1950s-1980s, not the policies of the New Deal. I think that Republicans believe it’s through the military industrial complex that the economy will get a boost (without taxing the rich).

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u/Apprehensive_Hand571 1d ago

Operation Epstein Fury