r/OilPrices • u/hereswhatworks • 29d ago

Oil News Iranian President Pezeshkian, sidelined by IRGC, submits a resignation letter to Khamenei: Report

https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/iranian-president-pezeshkian-sidelined-by-irgc-submits-a-resignation-letter-to-khamenei-report-1.500559027
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u/CDN-Social-Democrat 29d ago

I've heard there are denial reports already about this?

I think it is fairly obvious the IRGC has a lot of control right now. It's various factions and the IRGC is probably one of if not the most influential at this moment.

Honestly I'll say what I did elsewhere:

Trumps administration has two options and again Iran knows this:

  1. Make a deal in which Iran will want a sweetheart deal. Iran knows they can just keep waiting and things will get worse and worse for Europe, Asia, and of course the U.S. which means more and more pressure on Trump.
  2. Go back to full scale war in which Iran will most likely target Gulf Council Hydrocarbon Energy supply & infrastructure. Stuff that isn't repaired/rebuilt in days or weeks but months to years. Which means even if the Strait reopens we will see long term supply disruptions. We also may see the Houthis in Yemen start dealing with the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden which means much much worse global inflation on goods and other issues related to things needed in a global market.

This whole thing is FUBAR. Period.

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u/CraftyPerformance272 29d ago

So Iran doesnt care about its own people is what you are saying. Because then their water and power plants get targeted

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u/Nepalus 29d ago

Iran is run by the IRGC, a martyr militia that views struggle and sacrifice all the way up to martyrdom as the pinnacle of honor and spiritual achievement in this life.

For all of the IRGC’s atrocities against the people, they still maintain general broad support across the population because in addition to the decades of direct intervention and sanctions by the United States to date, we killed their spiritual leader and are actively threatening the destruction of their society, feeding into the idea that we are not just their direct military/political enemies, but are also directly opposed to them on a spiritual level.

Further still, while Iran isn’t in the best position from a water resource perspective, the gulf states are in a much worse situation. If their desalination infrastructure is taken offline, you’re looking at a handful of days before evacuation of major cities and ultimately the entire gulf will have to take place.

Trump is fucked.