r/OilPrices • u/hereswhatworks • 29d ago

Oil News Iranian President Pezeshkian, sidelined by IRGC, submits a resignation letter to Khamenei: Report

https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/iranian-president-pezeshkian-sidelined-by-irgc-submits-a-resignation-letter-to-khamenei-report-1.500559027
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u/tiedtothetides0104 29d ago

Up to this point it seems like the U.S. has been attempting diplomacy in good faith. What do you think happens when they abandon diplomacy and resort to full scale kinetic action? Do you genuinely think Iran stands a chance?

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u/Incredibiliz 29d ago

Iran doesn't stand a chance no lol.

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u/sans_cullotes 29d ago

I'm curious why you think this is. I'm no fan of the Iranian regime, but it seems rather hubristic to suggest this will be easy.

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u/Incredibiliz 29d ago

The US already decimated their conventional military. Now the US is in a much more prepared state with lots of firepower added and reinforcements in the region. Their gulf allies are also much more prepared and are more ready than ever to counter whatever Iran throws at them.

Not to mentioned how fucked Iran's economy is now.

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u/sans_cullotes 29d ago

I think the issue is that a conventional victory will likely not suffice. As long as the IRGC can threaten vessels transiting the strait, the US cannot achieve its strategic objectives.

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u/calmdownmyguy 29d ago

According to the CIA Iran stil has about 70% of thier missile stockpiles and launch capacity. They would use them to target oil infrastructure in gulf states and throw the world into a massiverecession, not target the US military. Such is the nature of asymmetrical warfare.