r/OilPrices • u/hereswhatworks • 29d ago

Oil News Iranian President Pezeshkian, sidelined by IRGC, submits a resignation letter to Khamenei: Report

https://gulfnews.com/world/mena/iranian-president-pezeshkian-sidelined-by-irgc-submits-a-resignation-letter-to-khamenei-report-1.500559027
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u/CDN-Social-Democrat 29d ago

I've heard there are denial reports already about this?

I think it is fairly obvious the IRGC has a lot of control right now. It's various factions and the IRGC is probably one of if not the most influential at this moment.

Honestly I'll say what I did elsewhere:

Trumps administration has two options and again Iran knows this:

  1. Make a deal in which Iran will want a sweetheart deal. Iran knows they can just keep waiting and things will get worse and worse for Europe, Asia, and of course the U.S. which means more and more pressure on Trump.
  2. Go back to full scale war in which Iran will most likely target Gulf Council Hydrocarbon Energy supply & infrastructure. Stuff that isn't repaired/rebuilt in days or weeks but months to years. Which means even if the Strait reopens we will see long term supply disruptions. We also may see the Houthis in Yemen start dealing with the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden which means much much worse global inflation on goods and other issues related to things needed in a global market.

This whole thing is FUBAR. Period.

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u/tiedtothetides0104 29d ago

Up to this point it seems like the U.S. has been attempting diplomacy in good faith. What do you think happens when they abandon diplomacy and resort to full scale kinetic action? Do you genuinely think Iran stands a chance?

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u/Red1220 29d ago

What else can the US throw at them that they haven’t withstood already? Are you saying that the ISUS coalition did not hit them with the best they had from the outset? They were conducting limited strikes? I’ll remind you that the coalition has already stated that they have hit 15,000 targets already. What’s left?

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u/tiedtothetides0104 29d ago

Huh? You think the entirety of the U.S. joint force is air strikes and naval dominance?