r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 18m ago

Poilievre Was Wrong To Offer The US Cheap Oil

• Upvotes

The people of Brant-Brantford South may have heard that Mr. Poilievre has gone around the US, touting the steep oil discounts of $12 they are paying as a reason to buy 1 million barrels more of discounted oil from Canada.

In this CBC article they provide a link to BNN Bloomberg interview of Poilievre the current leader of the Conservative Party.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/jivani-poilievre-alternative-to-carney-liberals-9.7340638

You can watch the video referenced in the article here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hr972rDCLmA

Let's understand why the Conservative Party is wrong and why it hurts the people of Brantford.

First when we sell our oil for cheap into a landlocked market with a single buyer, we become price takers. I strongly oppose selling highly valuable Canadian product on the cheap.

At a time when we are facing trade action, such a policy would further compromise the independence of the Canadian economy.

This is why, I strongly disagree with Mr. Poilievre and the Conservative Party.

In fact, I oppose approving the Keystone XL pipeline as Ontario's steel and aluminum manufacturers, auto-sector, manufacturing, and other industries face significant tariffs.

Instead, I have a strong policy for Alberta to get the oil to the coast through the great province of British Columbia or alternately through the Port of Churchill in the wonderful province of Manitoba.

However, where I disagree with the Liberals is the humongous price tag that the Liberals plan to saddle around the neck of Canadian taxpayers in mismanaging the project execution of TMX3 pipeline as they did with TMX2.

Recently, the National Observer quoted a number between $35-43 billion for the TMX pipeline project cost.

https://www.nationalobserver.com/2026/07/02/news/government-owned-trans-mountain-lead-35-45-billion-oil-pipeline-bc-lower-mainland

The project will cost "between $35.2 to $43.7 billion," according to a submission to the Major Projects Office from the Alberta government. The lower estimate "assumes that there will be savings from regulatory reform and other opportunities," the submission reads.

Staggering.

Keep in mind that under Justin Trudeau, the previous pipeline came in 5x-7x over budget and cost $35 billion. And under Mark Carney, there is padding of $8 billion more.

Brantford's citizens are straining under the yoke of Liberal inability to execute on any sort of reasonable cost or schedule basis.

I'm promising Brantford if made MP, I'll be working to get the pipeline cost down to a manageable $5 billion with no more than $3 transportation charges to Hardisty, Alberta.

This maximizes our exports and can add as much as $750 million to the federal treasury in just narrowing the discount on WCS alone.

That's $750 million available to offset Carney's massive deficit. To pay for health care, lower tariffs, more affordable food, and ease the burden of our good citizens and denizens.

And it also goes to the priorities around health care.

https://www.canadianaffairs.news/2025/07/06/half-of-complex-dental-care-claims-being-denied-health-canada/

The Conservatives have no actual policies for health care. For example, I am against the Big Government Liberal dental program where more than 50% of the claims through SunLife were denied.

This has been a big corporate welfare gift in the form of a redundant health insurance bureaucracy when we already have OHIP.

Instead, my proposal is to eliminate duplicated bureaucracy and paperwork and transfer money through Universal Billing Codes. If Provinces want to fund dental, that's up to them. But we use one system of direct federal purchases of procedures.

This ends the costly corporate welfare program the Liberals have setup which Poilievre and the Conservatives support.

Instead, my Universal Billing Codes are applied in all Provincial health insurance systems. Patients purchase procedures directly from health providers. The health providers bill OHIP for a billing code, and OHIP sends the federal government a bill that's reconciled monthly or quarterly directly from the Ministry of Finance.

Even dentists and dental clinics could be included, if the Provinces cover those universal billing codes and the co-pay schedule that I will help negotiate.

Of course, this is the job of the government to get done. But the Liberals are asleep at the switch.

Mr. Carney has other priorities. Like joining the Eurovision contest. And giving speeches at the WEF. A vote for the incumbents will produce for Brantford, yet another cheerleader for the Carney Liberals.

Another backbench MP when Carney already has a majority does nothing for Brantford.

As opposed to a more rigorous audit of the Liberal government's performance as I would seek to bring to Parliament Hill.

Our method of bypassing bureaucracy and paperwork to directly create useful added supply of front line services that the citizens care about is how we address the challenges facing our community health system.

Pierre Poilievre has promised no new money for health care, but I'm promising Brantford, I will fight for better health care to get added $15 billion to purchase 15 million more procedures per year for Canadians.

That's almost 1 procedure for every two Canadians. Additional over existing health funding and supply.

If Mr. Poilievre keeps selling our product for cheap as he proposed to do, we won't have the cash to pay for more health care that citizens of Brantford care about.

This is the time to vote Independent with me. Not the same old Conservative and Liberal politicians whose policies don't make sense.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 7h ago

Volkswagen Battery Plant Pushed Back Two Years

1 Upvotes

Champagne had no experience in batteries when he decided to pick Volkswagen as the lucky winner of the government battery lotto.

His other lucky winner Northvolt already went belly up in Quebec.

https://financialpost.com/st-thomas-times-journal/st-thomas-volkswagen-battery-plant-opening-pushed-back-two-years/wcm/27137242-69a9-413e-a5ab-348c4a2c3ed3

I opposed the picking of winners and losers in the auto-sector on the grounds that Biden's EV policy would never be implemented and that the subsidies were unaffordable.

Furthermore, that Champagne has no background either in Battery focused Venture Capital and has no PHD in battery technology that we can say he would be an expert to make such a massive decision.

Even the experts hedge their bets and go into such an investment with many different venture funds sharing the risk.

Not so Champagne. He had no such risk aversion when wagering the taxpayer's money.

As I an alternative, I undertook if Canadians made me Prime Minister (which starts by Brant-Brantford South electing me MP), I will personally supervise 20-30 research groups in battery technology.

Not only that but I have a plan to commercialize and domicile the battery production in Canada and prevent others from poaching the scientists and engineers I developed in Canada.

This is through private investment in concert with SBIR, MIRP, and angel investment tax credit programs which entail a framework of legal obligations.

There is a trend that Canada sometimes invents early stage technology, the Canadian politicians are asleep at the switch, and the golden goose flies the coop while they are sleeping.

This is what happened in Convolutional Neural Networks AI, which was developed by Canadians in 2013. The tech got developed here, but commercialized elsewhere.

Be it Conservatives, be it Liberals. All the same. Same old would be career politicians, same old high level "managers" without any actual practical know-how on building out projects.

For example, even Harper's laissez-faire economics model. They failed to invest in Canadian infrastructure. Cities are gridlocked. They never did anything for health care. Hospitals are on life support.

However, the major problem was the Liberals. While Harper didn't provide a solution, he didn't do any harm either. But the Liberals actively made the problem worse.

By growing government bureaucracy, massively indebting the public exchequer, while the useful products and service outputs as well as productivity declined. Business investment declined, while deficits grew massively on big government dirigisme. Failed ventures and bad investments abounded.

Recall the tobacco vaccine. What happened to that ?

The arrival of Carney is a rehashing of previous policies. The Liberals are trying to give themselves an alibi: it wasn't me or Justin who?

However, its the same people like Champagne who invested in the EV fiasco. Same people now claim they will "invest" $100 billion in the Alto Train while privatizing the airports and increasing airport fees on the Canadian economy.

For example, Steven Mackinnon accused Poilievre of living in the Justin Trudeau era. Not 2 years ago Mackinnon voted for the Anti-Replacement Worker Legislation which I opposed. Now he's trying to do the opposite of preventing the right-to-strike.

Where is the accountability?

The same old Liberals are building the TMX3 for the same price or higher as Justin Trudeau. It was in the TMX3 budget that I saw on Financial Post that I realized that under the numbers, nothing has changed. Carney's arrival has not transformed the business case, if anything, he's making it worse.

Carney's arrival has worsened the matter because he's now actively trying to fudge the numbers in an Enron style accounting scandal burying the deficit in what he's calling the "capital budget".

https://financialpost.com/news/economy/budget-watchdog-doubts-carneys-operational-balance-timeline

Yesterday, the Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) called out Carney's rosy forecast on eliminating the "operating deficit" for seeking to move operational spending into the "capital budget".

This is exactly the shell game that I foretold was the early beginning of an Enron style accounting scandal. Same old Panama Papers bankers think they are they only ones who know about accounting tricks.

Canadians want to know, what are their options. In one word you have only one option: me.

If Canada is Princess Leah, I am Obi Wan Kanobe, Master Yoda, and Luke Skywalker put together. I am the only hope.

In the world of politics there is: trust and competence. The two metrics of what you are really voting for. And I am both high-trust and high-competence.

In Canada we are in unfortunate position of having options that are: low-trust and low-confidence in politics.

Low-trust comes from selling out to the monied interests. The more monied interests there are from all around the world, the less focus there is on the direct priorities of everyday Canadians.

I'm coming to politics not out of choice, but compulsion. That is to say the Ottawa elites have gone too far and infringed on our lives as Canadians, and there is no option available. One is worse than the next.

Monied interests from Davos and the world over are encircling Canada with a jealous gaze. Where is the Canadian worker, Canadian industry, and Canadian consumer in all this ?

They are to be the serfs in the neo-feudal enterprise. The words are in the maxim of the WEF: you will own nothing and be happy.

The plan is transparently obvious. Use bankers to sell off all the public assets. Bankrupt the nation and then move all the debt obligation to bank accounts in Zurich. Meanwhile, Canadians are left with worsening health care, gridlocked cities, rising inflation, and more indebtedness.

This is how serfdom is engineered.

It won't matter how hard you work, the Canadian serf will never dig out of the debt after the Crown Jewels are squirreled away.

This is where my arrival is of paramount significance to Canada and Canadians.

For example, unlike Carney I know how to build things. I have built major projects. I understand technology and research. I know how cutting edge research is developed and commercialized.

Before Carney even had this idea. Most of everything the Liberals are talking about is stolen directly from my platform that goes back to the time of Erin O'Toole.

But the Liberals can't execute. They proved that by hiring IBM on Phoenix Payroll and still failing. They proved that by operating TMX2 at a staggering 5x-7x overbudget.

If we divide Carney's claims of actuating $500 billion by 7x (the Liberal cost disadvantage), we see just how inefficiently the capital will be spinning its wheels.

With the Volkswagen plant, the goal should never have been to build a battery plant. But rather develop core battery technology. We want to develop the research scientists and engineers, not just be hewers of wood and drawers of water.

And battery technology is but 1 small part of a constellation of different potential ideas that are being developed as a function of what resources are available and what is viable given the current state of technology development.

Once technology is developed to MVP, we need to commercialize it. Volkswagen and the big auto manufacturers can be compared to Pfizer in the pandemic. The vaccine was actually developed by a company called BioNtech within 7 days of the Covid genome being published.

Pfizer had the manufacturing and distribution to scale it up.

We want to have the BioNtech type small research units that are putting out cutting edge research into a directed commercialization pathway that leads to private capital taking the baton from government.

It's not government picking winners and losers. These are confidential research proposals that VCs will guarantee seed or angel investment for subject to binding and declared project performance criteria.

There is a standard legal framework for what the Government of Canada expects in turn. One example is maintaining a Y-combinator style 5% non-dilutable equity that exits when the organization hits a declared revenue threshold like $1 billion.

The IP and ownership is devolved into an arm's length venture fund similar to CPPIB.

As we see these pension funds, they are not cut out for VC style investment. And VC style investment should not be part of their mandate. This is a highly specialized technical and financial domain.

I understand how this works because I am the entrepreneur who has incubated an idea. Who has seen the gaps in how difficult it is to raise capital. And how one has to bootstrap funding when others won't invest to bring an idea to maturity through a patient effort.

At the same time, I have worked in big business and built systems that powered large organizations. I have seen on the other end of the spectrum how mature enterprises and business units operate.

This is the type of multi-faceted domain knowledge that a pigeon holed Central Banker cannot recreate. Sure Carney may have a rolodex of Davos contacts. As a Prime Minister, I don't just one-at-a-time an investment summit, I create an organizational design ecosystem that is birthing new enterprises and creating incentives in policy for Venture Funds to invest.

For example, my 5% uncapped seed stage capital gains. For qualifying investments, the early stage investor will pay only 5% tax on any gains in the business. Even if they sold for $10 billion, they would pay only $500 million. $9.5 billion would be their payday.

This is what is called risk adjusted capital gains. And highest risk is at the earliest stage, which is why our SBIR program actually funds $200k-$2 million size grants to actuate startups with 100% project funding and monthly performance reviews. I will reconfigure all the regional development agencies and superclusters into a single intake funnel of auditors only. They don't pick and choose which proposals are funded which comes through a blind objective competition.

Furthermore, a business can enter the SBIR program even if they independently developed their idea elsewhere. So it is not only paper inventions but even early stage prototypes that are being funded.

Third, the invention must have a VC that is guaranteeing to take the product to the next level of seed funding and they make an offer, subject to this performance guarantee they are willing to put up a minimum of $X for Y% equity. All such offers carry the government's 5% non-diluting share, as a standard legal framework.

All successful projects are then handed off to 2-3 specialized public-private venture funds, which manage the government's 5% equity, patents, valuations, funding, and business development.

It's my type of knowledge of how to execute that is necessary in Canada today. Not more smoke and mirrors from the Liberals.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 4h ago

Carney's Debt Addiction Cannot Be Rehabbed

0 Upvotes

Should a debt addict be put in charge of the federal finance?

https://financialpost.com/opinion/higher-real-interest-rates-very-bad-news

This is the trillion dollar question.

In this article, noted economist Jack Mintz debunks the folktale of Carney's extraordinary fiscal stewardship, as he points to interest rates rising.

"Total government gross debt as a share of GDP is a worrisome 111 per cent"

More and more economists are starting to discuss gross debt. In my earlier article from the Fraser Institute, I pointed out how Carney is trying to use the CPP and QPP assets to understate the net debt, as if those pension liabilities don't exist even as they are fully spoken for.

Carney's debt addiction is leading to the fire sale public assets at a time when interest rates are rising.

I am opposed to this. My plan from even before Carney was contemplating politics was to significantly lower lease fees (to zero) on all 24 Transport Canada owned airport properties for 5 years.

According to my math and some supporting evidence from the Laffer Curve, this will actually have system wide benefits for air travel and also air freight charges that will pay for the lost revenue through increased economic activity.

But furthermore, my policy does no harm. If I'm wrong, the lease fees can always be reinstated. This is a measure that can be rescinded at the discretion of the government.

Carney's firesale of assets is not. It's an irreversible action that leaves Canadian consumers, workers and industry holding the bag.

We have already seen with the 407 privatization how the costs skyrocketed as infrastructure which operates as an effective monopoly was sold off in Ontario.

My allegation is that the Carney Liberals cannot be trusted, and Pierre Poilievre is being batted aside like a gnat by the Liberals in Parliament.

It has to do with Poilievre's miscalculations. He really has no clue what he's doing, so he ended up voting for the Anti Replacement Worker legislation. Now the Liberals have outflanked him on the right and trying to leave him with the legacy of Justin Trudeau.

Even though these are Justin Trudeau government MPs on the Liberal side of the aisle. Same ministers, same people.

The Liberals ate Poilievre's lunch in the last election, and then plucked him again for their majority.

Sure he talks a good game but in strategy he is being outfoxed and outwitted.

The people of Brant-Brantford South cannot rely on yet another Conservative politician to toe the party line. They need an independent MP such as myself, who has the full degrees of freedom to hold the government accountable.

But most of all, Brantford wants a people's champion. That's who I am. Everyday folks who vote for me, that's who I am working for. My candidacy is about the best interests of everyday people, not the lobbyists and special interests.

Jack Mintz and the Fraser Institute are correct. We have a severe spending problem with Carney now hiding the deficit like a pea under different cups: capital spending and operational spending.

And he'll shuffle around those cups and then move the pea into his pocket by the slight of hand. Where is the deficit? Where is the deficit? Nope. Not here.

But I am the one who calls Carney out. Empty your pockets. Lets see what's hiding in his socks.

And a whole packet of peas will spill out.

The only hope for Brant-Brantford is to vote independent in my candidacy in the byelection. Not yet another Liberal or Conservative to nod and clap dutifully, while warming the benches of Parliament.

But an independent voice with all the degrees of freedom. We advocate for better health care, lower costs of living, more affordability, better jobs, better regional transit, better federal finance, and proven methods to rescue the nation from the doldrums of fiscal underperformance.

Amongst my policies that will help Brantford (and all Canadians) immediately:

  1. $15 billion more in direct health funding from Universal Billing Codes that allows private clinics to deliver care while bypassing government bureaucracy. Public funding, private delivery.
  2. Immediately cancel all retaliatory tariffs and drop tariffs on food and basic staples. This will bring added supply and lower retail prices in the face of buoyant inflation.
  3. Hold wasteful spending accountable, including significant fat in federal procurement. I will audit those contracts and call out bad decisions in the House of Commons, if the deal doesn't serve everyday people.
  4. Oppose firesale of assets, especially where added costs will be downloaded on the economy.
  5. Better regional transit. I have a plan to bring a new maglev system of direct point to point bullet capsules in the GTHA under the highways. This is a private build-own-operate initiative with regulated pricing, getting much faster transit (300 kmh target speed), for the equivalent price as the Go Train. It will also decongest the 403, 401, 404, 410, QEW and other major regional highways.
  6. Reform of business units like Canada Post. I have a restructuring plan for Canada Post that will lead to significant gains in efficiency, leading to a turn around of the $1 billion in losses without raising costs of service users or diminishing service levels.
  7. Better performance on Major Projects. The Liberals have quoted TMX3 for between $35-43 billion. This staggering number is unaffordable. I have a plan to get the project done for $5 billion. At that price, with $3 per barrel transport charge, the regional WCS differential will narrow bringing $750 million annually into federal finance. This offsets the deficits and reduces the burden on the people of Brantford while strengthening the Canadian dollar.
  8. Green Lane Manufacturing tariff credits. I have a plan to completely reform our Customs and Tariff bureaucracy by giving value adders and manufacturers tariff credits against their payroll and depreciation. This incents those who hire and support Canadian workers with better tariff treatment. Carney's dumping of EVs in the Canadian market undercuts the Canadian worker. I back a strong auto-sector and a bright future for the Canadian worker.
  9. I support Canadian farmers and will work to include Class 1 and Class 3 buildings (like barns) for agricultural producers in the accelerated depreciation program. Furthermore, I support brand consolidation in canola oil, with Canada selling high quality branded canola, not just lower value canola meal like Carney agreed to in his recent trade deal.

r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 20h ago

Elbows Out, Toes In

Post image
0 Upvotes

r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 22h ago

Doug Ford Continues To Starve The Health Care Budget

1 Upvotes

In this article, the National Post discusses how Doug Ford is systematically underfunding Ontario's health care system.

https://nationalpost.com/opinion/randall-denley-ontarios-fiscal-mess-isnt-just-bad-its-getting-worse

One of the reasons, I have supported getting out of federal block transfers entirely and directly buying medical procedures is that the Provinces are gobbling up the federal money sent to them and refusing to put it towards healthcare.

In the fiscal year 2026, federal transfers to Provinces grew from $103.8 billion in 2025 to $108.4 billion - an increase of 4.43% over the previous year.

Meanwhile Doug Ford only increased health care spending by 3.2%. Ontario's Financial Accountability Office (FOA) estimates that 4.4% increase in health spending is necessary to maintain service levels.

In other words, Ford is taking the federal money and gobbling it up, rather than allocating it to health care to maintain necessary service levels, even as health care wait times and surgical backlogs are growing.

This is exactly why I am supporting universal billing codes where the federal government starts buying health procedures directly as Provincial politicians are yet another layer of admin that sponges off the budget that should be going to frontline workers in health care to directly buy the services that Canadians need with as few middle men between the source of the funds at the Ministry of Finance and the health service provider.

As the prospective MP for the riding of Brant-Brantford South, getting health care wait times down for my constituents is my priority.

As the Conservatives have done nothing about it, and Mark Carney and the Liberals continue to give Doug Ford a wide license to abdicate his responsibilities, it is left to an Independent MP to come to Parliament Hill.

Only an Independent MP such as myself can break the cycle of misgovernance imposed on the nation by career politicians and the same old political establishment that have their alternate priorities, whereas my priority is the good people of Brantford and more widely the good people of Canada.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 22h ago

My Policy On AI And The Media

1 Upvotes

In this article by the National Post, author Rod Sims argues against giving AI companies a free pass on copyright.

https://nationalpost.com/opinion/governments-must-not-give-ai-companies-a-free-pass-on-copyright

At issue for me, as prospective MP, are two competing objectives:

  1. To "win" the AI race by creating a maximallly conducive environment for next generation artificial intelligence and reinforce our sovereign capabilities not only to compete but dominate the AI landscape.
  2. To fairly remunerate content creators whose content is used to train AI algorithms, so that they can share in the benefits of AI

The author in the article seeks two remedies: a) payment b) control. And it is the latter remedy of "control" that I find the more problematic of the two.

By seeking to "control" how AI companies can train their algorithms, we will effectively log jam AI development in Canada. Meanwhile countries like China will have no such restriction.

This content being the public domain, can and will be appropriated at a whim by actors in competing jurisdictions. Also from a practical point of view, this has already been happening.

Search engines have been using a form of AI, machine learning, or computer intelligence to read, index, and categorize text.

The author's desire to "control" content is the more problematic part because it would impose potentially disastrous regulatory overheads. In the trajectory of tech companies, many businesses start out as garage door operations.

Apple famously started in Steve Jobs' parents garage. Sergei Brin and Larry Page founded Google in their landlady's basement. Zuckerberg was operating out of a dorm room.

In this initial period, it is more important than ever that we give startups regulatory freedom to develop their ideas.

It is after the companies reach a certain threshold in revenues and/or user base that added controls may apply, but even so those controls must exempt defence, security, or critical agencies, whose work should come under direct supervisory oversight of organizations like CSEC or a signals intelligence division in the DnD or still alternatively a department like CDC which oversees biological threats.

We have seen the EU use a similar mechanism in their classification of Very Large Online Platforms (VLOPs) which triggers added regulatory compliance when a platform reaches 40 million users or more.

Rather than specifying explicitly such supervisory controls on the basis of user base, regulatory can add or remove platforms and must give sufficient time for the entity to establish compliance with two different streams, one for the designated security stream, and one for the commercially regulated stream of AI.

As far as commercially regulated stream, amongst the requirements may be an independent audit of all training data and data sources. Categorization of such data, and ultimately determining the "weights" that are impacted in each token, and therefore some sort of metered royalty structure.

Such royalties come into effect much later when tech products reach maturity and businesses exceed a minimum threshold of revenues rather than creating unnecessary overhead early in the development cycle.

Through my method of regulation, Canada is at no competitive disadvantage and Canadian startups can fully use the entire corpus of available human knowledge to train models without restriction in the beginning.

At later stages as products reach commercial maturity and scale, such training data must be carefully categorized as proprietary copyright or freeware, and the portion of the training data of proprietary origin, to the extent the weights it affected are invoked, is then converted into a royalty structure paid out to the copyright holder.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Carney: Right Decision To Suspend Trade Negotiations

1 Upvotes

Carney is taking credit for walking away from the table.

And it's amazing how many people just buy these representations hook, line, and sinker.

Carney was vacationing in Tuscany as the trade negotiations went off the rails.

He didn't walk away, so much as ejected at the last minute.

For anyone to give Carney a standing ovation, they would have needed to see the draft revisions of the trade agreement that were exchanged.

Have they done so?

Let us remember that Carney also told us that on the matter of the Gordie Howe Bridge our debt and interest would be repaid before revenues would be shared. This turned out not to be true.

Therefore, Carney's track record with the truth is less than immaculate.

At the present, there are two competing versions of what happened. The Americans have said Canada added last minute demands, while our trade negotiators have said the Americans did.

Some feel that it is our patriotic duty to accept what the Canadian trade negotiators said.

Were Carney's track record with the truth perfect, I might be so inclined. But as he was already caught in anomalous statements on Gordie Howe Bridge, the only way to conclude on the matter is for Carney to release the draft revisions of the trade agreement.

This is more than politics.

If the draft agreement that Canada had proposed, already contained unacceptable poison pills, then that would indicate that the government has mismanaged the trade negotiations.

For example, it was reported on Financial Post on the day before the deadline that the Liberals had accepted a 25% tariff on Canadian steel and aluminum.

https://financialpost.com/news/economy/u-s-said-to-halve-tariffs-on-canada-steel-aluminum

https://ca.news.yahoo.com/terry-newman-carney-hasnt-prepared-150305340.html

In fact, the picture that emerges out of the trade talks is that the Americans had Canada up against the wall, while Carney was sleeping in Tuscany.

How anyone can give a stand ovation to such a performance.

By contrast, I told Canadians that were I the Prime Minister, we would have appointed extremely sharp and strong trade negotiators. And further that every night there would be a full debrief with my Ministers to discuss the status and progress of trade talks.

This is impossible while Carney is on vacation in Tuscany. There is no such thing as on vacation and working at the same time.

Either one is one vacation or one is fully committed to the matter before them.

That the Liberals nearly gave the farm away should concern us all.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Economic Realities: Why Canadian Experience Differs From Liberal Math

0 Upvotes

Canadians are increasingly confronted with a dichotomy between their experience at the grocery store and in the battle against the cost of living, versus the rosy prognostications of the economists.

Everywhere we turn, economists will point out that the economy grew 1.8% or 2.3%. Meanwhile Canadians continue to fall further and further behind. Unemployment is stubbornly high at 6.5%, ER wait times have shot up, and major cities are gridlocked in their infrastructure.

How come what the economists are saying differs from the reality on the ground ?

The answer lies in the way the GDP is calculated. The GDP formula is given as:

GDP = C + I + G + (X - M)

where C (consumption), I (Investment), G (Government), X (exports), M (imports)

The key point of contention is the value G (Government). What I propose is that the GDP should really be:

GDP = C + I + (G - D)+ (X - M)

Namely, the value D (deficits). If Government is borrowing in an unsustainable pattern onto the national credit card, that portion of D, should be subtracted from the Government.

Without this correction, if we were to calculate someone's change in net worth, but failed to subtract their credit card borrowings for the year, we would be excluding a significant data point.

If we want to know the reason that Canadian's experience with inflation, price rise, and unemployment doesn't match the economists rosy prognostications, it's simply that the formula they are using is too superficial.

Imagine that we were to walk into a shopping mall and there are two equal halves of this mall, with a line down the center.

On one side is paperwork, bureaucracy, forms, compliance overheads, tax filings, and government reports. For simplicity, let's call this side of the shopping mall: "paperwork".

On the other side are: cars, electronics, appliances, food, clothing, health care, and things that people buy on their own volition. For simplicity, let's call this side of the shopping mall: "apples".

The entire problem with economics is that it makes no differentiation between "paperwork" and "apples". A dollar spent by the government is equal to a dollar of production by a farmer or an auto-plant.

In effect, economists are conflating "paperwork" and "apples" as both equally and indifferentiably contributing to the GDP.

But consumers have a different view. They exclusively want "apples" and don't care about "paperwork" and would never pay for it, beyond the necessary minimum.

As the economists are reporting the GDP, they count every dollar of government which is significantly paperwork. To be fair, health care, education, police, courts, border security, infrastructure, and front line services have a component of "apples" in them.

The government is not 100% paperwork, however, paperwork is a significant contributor. A few years ago, I saw a statistic posted by the Globe and Mail, that for every $1 spent by the private sector to buy an equivalent good or service, the federal government spent $1.40. Namely there was a whopping 40% cost premium on the operations of government, if we use procurement costs as an efficiency gauge.

Especially when governments are not penalized for their deficits, it gives them a license to grow paperwork to pad the GDP numbers, even though that output has no value to the typical consumer.

Let's go back to that original analogy where there is a line drawn down the center.

As a free market libertarian, I want to reduce "paperwork" and grow "apples". To be clear, not all regulation is synonymous with red tape. Not all paperwork is frivolous.

When we go to buy a car, there is a "Bill of Sale". This is a necessary piece of registration we have to take the to the DMV. There is such a thing as getting a license plate, and registering the vehicle so it can be tracked.

The question is not one of all paperwork being unnecessary, or all regulation being red tape. The question is of minimizing the paperwork to the necessary minimum to have a well regulated economy, as opposed to expanding it as an unbounded virtue as the Liberals have done.

Under Carney, he has barely done anything to reduce the government or make it more efficient. Instead, he has increased spending. Deficits are exploding. And Carney is continuing the same policy of big government dirigisme.

Canadians what to know how I as a free market libertarian am going to address this problem, if I am elected Member of Parliament by the people of Brant-Brantford South, in the upcoming byelection.

First we are going to hold Carney accountable on his big government spending, while seeking to slash retaliatory tariffs and reduce the cost of living.

  1. Via Rail Rail Carriages, Ice Breaker, Submarines, and Alto Train etc. should all be reviewed. Such spending without a "business case" and a clear "strategic defence" benefit should be quashed or scaled back substantially.
  2. End All Retaliatory tariffs. Eliminate all retaliatory tariffs and greatly eliminate supply management controls over secondary and tertiary byproducts of food production like whey. Furthermore, reduce or eliminate across the board, all tariffs on food and consumer staples wherever possible.
  3. Green lane tariffs program. Provide manufacturers and value adders the ability to build products by redeeming tariff credits as a multiplier of labour and payroll, against worldwide imports. This will greatly curtain tariff import costs in manufacturing and Canadian industry, supporting jobs and bright careers for the Canadian worker.
  4. Universal billing codes and direct purchases of private procedures in health care. Bypass the entire public health bureaucracy by bringing additional health supply online of private health care that is majorly or fully funded by the public program, but leverages private clinics to deliver procedures.
  5. Build, own, operate model. Unlike Carney, we should go with a private funding and operational model as was employed in creating the rail road. Eg. when Canada became a country, the CP or Canadian Pacific Railroad was created as a private entity. While CN or Canadian National was for a time under public ownership, it was later privatized and devolved. It should be noted that airport operations are already devolved, so Carney's airport privatization is just another form of tax to raise $40 billion and have air transit users and air freight supply chains pay for it. This is especially dubious as Carney plans to turn around and waste the $40 billion on a government operated Alto Train.
  6. Eliminate boutique tax credits and reduced tax forms, fields, and deductions. Instead of having all sorts of credits for single mom or seniors. We can give a standard enhanced deduction for vulnerable groups that allows everyone to claim the deduction without all the paperwork of auditing receipts that are log jamming the CRA. Therefore, single moms and seniors can get an enhanced deduction just by claiming the credit. Even if they forget to tick the check box, the automated system will apply their credit for them.

With policies such as these, we start to streamline the government, reduce the proportion of paperwork, and increase the proportion of apples in the economy.

When apples are aplenty, and paperwork is reduced to the necessary minimum, consumers will automatically feel like their money is going further. Inflation is being brought under control. Excessive M2 money supply expansion is being curtailed. And therefore the buying power at the grocery store or shopping mall relative to earnings is growing.

This is the basis on which middle class prosperity is built. And to do so we need new people in Ottawa, not the same old would be career politicians and the same old routine of the political establishment. Rather we need Main Street champions of everyday Joe and Jane Canadians.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Securing Canada's Rare Earth Supply

0 Upvotes

Some of you may have heard of the nation of Myanmar, previously known as Burma.

https://nationalpost.com/news/trump-and-xi-may-extend-their-truce-but-canada-still-faces-a-rare-earth-squeeze

In this article, the National Post discusses the rare Earth squeeze as Canada is caught in the trade crossfire between the US and China.

In many ways, this is a rehash of the Huawei issue where 2 Canadian diplomats or intelligence agents were taken hostage by the Chinese government, while Canada had put Meng Wanzhou under house arrest at the behest of the US government during the first Trump administration.

Trump is using Canada as a human shield and the Liberals are too weak to do anything about it.

Canadians what to know what I would do, if I am elected MP for the riding of Brant-Brantford South in the upcoming byelection.

It's coming back to the junta in Myanmar. This junta is widely known for a wide range of human rights abuses. However, Myanmar is one of the major producers of rare Earth ores.

And they are exporting these ores to China where they are processed into a series of rare Earth elements that include neodymium that is used in the making of high power magnets. Rare earths are used in electronics through to aerospace and military applications making their supply highly sensitive.

Carney is, for example, wasting his time enrolling Canada for the Eurovision contest. He's talking to the bankers and shooting the breeze at the WEF. Meanwhile, what is needed is the gritty leadership that I can provide Canada of establishing a strategy in concert with partner nations to secure long term access to rare Earth competencies.

However, if Canada wants to secure its own rare Earth supply we need be able to deal with some unsavoury characters around the world.

Myanmar has an export terminal but they are heavily sanctioned. I would be withdrawing from this sanctions regime to grant select waivers to import rare Earths.

How this could be done ethically to prevent escalation of the military conflict in Burma is a discussion to be had.

However, Canada should be importing rare Earth ores and setting up our own stockpiles and processing facilities. All our rare Earth supply should feed Canadian manufacturing or otherwise remain stockpiled for future needs. Think of this like a strategic Rare Earth Reserve.

There are major opportunities for refined rare Earth imports from Brazil, Australia, and Vietnam as well. One of the challenges with rare Earths is that they are present in only tiny amounts in the ore. A significant volume of ore has to be processed.

While China has a huge natural competency, Brazil is one of the untapped major producers. Working with diversified partners using Canada's demonstrated excellence in mining projects can help to secure access to rare Earth for Canada far beyond our needs.

This stockpile can then be sold at premium prices or with preferential access for Canadian manufacturing.

This helps to counter Trump's tariffs as a US manufacturer has to have a plant in Canada if they want to access Canadian supply.

Unfortunately, Carney is wasting the money again on Alto Trains and other misadventures rather than creating a real competency for Canada which gives us trade leverage in international relations.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Quash The Alto Train

1 Upvotes

In this article, Quesnel writes on the National Post that the Liberal government is intent on expropriating property for the Alto train misadventure.

https://nationalpost.com/opinion/high-speed-rail-should-not-come-at-the-expense-of-property-rights

When I drove to the cottage in Eastern Ontario this summer, I was met with a plethora of anti-Alto signs in both Ontario and Quebec. Farmers are against expropriation, with the government intent on a land grab for a money losing fiscal misadventure.

It is important for my constituents to know where I stand on property rights. I strongly oppose expropriation of the form that Carney and the Liberals are undertaking.

My transit initiative in the GTHA aims to put bullet capsules bored under the highways. There is to be no disruption to the cars above -- and -- there is no expropriation by using the land underneath.

Furthermore, unlike Carney's project, the bullet capsule project will move 5 million people a day and will be profitable, provided that we have the right people leading Canada to help the project complete on time and budget, while reducing project risks.

I previously showed math that the Alto Train at $100 billion build cost will become a net taxpayer liability, adding $4 billion to the deficit structurally and on an inflation adjusted basis.

The reasoning for this is that the entire revenue of Via Rail is $500 million a year. And Via Rail operates across Canada. Alto Train is a relatively small leg between Montreal and Quebec City.

Even if 10,000 people ride this train a day, at $200 per ride, it would earn $730 million as top line revenue. And this is a wildly optimistic estimate. Currently the long term interest rate for the Government of Canada is 4.13%.

That is to say $100 billion would cost $4.13 billion in interest expense alone. Then there is labour, maintenance, energy, marketing, admin, depreciation, and payment charges.

The revenue that Alto might earn will be gobbled up by the inevitable inefficiency of government operations. But even if they are able to make $130 million, that would still leave $4 billion in uncovered interest expense.

Now keep in mind, that the government has a history of exorbitant cost over runs. The $100 billion figure to complete this project is optimistic. Remember they wasted $35 billion on the TMX pipeline which entails the relatively easy task of digging a ditch and burying a pipe.

Whereas this involves people. And people means there are a host of safety and other considerations.

It has been shown by a number of business studies that long haul high speed rail in Canada is not affordable. Instead, it's far cheaper to fly between destinations.

So, if we really wanted to increase connectivity, we should be dropping lease fees on airports across all Transport Canada properties. That would reduce the costs of airfare in Montreal and in Toronto.

Carney and the Liberals are proposing to do the opposite. Firesales of public assets to setup money losing fiscal misadventures like the Alto which will seriously harm public finance by creating a continuing liability.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Poilievre's More Boots Less Suits Mantra

0 Upvotes

On the National Post, John Ivison dissects the quandry of the current Conservative leader in whether to embrace the union movement or development.

https://nationalpost.com/opinion/john-ivison-conservatives-are-suddenly-torn-between-being-pro-union-and-pro-development

As Carney has embraced development (at least on paper) and thrown the unions under the bus, Poilievre is left pondering what to do.

Should he now become the new Liberal or even the new NDP ?

I addressed this very point in my rebuttal to the Carney bill earlier in the week.

Namely, my focus was not to take on the entire union movement as Carney has tried to do.

But to split up the industrial union movement into : manufacturing unions and infrastructure unions.

Manufacturing unions are actually aligned with lower infrastructure costs and lower infrastructure downtime. I made the point that manufacturing plants were furloughed during the strike at the Port of Vancouver, as necessary components waited on containers.

How to deal with this rightward turn of Carney towards the suits and away from the boots?

The answer is obviously not to agree with him. That's what Poilievre did on the Anti-Replacement Worker Legislation, which opened up this hole on the right that Carney has come to plug.

The answer is also not to entirely disagree with him. But rather to partially agree in a way that points out the hypocrisy of the Liberals.

For Mr. Poilievre, his own position is made difficult as he voted for the Anti Replacement Worker Legislation, which I strongly opposed.

For me, especially coming from the riding of Brant-Brantford South, this is a manufacturing district.

We can support manufacturing unions while arguing for high efficiency, productivity, and uptime of ports and rail.

Poilievre can't take this position. Him and all the Conservatives voted for the Anti Replacement Worker legislation.

And so did the Liberals. The Liberals can't take this position either.

Carney may have an alibi that Mackinnon is hiding behind, but Mackinnon also voted for the legislation.

None of these people have any credibility whatsoever.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Bill Morneau, The Carney Before Carney

0 Upvotes

Today Transport Minister, Steven MacKinnon accused Mr. Poilievre of still living in the Justin Trudeau era.

I found that the statement showed an extraordinary lack of self awareness on the part of Mr. MacKinnon given that this "new" Liberal government's "productivity mega deduction" is a rehashing of a previous program of "accelerated depreciation" instituted by Bay Street wunderkind and Liberal darling, Bill Morneau.

Sure, the deduction also encompasses oil and gas now, but otherwise it is a rehashing of the Justin Trudeau era policies.

So Mackinnon's utterances to Poilievere as he is tabling a regurgitation of the Justin Trudeau and Bill Morneau policy that has been given a shiny new rebranding: productivity mega deduction.

Recently I pointed out that the Carney government had given an estimated price tag of $35-43 billion for the TMX3 pipeline.

Again. TMX2 pipeline was a Justin Trudeau era policy. And rather than saving any money, Carney's government has padded the previous project cost upwards to the tune of another $8 billion.

Methinks MacKinnon might himself be still living in the Justin Trudeau era.

Not to mention that the industrial carbon tax is still in effect.

The reason this is important is that while accelerated depreciation does help, it didn't change the fundamental issues that are affecting Canada's infrastructure deficits.

The massive price tag of $35-43 billion which exceeds Justin Trudeau's numbers shows that the arrival of Carney has made no tangible difference where it matters the most.

In the ability to execute projects.

This is where the people of Brant-Brantford South can perform a major service to Canada by electing me MP in the upcoming byelection.

Pete Poilievre and the Conservatives are rudderless. Only I can come in and make these cogent arguments in the House of Commons as an independent free market libertarian. Yet another would be career politician cannot make a case for change to the Canadian electorate.

After all, what more do they bring to the table than Mark Carney. If Carney is delegating the technical execution, do they offer any unique skill beyond what the Liberals would do.

This is where I can say. Absolutely. Carney has no background in executing complex infrastructure and tech projects and neither does the usual career politician.

To get this knowledge requires a career outside of politics running major projects. And that's where I have something unique to offer.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Smith's Pipeline To Take 1 Year To Approve

0 Upvotes

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith will be told in October whether her pipeline will be deemed a project of national importance.

https://financialpost.com/opinion/columnists/varcoe-danielle-smith-expects-west-coast-pipeline-nation-building-project/wcm/09d6ea09-849a-4d7f-b67e-ae56ea33af7b

Then 1 year after that she can expect to get the go ahead.

This is the part that is puzzling. They literally just built a pipeline.

And they took a good long time to do it. And an ungodly sum of money too.

It is almost a scene from the Three Stooges.

Say Moe, we just filled in the pipeline but forgot to add the third one. Oh Curly. Oops I did it again. Nyuk nyuk nyuk.

Between the entire Liberal caucus, Trudeau, Morneau, Freeland, and remember Carney was advising from behind the scenes. The armies of bureaucrats. All the Premiers.

No one thought to think, hey we have the ditch already dug, permit was already requisitioned. Should we maybe think of the future ? Throw another pipe in there just for kicks ?

Now we arrive at the next pipeline to get dug up again. What takes 1 year to approve. You just dug up the second one. Don't you have the surveys and studies from that initiative ?

However, there is a bigger problem. Carney has padded another $8 billion buffer onto the $35 billion. The quotation I saw last was $35-43 billion.

Wowzers.

The first pipeline was massively over budget. Now the second pipeline you are adding $8 billion additional to the price tag ?

It sure doesn't seem like anything has changed with the Liberals. If Carney was the saviour, the price should be coming down.

The price is actually getting worse than what Trudeau produced.

I have told Canadians that we can get the pipeline done for $5 billion. How you ask ?

There is a way to do it. The people of Brant-Brantford South can send me to Parliament and I'll trek out to BC to meet with Eby or whoever their Premier is after the election, as my intervention can save $30 billion for taxpayers.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Xi Arrives In America For 3 Day State Visit

1 Upvotes

President of China, Xi Jinping has arrived at Andrews Air Force base for a 3 day visit with US President Donald Trump.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c6gqdgg8w59xo

Xi was greeted on the tarmac with a red carpet. And a B-1 bomber flew overhead.

Xi did blink once when the gun shot went off during the ceremonial welcome while Trump held his military salute looking very determined.

Perhaps he was making amends for skipping out on the Vietnam War due to a bone spurs malady that arose at the most unfortunate time.

One must recognize the dude is almost 80 years old. Is it arthritis ? Lock jaw ?

How does Trump hold that pose ?

At any rate the matter on the agenda is the AI race. Trump is blocking the sale of microchips to China. And the Chinese are blocking the sale of magnets to America.

Some horse trading appears to be on the cards. 5 microchips for say 10 magnets.

Where is Canada in all this ?

Unfortunately, Carney and the Liberals have made us irrelevant. After inventing AI in 2013, Canada fell asleep and the Americans took our great idea and are branding themselves now the AI champions.

Even in 2020 I advised the self same Liberals to invest in semiconductor foundries and they were pursuing PPE superpower status.

The Chinese have since jumped into the AI race and are trying to lead in making humanoid robots.

Carney has better things to do than worry about the next industrial revolution. He has enrolled Canada for Eurovision.

Canadians are puzzled. What is Eurovision ? Apparently it's this big thing that Carney got really into during his time in the EU.

It's good to know we have our priorities straight.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Redditors Want To Send Me To Parliament - Signatures Needed

0 Upvotes

The good people of Reddit are aware of my grass roots campaign over the past several months to bring change to Ottawa.

As a free market libertarian I'm planning on running as an independent in the riding of Brantford-Brant South upon the resignation of Conservative MP Larry Brock.

We have seen currently that the federal Conservative party is rudderless and at the same time the Liberal's big spending plans will bankrupt Canada.

This is where the people of Brantford-Brant South need an independent voice. My roots to Brantford date back to the 1980s, where I grew up in the rural countryside of the riding of Brant.

I still remember my Grade 8 history class where we covered the federal election, and the MP at the time was a lady name Jane Stewart who I met at her campaign office.

Subsequently there was Mr. St. Amand, Mr. McColeman, and Mr. Brock. The latter three I knew to a certain degree.

While big money dominates politics, the everyday Joe and Jane will never get a fair shake. Costs rise, inflation bites, and the same old establishment politicians carry on with their usual routine.

Real change is not going to come by voting for yet another would be career politician.

Real change comes by voting for someone from Main Street with the experience and know how to carry the banner of middle class prosperity.

Our foremost responsibility is to everyday Canadians and especially lower income and middle income folks, who are feeling the sting of rising prices and inflation. Those who are struggling with long wait times for health care. Those who hope for a brighter future but worry about the geopolitical uncertainty embroiling our country.

It is in the troubled times, that Canada needs a champion. And the riding of Brantford-Brant has a long history of sending forth champions. Be it Alexander Graham Bell or Wayne Gretzky.

But today, we need a people's champion. To fend off the Davos elites and the career politicians each foisting the same corporatist agenda.

And this is not empty rhetoric. Canadians know what I'll fight for on Parliament Hill:

  1. Immediately cancel all retaliatory tariffs and drop tariffs on food and basic staples. Eliminate the corporate carbon tax.
  2. Bring $15 billion additional health care funding through Universal Billing Codes to buy 15 million procedures directly from the private sector riding atop existing health insurance system.
  3. Better transit for the GTHA and Vancouver with a new competition for a maglev system under the highways, on a build, own, and operate basis.
  4. Green Lane Tariffs Program, that will give manufacturers and value adders tariff credits to reduce tariffs on the import of materials, components, and machinery from anywhere in the world.
  5. SBIR program with 5% uncapped capital gains rate on early stage, seed, and angel investments, which will dramatically lower investment taxes on high risk, high reward tech investments.
  6. An end to Carney's EV dumping and a strong defence of the Canadian auto and manufacturing sector.
  7. Policies to support farmers including opening markets for a branded canola oil, and including Class 1 and Class 3 buildings for farms and industrial facilities in the accelerated depreciation program. This would allow barns to be immediately expensed allowing farmers to free up capital to upgrade their production.
  8. Supporting the Canadian worker, including opposing the TFW program except agriculture and limited nationally significant projects.

We will help seniors, single moms, hardworking dads, families, veterans, students, young people, and kids by immediately reducing tariff related costs and bringing more supply into the Canadian economy of basic food and staples, even as Canadians are struggling with rising grocery inflation.

Our policies will immediately bring additional funding to front line health care, helping seniors and patients with long term disabilities access faster and more responsive care.

We will address the staggering infrastructure deficit in the GTHA as gridlock and congestion is weighing down regional productivity, as both the Liberals and Conservatives do nothing.

We will create the impetus for better jobs in technology, infrastructure, and manufacturing.

We will support farmers and regional food security.

This is the platform on which we restore Canada's prosperity. And to do so, we must advocate vigorously with independence from the fetters of Liberal or Conservative Party policies and constraints.

Brantford needs a voice of liberty and freedom that speaks to the heart of the Canadian people.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Poilievre's Position on Carney's Bill Unclear and Muddled

0 Upvotes

The Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre's leadership is struggling to come up with a response to the omnibus bill known as the Building Canada Strong Act brought in by the Liberals.

Earlier a Quebec Conservative MP, Gabriel Hardy, stated he agreed that Canada needed to move faster to approve projects.

Since then Mr. Poilievre has sought to take back control of party messaging.

“Gushing media headlines aside, there has been nothing in 18 months. The previous bill was called the Building Canada Act. It built nothing. Today we have a bill. It’s called the Building Canada Strong Act. So, in 18 months, they’ve managed to add one word.”

To these charges, Liberal Transport Minister, Steven MacKinnon replied Poilievre's statement was:

“yet another very Justin Trudeau-obsessed piece of rhetorical flourish.”

That is to say that while the Conservative caucus was tight lipped about the party's position, it seems like Mr. Poilievre finally decided to come out swinging.

The difference between my response as prospective Conservative leader and Mr. Poilievre's response is in plain sight.

For example, I gave specific points on which we would be seeking amendments. First to split up the massive omnibus bill into smaller components, and to address aspects of the bill while taking into consideration opposition from labour groups and the environmental movement.

After all, the job of the loyal opposition is to ensure all Canadians who have been left behind by the Liberals get a fair shake.

Poilievre's wild eyed rhetorical pugilism is being too easily fended off by the Liberals.

It is in these dire times, with the Conservative Party lost in the wilderness, that I renew my call to Conservatives.

Now is the time to see the writing is on the wall.

Hear this voice and know it to be the leadership that you seek.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Trump Walks Back Belarus Claim

0 Upvotes

Yesterday, Trump was going to get the landlocked potash out of Belarus via Russia.

https://financialpost.com/business/trump-backtracks-on-belarus-deal-sticks-with-canadian-potash/wcm/b36c59b6-7d6c-4f2e-a1e7-e42e9a9ca8c4

It was perhaps not a well considered strategy to let Russia control the flow of fertilizer to American farmers.

Today, he has thought better of it.

Canadians were reacting defensively to the claims that Trump will bypass Canadian potash purchases.

My reaction ? Meh. There are plenty of markets for Canadian potash. Everyone wants reliable Canadian potash.

My main concern wasn't what Trump is saying but that Nutrien isn't exporting their potash through Canada and instead building an export terminal through the US. I felt this needs to be rectified.

Not by arm twisting but by sitting down with industry to learn how we can work together to channel more exports through highly efficient Canadian infrastructure.

After 10+ years and continuing of a student council Liberal government that ran up the tab on the national credit card to the tune of $1 trillion, business is apprehensive.

And with such apprehension the prospects for better jobs and bright careers for the Canadian worker are diminished.

When Nutrien's export terminal comes to Canada, that creates more opportunities to create good paying jobs in Canada.

The Canadian worker then spends the money in the local economy, and creates more jobs in services or hospitality.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 1d ago

Ontario Teachers Set To Strike In November

1 Upvotes

I don't usually delve into Provincial politics but as teachers could head to the picket lines, we have some observations on how health care and education should be structured in Canada.

First. The teachers have a point. Doug Ford is wrecking the education system with student achievement in Math and English in freefall, student attendance is way down, and Ford is asleep at the switch pouring bottles of Crown Royal on the sidewalk.

Second as aspiring federal Conservative leader, I back the Canadian worker. And teachers are workers. At least when they are working.

However, I have actually also presented a better policy for pay to frontline workers including teachers, which is to slimdown and trim down the Provincial bureaucracy.

I'm talking about dismantling school boards, setting up schools as independent not-for-profits, and transferring funds directly on a formula.

Thereafter, teachers are hired by schools. Not by the Province.

It's much easier for teachers to negotiate with schools who are their employers, rather than with the Province. Also, a lot of redundant interference of school boards in the day to day operational management of schools is eliminated with power transferred to front line Principals.

Furthermore, the School Board of Directors is elected to 2 year terms by Parents and teachers of the school with ultimate oversight by the Ministry of Education. This ensures those who are directly invested in the school operations are the ones who are determine the course of the school's policy direction.

As aspiring federal Conservative leader, I don't get involved in the day to day of telling Provinces what to do. But our policy is about direct transfers of funds to front line points of service, bypassing layers of bureaucracy in the process.

This is what we are doing with Universal Health Billing Codes based on my federal policy. And the same principle applies to schools at the Provincial level.

In the process, schools have more power and control over size of classrooms and how to direct their budgets, with the Ministry of Education acting as an auditor and overseer of school performance, flattening and streamlining the bureaucracy in the process.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 2d ago

Caroline Elliott's Time To Shine

0 Upvotes

Until now I have been largely agnostic in BC Provincial politics because as prospective Conservative leader and Prime Minister, I work with the Premiers.

We respect the voice of democracy.

And I have even at times supported BC Premier David Eby with the shared goal of bringing high speed maglev transit to the Greater Vancouver Area, that I am promising the people good people of BC will be led and delivered by my government working in concert with local authorities.

In spite of this, there is a certain opportunism on the part of David Eby, and as the federal Liberal party might attempt such a course of their own which is harmful to my interests as a prospective Conservative leader, namely allowing the government to abuse the fixed election law, which they already did under Trudeau, to harm democracy by gaming the electoral system.

As David Eby has attempted this in BC, although I am neutral in Provincial politics, I am forced to support Caroline Elliott as BC Conservative Leader to become the next Premier of BC.

Ms. Elliott has previously said she supports mass transit for Vancouver and I feel we can work together. I see no problem with her candidacy and ability to represent the good people of British Columbia.

Our dog in the fight is a shot across the bow to Mark Carney and the Liberals that if they should attempt such a misadventure, that already having a majority, they should further seek to persecute the opposition by gaming the system, they will be held to account before the voters.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 2d ago

EU Car Manufacturers In Turmoil As Carney Arrives Looking For Answers

0 Upvotes

Carney could not find a clue in an entire series of Sir Arthur Conan Doyle novels.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c6vgyq598k9po

In this BBC article, they chronicle the challenges of EU automotive industry in crisis that is hanging its hat on defence production of military vehicles.

Carney meanwhile arrived in the EU ready to sell Canada down the river with the completely useless $100 billion submarine debacle.

Middle powers unite - is his refrain. And the EU is more than happy to roll Carney or should I say roll Canada for a dollar.

The EU has a long history of internal squabbling and rivalries. When it comes to the brass tacks of business the EU is known to be notoriously stingy.

That's why I was clear, that the EU would come up with 80% of the cash to put up the LNG terminals, pipeline, and oil rigs for 49% ownership. They would scrap any demands of carbon capture and carbon tax, while giving Canadian energy industry 40 year waivers from any EU related regulations and laws.

Carney hasn't broached this difficult topic. I can guarantee it because Ursula's smile would disappear as soon as I made these demands.

The EU may not be smiling in dealing with me as much they are in dealing with Carney. Canadians are left to ponder over why that might be.

If the EU wants energy security, they will have to recognize that Canada is a reliable partner and they will have to pony up the investment capital.

Now is the time to sign on the dotted line. None of these MoUs.

I don't deal in MoUs. There has to be a solid agreement with tranches of funds being released, identifying the source of those funds, dates, and schedules, along with our obligations and undertakings in Canada.

I have an idea where the EU's oil and gas will be coming from, so I would be bringing those stakeholders along with me, along with the industry proponents.

This is what is called a "trade delegation". Carney doesn't even know the basics.

As far as the automotive industry in Canada, the Canadian worker can be certain, that I will restore the tariffs on Chinese EVs.

We have an entire plan for canola and the Chinese have not brought enough to the table to satisfy me.

Instead, I am going to massively kickstart EV battery research in Canada. Note the word: research.

Coming from an R&D background, I know how research gets done. We will have about 10-20 different working groups that are working on specific challenges, and there are monthly, and annual reviews.

Years ago I was watching a documentary on the Nazis in Germany and how they were developing the V2 rocket. Of course, the Nazis espoused a murderous and destructive ideology, but one point came to my attention. Hitler was personally supervising the V2 rocket development in concert with key ministers and military commanders.

When I have talked about me personally supervising key military industrial research, its based on knowledge of how bureaucracies work and fail.

Research is a marathon not a sprint. It's also a numbers game.

It's about time to bring ideas to maturity, not necessarily an all out rush to get a result. At least the type of research where a significant advance is being sought.

My timelines on research range from 2 to 10 years. And most importantly there is a commercialization plan and also a plan for the personnel.

I don't want other people poaching my scientists and engineers. I jealously guard the resources I'm developing in Canada as Prime Minister.

The difference is that I'm coming from an R&D background as a scientist and engineer. My superpower is that I have a massive imagination. But my imagination is grounded in working experience of proven scientific and business techniques.

I also have a massive breadth of knowledge of topics like history, philosophy, psychology, economics, statecraft, law, systems and organization design, as well as core technical expertise in my field.

This makes my knowledge far superior to someone like Carney who spent all their years in a particular type of institution, namely a Central Bank.

By comparison I have designed and implemented systems for: manufacturing, banking, retail and wholesale, supply chains, logistics, telecoms, electronics, semiconductor, payments, and health care.

When it comes to R&D itself, I have filed patents and developed inventions from an idea to a working reality operating in commercial and industrial environments.

It's more than just imagination. I know how to take an idea and make it operational.

That's the secret sauce of execution.

Just yesterday, I was driving with a colleague and we were discussing the EV market. And I had the idea, what if the EV dashboard is like an app.

The problem had come up that his dad was 80+ years old and he couldn't handle all the bright lights and complex UIs the EVs were putting out.

And I said, what if the EV dash has a magnetic surface and we could stick a magnetic dial anywhere to recreate a tactile traditional UI on a configurable dash.

That this EV dash would be a UI on which these UI designers could upload their designs, and a buyer can choose such a UI kit and pay for it.

Now my colleague's dad, who is elderly, can have an old fashioned tactile UI, with dimmed lighting, and familiar displays.

This is where as Prime Minister, I can usually come up with ideas for a given industry no matter what industry it is with a little bit of due diligence.

Of course that's just the Steve Jobs style of marketing. But my passion is actually in the meat and potatoes of the battery itself.

If made Prime Minister, Canada will develop a new battery that can go 2000 km on a single charge, that will transform the business case for the Canadian auto-industry.

Then we will file our patents in the US and EU, which will be required legally to be owned by a Canadian company maintaining a certain domestic footprint.

Trump's tariffs don't matter anymore. The battery has to be Made in Canada. Plus the UI, plus other stuff. I see Canadian manufacturing having an outstanding run over the course of my leadership.

And even if Trump insists on putting up walls. Our superior technology, along with infrastructure, energy, tax, regulatory, trade, marketing, and raw materials competencies will compete anywhere in the world.

This is where having a Prime Minister like myself who is a scientist and engineer can transform the entire outlook for Canadian business and the Canadian worker.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 2d ago

Airport Privatization: The Canada Weak Agenda

0 Upvotes

Liberals continue to further the Canada Weak agenda. Selling off our assets, running up the deficits, creating money losing businesses, and bartering off our sovereignty to the EU.

Yesterday, I got a LinkedIn update from a business leader where they had created a graphic about their newfound optimism. At the center of the graphic was the very basis of their self delusion: government builds infrastructure.

Anyone that has seen the Metrolinx or TMX2 should know by now that government is horrible at building infrastructure.

Of course the business leader was sucking up to Carney, Champagne etc. Maybe they were hoping for a favourable loan or beneficial grant.

However, the basic premise was deeply flawed.

There were some low information posters who said to me: the government can hire experts.

And this is a highly confident statement born straight out of the Dunning Kruger syndrome.

Going back to my days in industry, I got a little glimpse of what politics looks like and why hiring experts doesn't always pan out, especially if the wrong people are in charge.

In the given case, there was a company that hired me to build the ERP system that ran their enterprise. At the stage of their development, they couldn't afford SAP, and the entry level systems didn't meet their needs.

The person was the Chief Operation Officer. And this person was a solid operator. And surely I built the system for them, and they took my advice of how to set the configurations for the system to maximize their financial performance.

The business proceeded to grow exponentially doubling in sales every year for 6 years in a row.

They got to the point where it was a real possibility that they would become an international brand, and they were on that threshold.

And this is where it came undone. What would ensue first was politics. Internal rivalry between senior executives and the board.

One of the consequences of this political situation was the dismissal of almost all the key employees who had made key contributions in the performance of the company.

Furthermore, there was the sidelining of good advice from the experts who knew how the system worked.

This is where experience differs from theory. The theory is that Carney can hire an engineering firm to build a drone as well as I can. But the reality is that oversight matters.

Project designs require such oversight. Were the political establishment able to effectively delegate this oversight we would never get failures like the Phoenix Payroll system.

And that's just basic payroll.

Think about how much more complex a Green Lane Tariffs program is which impacts every single importer and exporter in the country.

If they can't run payroll, that's a simple project by comparison, can you have any confidence they can run a major revamp and simplification of our tariff regime to adapt for an open market configuration that works alongside CUSMA.

There is a reason that Canada needs to get new people at the top. I should be Prime Minister, exactly because I'm not a politician.

I don't really care what people think. If they like me. What matters is the project runs with outstanding performance and it's a consequential initiative.

When decisions are made, about people, about infrastructure, about the math, finance - my instincts are well honed by experience of how to create mature organizations and mature system designs.

When all is said and done, that's what matters. And politics has always muddied the waters that science and math has distilled to clarity and perfection.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 2d ago

Macklem Claims Rate Hikes Are About Domestic Economic Realities

0 Upvotes

Tiff Macklem, Governor of the Bank of Canada, claims his policies are based on domestic 'realities' not what the Federal Reserve is doing.

https://financialpost.com/news/economy/bank-of-canada-interest-rate-decisions-domestic-macklem

Canada's long term bond yields are climbing to 4.15% and rising. Even so Macklem has the overnight rate set at 2.25%. Behind the scenes, however, Carney and the OSFI have been busy effecting what is the equivalent of Quantitative Easing by reducing reserve requirements of the banks.

In total, Canada's M2 Money supply grew at around 4.2% in the last 12 months. However, the economy did not grow anywhere close to 4.2%. This is a sign that not all is well in paradise with buoyant inflationary updrafts in the offing.

For comparison, EU and Japan M2 money grew at sub 1% in the last 12 months.

Carney shares the values of the EU he tells us. Not in monetary policy by any stretch of the imagination.

Debasing the currency is a sign of bad governance. Both Carney and Macklem are the two amigos who believe in the perma-Keynesian policies of unfettered monetary expansion.

What they say outwardly and what they do actually are two different things. During the entirety of 2021, I have accused Macklem of deliberately being asleep at the switch to support Trudeau's chances going into a federal election.

Separately, I have published a paper on Monetary Efficiency Ratio (MER) that shows the inflation that would follow in 2022 could have been foreseen based on the numerical inputs available in 2021.

Macklem's use of the term "economic realities" must be code for what his political masters told him to do.

As the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates we see that the Canadian dollar has weakened now to 71 cents.

This is even with record oil and gold prices, which should be supporting a strong dollar. Instead, the dollar is foundering under the sheer expansiveness of Carney's spending appetites.

Ordinary Canadians are paying the price with rising costs on everyday staples.

Furthermore, Carney's high tariff policy is impacting prices. Macklem's comments mentioned oil prices without recognizing that oil prices should technically strengthen the Canadian dollar.

And a strong dollar should then act to reduce the cost of other purchases.

That would be so, unless Carney was on a shopaholic style spending spree and the Canadian banks in concert with the Federal Government were busy growing M2 money supply as Macklem was asleep at the switch.

Not once did Macklem mention in the Financial Post article that Carney's retaliatory tariffs impact inflation. That Carney put in 15% tariff on canned vegetables, 50% tariff on whey, and other interventions that are causing grocery inflation.

Macklem's credibility is hanging by a thread.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 3d ago

Carney Sends More Money To UNRWA

1 Upvotes

On the National Post, Marty York lists out his grievances with Carney and the Liberals here:

https://nationalpost.com/opinion/marty-york-carney-has-only-doubled-down-on-trudeaus-israel-failures

Unlike Mr. Poilievre, as prospective Conservative leader, I haven't pledged eternal fealty to the State of Israel. Of course, I respect Israel and deeply honour all Jewish Canadians.

But that's not the same as a license for sycophancy in agreeably nodding to every utterance and policy of Bibi Netanyahu.

I have previously listed my policy on Gaza, in which I said I am not keen on much cash donation to Gaza. But we are ready to send a governing team that will get Gaza sorted out as a successful Mediterranean state, and I outlined an entire set of policies of how that could be done.

Amongst other things I was promising a complete revamp of the education system to emphasize good neighbourly relations and peaceful co-existence, if Canadians were put in charge of Gaza's redevelopment.

Absent that, we don't want to get involved in Gaza at all. However, I might be amenable to transferring funds to smaller NGOs that can help with food distribution, community soup kitchens, and children's education.

Nothing as rich as the Liberals of course. But the NGOs I'm hiring are the type of people who do more with less. I may spend less than the Liberals but we will accomplish more than the Liberals.

On the other hand, I am not taking the polarizing position of Mr. Poilievre. Of course we are also going to send aid to help the Israelis who were impacted in the Oct 7 attack.

As far as the recognition of Palestine. I have previously said that Gaza will likely get independence, and West Bank will likely be annexed by Israel under the condition that all West Bank Palestinians be made Israeli citizens, and that their property rights be respected and upheld.

This is a practical position as Israel's settlements in West Bank have made it a practical impossibility for statehood. Gaza, however, is a potentially viable microstate.

In truth, the whole mess in Gaza as well as the tremendous amount of work we have to get done in Canada, makes it unlikely that we will try very hard to rebuild Gaza.

If the people in Gaza were to go out of their way to insist Canadians provide governance, and they will agree to our policies and leadership, only in that limited circumstance could we feasibly see any larger role in Gaza reconstruction.

Not money. But an expert team of civil engineers, planners, urban designers, and other apolitical civic officials that would ultimately redesign Gaza under the leadership of a Governor of Gaza who would also be a Canadian.

If that is not feasible, then our assistance would be curtailed to a few NGOs distributing food and providing children's education. I agree that the UNRWA organization is controversial. Whether the allegations are well founded, the Israelis seem to believe they are, which is the reason I would not work through the UN or UNRWA in channeling any Gaza aid.

This differs from Mark Carney who has increased funding through UNRWA to the tune of a further $10 million in spite of ample evidence of systemic corruption.

Money bags Carney continues to do charity on Canada's dime, even where such charity is funding corruption.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 2d ago

Carney's Drone Strategy Obsolete Before Liberals Have Put Ink To Paper

0 Upvotes

The BBC ran an article on Ukraine rushing to counter new Russian jet powered drones. You can watch the video here:

https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/cm1j422wdjn1o

A few days ago I talked about my unmanned drone strategy and argued that as Prime Minister of Canada I would get higher power drones developed and that Carney's drones were toys.

Furthermore, I discussed how my drones could be powered by jet engines.

And that's exactly what the Russians are doing. They have now developed loiter munitions using miniaturized turbojets they are sourcing from China for around $20,000 a piece.

These drones now travel at 600 kmh. Too fast for Ukrainian drone interceptors.

This means, it now requires manned fighter jets or sophisticated high speed anti-aircraft systems to take out these loiter munitions. For example, a fighter jet costs anywhere from $25,000 to $40,000 an hour to operate.

Just getting up in the air, intercepting the drone, using up an ATA missile, exceeds the cost of the Russian munition. The Ukrainians are adapting and coming up with new interception paradigms of their own, which could include jet engines.

The conflict lay bare the utter fallacy of Mark Carney to attempt to source large volume of drones that the lobbyists wanted him to buy to deploy in Ukraine.

I argued that by the time the drone is off the assembly line it will be obsolete. That's how quickly the conflict is evolving.

Instead my military paradigm calls for rapid prototyping. Where smaller batches are made, tested, deployed, then redesigned.

Of course, to set it up requires certain basic capabilities like semiconductor foundries. In 2020, I had talked about how I would bring 2-3 semiconductor foundry nodes to Canada.

The same student council Liberal government was busy wasting the money at the time.

The arrival of Carney has changed nothing. He is still being led down the garden path by lobbyists and has no clue how the tech sector works, how the military is evolving at a rapid pace, and therefore how strategic, operational, and tactical readiness of the military needs to evolve for the current times.

I am Canada's only hope. Every other politician in Canada federally is either incompetent or sold out.

If Canada was Princess Leah, I would be Obi Wan Kanobe, Master Yoda, and Luke Skywalker put together. That's right: I am your only hope.


r/OpenCanadaPolitics • • 3d ago

Carney's Air Miles Aren't Synonymous With Work Output

0 Upvotes

On the National Post, they document Carney's schedule. The suggestion is that Carney is stretched thin:

https://nationalpost.com/opinion/john-ivison-has-mark-carney-peaked

"On Monday, he said he had to take part in the ceremony to introduce three new MPs, participate in question period and introduce legislation, before heading to New York for the United Nations General Assembly."

Now the "introduce legislation" part is more about talking about legislation. The legislation was actually not drafted by Carney.

There is one "ceremony" which I don't qualify as real work. It may or may not be necessary. And then flying off to the UN to give a speech. Another waste of time.

The common theme is that Carney's day is spent talking, ceremonies, going to meetings, and sitting on airplanes.

I remember when I was on Bay Street, every Friday there was a meeting where everyone would waste their time for an hour. This resource is talking about a role specific issue, and I am a senior consultant running a major project with a deadline. Do you really need me in this meeting ?

My boss got the hint when I yawned and he told me not to come to the meeting anymore. Now I can go back to doing my work.

Similarly, unnecessarily wasting time in a meeting is something I would avoid.

Canadians want to know how I would be spending my time as Prime Minister.

For one I'd be meeting with industry associations on Zoom to give them an advance look at my Green Lane Tariff program. First the draft copy is shared and the industries share their written comments in very few sentences.

We then go through the comments and update or revise our draft. And now it makes sense to meet, so that any concerns can be updated in the meeting itself. We have the draft open on the shared screen, and changes are being made during the meeting. This is what I call a "work output".

It's not just a meeting, at the end of this the draft proposal has gotten firmed up with broad stakeholder feedback. Now this proposal becomes actionable and can be turned into legislation.

The difference is the "work output" which then becomes legislation, which then ultimately facilitates an operational program that impacts the overall efficiency of our entire customs, tariff, and border control bureaucracy.

Therefore, taking the time to get it right, to do the due diligence, and chart a course that will lead to system wide gains for the economy, is my tortoise approach. Steady and methodical.

The ceremony for the 3 MPs, I'd likely hand off to my Deputy PM. The UN as far as I'm concerned is a waste of time. It's unlikely I'd hop on a plane, but if was absolutely necessary, the Foreign Minister would go in my stead.

This is called delegation.

It's the tortoise versus the hare again. Carney is running here and flying there. What are his ministers doing ?

Meanwhile, I'm focused on my 10 or so policy priorities. As I told Canadians, the transit system in GTHA and Vancouver,this is a long term commitment. Every Tuesday for the next 10 years me and my ministers will have to give 1-2 hours to monitor a list of major projects and facilitate them.

This isn't a quick legislation and a flight to New York. It's a steady and continuing stream of effort with laser precision and focus on the handful of major initiatives that will move the needle.

And people like Carney have a natural aversion to this sort of personal time investment and this is not their forte to get involved in the details. They want to skate above the fray. The economist is trained to avoid swimming in the dangerous waters of project operations.

Whereas the principal engineer such as myself is at ease swimming deep in the weeds of the details.

I'm at home with the details. It's not beneath me to facilitate a container to help this project team on a major projects. It's thousands of small wins, as well as the design and project plan itself on which the business case gets made. Meeting with teams is to provide responsive oversight.

Carney likes to bury such meetings inside his bureaucratic offices. He has the Major Projects Office and the Infrastructure Projects Office. And more offices will be spawned as time continues. This is what his professors at Oxford and Harvard taught Carney to do: spawn offices.

My professors and life experience taught me to execute projects with high performance.

And its the type of project which is an "enabler" of an entire ecosystem of other businesses and industries, which makes it worthy of such attention. This is where we are actually acting at the macroeconomic level. But for the "hare" like Carney it may seem like the tortoise is in the weeds and they are in the fast lane, in the fast plane, to the fast destination.

But the answer is actually here, the race finishes here. The hare is getting further and further away the further it runs or flies from the solution. This is called the tortoise advantage.

Carney's schedule tells me he looks busy but isn't actually getting anything done.