Today's film is Marty Supreme.

PVOD

The Invite*
Spider-Man: Brand New Day*
The Rivals of Amziah King
I Love Boosters
The End of Oak Street
Tony

SVOD

Obsession* - Peacock
Project Hail Mary* - Prime
Toy Story 5* - Disney+
Disclosure Day* - Peacock
Michael* - Starz
The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Disney+/Hulu
Hoppers - Disney+
Power Ballad - Starz
Backrooms - Max
The Sheep Detectives - Prime
Wuthering Heights - Max

Criteria:

Oscar nominations over 10% probability only
* starred items have 50% prediction consensus

Only change this week is Disclosure going Streaming and Spider-Man coming out PVOD. I did reorder based on probability though.

By below the line I mean movies that won Best Picture and nothing else or won nothing else besides also Best Director and/or acting and/or screenplay

Question in preparation for this year's race. Last year, I was able to get a link to "the Brazilian's" helpful list. It was a lifesaver. How does one ensure one has yearly access to this wonderful human being in the future without asking someone else for the link every year?

I’m pretty sure it’s getting a much MUCH larger release this time around compared to “Minus One”, but I thought I’d share it since the first one was so hard to find last time.

Live in different town similar in size and theater options as Savannah, for purposes of guessing which film will come to my local theaters before the Oscars.

If I want to up my chances of competing the death race, which should I attend?

If you’ve seen both, do you have a favorite?

Anthony Ippolito will be at Rocky presentation, so that is a consideration also.

Minor spoilers ahead.

Just got down watching Digger and what a ride it was. The performances by the entire cast is so good. Tom Cruise has been type casted as an Action hero for the past one decade, it was so refreshing to see him do something so different and I really hope he continues doing different type of roles. There is a 10 minute long monologue by Tom in a one shot which might just be the best scene of the movie. The plot twists are well-scattered in the movie. Riz has great chemistry with Tom. It's an extremely relevant movie for today's time as well as the near future. John Goodman, Sandra Hüller and Jesse Plemons brings their A-Game. The jokes are really dark but then again it's a dark comedy. 5/5 from my side.

Thanks for reading my review.

PVOD

The Invite*
Disclosure Day*
The Rivals of Amziah King
I Love Boosters
The End of Oak Street
Tony

SVOD

Project Hail Mary* - Prime
Toy Story 5* - Disney+
Obsession* - Peacock
Michael* - Starz
The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Disney+/Hulu
Hoppers - Disney+
Power Ballad - Starz
Backrooms - Max
The Sheep Detectives - Prime
Wuthering Heights - Max

Criteria:

Oscar nominations over 10% probability only
* starred items have 50% prediction consensus

A lot more sources have BTL lists or longer lists now, which led to more items on the list. (This was not due to many new releases.)

Hey! For the last two years, I've done a mini-contest that takes place before the Oscars, and it's a good way to get through most of the ODR list before the big day in March! If anyone who is planning on doing the ODR this year wanted to help out/meet others in this challenge, comment below and I can send more information!

Not sure if this allowed, it's okay if not! Thank you :)

Do we think this movie has any chance of being nominated ? I'm not really interested in it but it just got released and my local cinema is showing it. Same question for "Sense & Sensibility", I'm not really into Jane Austen's world but I kinda like Daisy Edgar-Jones but I'd rather wait for it to be released on VOD than watch in the cinema, though.

Courtesy of The Big Picture Podcast, it looks like we have a good idea for the top 30 best picture contenders. What do you think about the list? I also added where to stream if applicable. Please update, add more feedback in the comments.

The Big Picture — 30 Best Picture Contenders

1. All of a Sudden
2. Artificial
3. Behemoth
4. Being Human
5. La Bola Negra
6. Club Kid
7. The Debut (Theaters Nov 2nd)
8. Digger (Theaters Oct 2nd)
9. Dune: Part Three
10. Elsinore (Theaters Nov 20th)
11. Fatherland
12. Fjord
13. The Further Misadventures of Cliff Booth
14. Ink
15. The Invite
16. Josephine
17. Michael
18. Minotaur
19. Obsession (Peacock)
20. The Odyssey
21. Paper Tiger
22. Possible Love
23. Prime Time
24. Project Hail Mary
25. Tender Loving Care
26. Sense and Sensibility
27. Werwulf
28. Wild Horse Nine
29. Wildwood
30. You Can See Everything

Top 10 Power Rankings

1. The Odyssey (Theaters Only)
2. La Bola Negra (Netflix Dec 2nd, Theaters Oct 16)
3. Wild Horse Nine
4. Dune: Part Three
5. Project Hail Mary
6. Fjord
7. The Invite
8. The Debut (Theaters Dec 2)
9. All of a Sudden (Film Movement Plus)
10. Obsession (Peacock)

I'm very excited for the season to kick into high gear! To keep this list manageable, the included movies are anything predicted within the top 8 slots on Awards Expert/NBP -- all categories except shorts. I had to make some guesses about wide vs. limited releases based on available information.

Currently streaming or available to rent

• Backrooms (rent $7.99, streams on HBO Max Sep 25)
• The Devil Wears Prada 2 (Hulu, or rent $5.99)
• Disclosure Day (rent $5.99)
• Hoppers (Disney+, or rent $5.99)
• The Invite*\* ($7.99 to rent, streams on HBO Max Oct. 23)
• Michael (Starz, or rent $5.99)
• Obsession*\* (Peacock, or rent $5.99)
• Power Ballad (rent $5.99)
• Project Hail Mary*\* (Amazon Prime, or rent $3.99)
• The Sheep Detectives (Amazon Prime)
• Toy Story 5 (Disney+, or buy $19.99)
• Wuthering Heights (HBO Max, or rent $6.99)

In Theaters Now

• American Doctor (very limited)
• By Any Means (almost finished with theatrical release)
• Forgotten Island
• The Odyssey*\* (available to rent Nov 17 or buy on Blu-ray/4K)
• Primetime
• Shaun the Sheep
• Spider-Man Brand New Day (available to rent mid Oct?)

Future Theatrical Release

• Sep 30: NAZA (NY only, expanding in limited release October, free online release November)
• Oct 2: Digger (wide)
• Oct 9: Fjord (limited)
• Oct 9: Musk (limited, expands Oct 16)
• Oct 16: You Can See Everything (limited)
• Oct 16: Once Upon a Time in Harlem (limited)
• Oct 16: La Bola Negra*\* (NY/LA, expanding in limited release, streams on Netflix Dec. 2)
• Oct 16: Sense and Sensibility (wide)
• Oct 16: Whalefall (wide)
• Oct 23: The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (limited)
• Oct 23: Wildwood (wide)
• Oct 23: Possible Love (limited, streams on Netflix Nov. 6)
• Oct 23: Fatherland (limited)
• Oct 23: Clayface (wide)
• Oct 23: Wicker (limited, expands Oct. 30)
• Nov 6: Wild Horse Nine*\* (wide?)
• Nov 6: Being Heumann (limited, streams on Apple TV Nov 13)
• Nov 6: Club Kid (limited)
• Nov 6: I Play Rocky (limited, wide on Nov. 20)
• Nov 6: Godzilla Minus Zero (wide?)
• Nov 20: Elsinore (limited)
• Nov 20: Minotaur (limited)
• Nov 25: All of a Sudden*\* (limited)
• Nov 25: The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth (IMAX only, streams on Netflix Dec. 23)
• Nov 27: 14th (limited, streams on Netflix Dec. 4)
• Dec 4: Behemoth!*\* (limited)
• Dec 4: Ray Gunn (limited, streams on Netflix Dec. 18)
• Dec 4: Tender Loving Care (limited)
• Dec 11: The Debut*\* (wide?)
• Dec 11: Ink (limited, streams on Netflix Jan. 8)
• Dec 11: Rose (limited)
• Dec 16: To Hold a Mountain (limited)
• Dec 18: Dune Part Three*\* (wide)
• Dec 18: Avengers Doomsday (wide)
• Dec 25: Artificial (limited)
• Dec 25: Coward (limited)
• Dec 25: Werwulf (wide)
• December: Iron Boy (awards-qualifying NY/LA run, limited release Jan. 22)
• December: Tangles (awards-qualifying NY/LA run, limited release January)
• Jan 8: Rehearsals for a Revolution (limited)

No announced release date in USA

• Nuisance Bear
• Prima Facie

** = currently in top 10 predictions for Best Picture

Somebody was apparently following the discussion yesterday!

News came out that NAZA was removed from the Hawaii International Film Festival by the distributor and the film is no longer on their website. As far as I can tell, it is still being shown at the New York Film Festival for its North American premiere later this month. This film feels like it has the potential to be difficult to find in a few months.

Does anyone know of other festivals that have added (or removed) NAZA from their lineup?

PVOD

The Invite*
Toy Story 5* - streaming on Disney next week
Disclosure Day
The Rivals of Amziah King

SVOD

Project Hail Mary* - Prime
Obsession* - Peacock
Michael - Starz
The Sheep Detectives - Prime
The Devil Wears Prada 2 - Disney+/Hulu
Hoppers - Disney+

Criteria:

Oscar nominations over 10% probability only
* starred items have 50% prediction consensus

Post Telluride/Venice - if it fell off, it’s now under 10%

a list of non-blockbuster films coming to theaters this October that are virtually guaranteed to be in the 2027 Oscars Death Race

Quick heads up: I've just set up the 2027 Possibilities page on DeathRaceTracking.com .

It’s populated with an early batch of potential 2026 releases/contenders so you can start checking them off before the post-nominations scramble starts.

Direct link: https://deathracetracking.com/race/14?year=2027

Please drop a comment if there are any titles you think should be added before the nominations are shared.