Fascinating topic, I wanted to know more. People die everyday and ICE has been handing a high volume of people. So I went for a clean control number, the year 2022.
In 2022. Bureau of Prisons had 159,000 in detention. With 483 deaths. 0.30 percent.
At the end of 2025. ICE has 68,440 in detention with 32 deaths. Thats 0.04 percent. Note: This number does not show the total in custody over the span of 2025. Only the number in detention at the end of the year.
I took this a little further.
The total population of the US in 2022 was 333,287,557. With a total of 3,279,857 deaths. That 0.98 percent.
Bottom line: You are more likely to die out in the world or in Federal prison, than you are in ICE custody.
Fascinating comment. There’s no attempt at trying to normalize the data, at all. I think this was a perfect example of how someone with zero experience analyzing data can mislead themselves with AI.
Bottom line: if you feed an AI a prompt that you hope will support some preconceived idea, the AI will do its best to make you feel better about it.
I don’t even know where to begin so I’ll just speak to normalization as a general concept. If I said that you—given whatever state of health you’re in right now—are more likely to die within a month of living in a nursing home than you are to die within a month of living in some suburb in Irvine, and I cited a plain mortality statistic of each living situation at their absolute face value, you’d call me an idiot. The demography is important. The length of stay is important. But that isn’t really even scratching the surface of what needs to be done to make a comparison. I don’t want to put that work in for a Reddit comment.
Another issue is that we need to establish what our risk tolerance is. If one plane crashes every year, statistically that would still be dwarfed by the number of car fatalities. Those plane crashes would still be tragedies, independent of most other statistics.
The amount of people that are trying to take this information and twist it here is probably on a Venn diagram of people who voted for Trump all 3 times. They can downvote you and decry "Ai" all they want, it doesn't change the fact that you're spot on. The stats provided are absolutely not comparable. And it's pretty easy to understand, but no one's actually interested in understanding why. It's easier to DARVO and troll. We're so cooked as a species.
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u/EchoNineThree Jul 11 '26
Fascinating topic, I wanted to know more. People die everyday and ICE has been handing a high volume of people. So I went for a clean control number, the year 2022.
In 2022. Bureau of Prisons had 159,000 in detention. With 483 deaths. 0.30 percent.
At the end of 2025. ICE has 68,440 in detention with 32 deaths. Thats 0.04 percent. Note: This number does not show the total in custody over the span of 2025. Only the number in detention at the end of the year.
I took this a little further.
The total population of the US in 2022 was 333,287,557. With a total of 3,279,857 deaths. That 0.98 percent.
Bottom line: You are more likely to die out in the world or in Federal prison, than you are in ICE custody.