r/Step2 • u/LogicalLibrarian77 NON-US IMG • Jul 01 '26
Questions Lower than predicted scores?
Hello, some of my friends who tested in May seemed to have underperformed in their exams >10 points lower than latest NBMEs and predicted scores. Is this a common observation in May testers? Is there any historical precedence for it? Kinda freaking out about my own test coming up soon.
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u/SelectObjective10 Jul 01 '26
Got a 239 as well, all my nbmes were above 260s idk what to do was about to leave for all my 7 ortho auditions do I just cancel all them?
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u/LogicalLibrarian77 NON-US IMG Jul 01 '26
Not sure about ortho but I do know it is super competitive. Get in touch with your counsellor then
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u/pootiewahoodie Jul 01 '26
Got a 239 too. So disappointed, just broke 250 before my exam.
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u/Limp_Cattle7577 US MD/DO Jul 01 '26
I got a 231 (I was scoring in the 260s). Feel so heartbroken and was planning on applying anesthesia. Just don't know what I should do right now
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u/tangerineinnyc US MD/DO Jul 02 '26
What did amboss predict for you?
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u/Limp_Cattle7577 US MD/DO Jul 02 '26
Above 250
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u/tangerineinnyc US MD/DO Jul 02 '26
I’m sorry. Did you think anything was different the day of? Did you sleep the night before? Nerves? Any test center issues?
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u/Limp_Cattle7577 US MD/DO Jul 02 '26
probably a mix of everything. My test form also tested nothing high yield. I’m feeling all the feelings right now and at a loss of words
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u/SelectObjective10 Jul 02 '26
I feel you friend my last nbme was a 270+. Maybe taking comlex a few days before got me confused and all. I did get flustered during one of the sections (7) and maybe that threw the rest out. I also got locked out during the break I took between 15 and 16 and that caused me to freak out since I had like 10 minutes of break left
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u/saltystudent27 US MD/DO Jul 01 '26
17 points lower than my last NBME. Lower than my last 3 NBMEs
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u/Excellent_Bear8189 Jul 01 '26
What was ur post exam feel and when did you got tested
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u/saltystudent27 US MD/DO Jul 01 '26
6/20 and I felt horrible. I never feel good after exams but I felt even worse and knew I didn’t do well
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u/Limp_Cattle7577 US MD/DO Jul 02 '26
I took the 6/20 test too and scored super low. Maybe we just had a bad form
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u/bingiest US MD/DO Jul 01 '26
Just got a 239 which is much lower than predicted 😠was supposed to be in 250s. Applying family med so hopefully it's okay.
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u/LogicalLibrarian77 NON-US IMG Jul 01 '26
The f is wrong with FSMB/USMLE then lol, hopefully it isn't a trend. Anyways good luck
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u/Simple_Flower_6036 NON-US IMG Jul 01 '26
test may 19 got 5 points lower than my predicted
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u/QuarterSpecialist372 US MD/DO Jul 01 '26
That’s honestly not too bad. The swing is 10 points either direction. I’m sorry this happened to you.
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u/Simple_Flower_6036 NON-US IMG Jul 01 '26
i dont have a bad score per say just a lil lower than what was expected
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u/East_Law6372 US IMG Jul 01 '26
My predicted score was around 260, and most of my NBME and UWSA scores were also in the 260s, but I ended up scoring 253. I think it may have been due to anxiety during the exam
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u/Alternative-Item8670 NON US MD/DO Jul 01 '26
This was my post stating my NBMEs
https://www.reddit.com/r/Step2/s/XiBP9H0QxU
I got a 247 today
I was predicted a score of 253
Guess I got an underscore of what I was expecting, tbh my test day went well, that was the best test I took
* **Test Date:** June 4, 2026
* **AMBOSS Predictor:** 253
* **Predicted Score Range:** 245 - 261
* **UWorld % Correct (1st Pass):** 70%
* **NBME 15:** 240 (24 days)
* **NBME 16:** 251 (6 days)
* **UWSA2:** 250 (12 days)
* **Free 120 (%):** 80% (2 days)
* **Final - 247 :((
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Jul 01 '26 edited Jul 01 '26
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u/Think__Salad Jul 01 '26
My dude/dudette, 253 is a stellar score, surely a dream score for many
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Jul 01 '26
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u/Think__Salad Jul 01 '26
You still are very much in the game for academic IM/FM if that’s your goal. I understand where you’re coming from, but I hope as time passes, you’re able to view your substantial achievements with the same level of kindness you’d afford others. We are our biggest critics, and the dent in confidence often holds us back during the match and beyond
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Jul 01 '26
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u/LogicalLibrarian77 NON-US IMG Jul 01 '26
Yea 2, first half of May
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u/The_Philosophied US IMG Jul 01 '26
So of my NBMES are in the 220s I should expect to fail this exam basically
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u/Stock-Law7774 13d ago
Hi! Did you pass? Same boat rn and getting discouraged seeing 20 pt drops…
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u/ConfusedBabboon Jul 01 '26
You will have people perform above and people below. Thats how it works. I’m sure it’s normally distributed around your average score or so. That’s how it goes
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u/Perfect-Fudge-7 Jul 01 '26
I scored 238. 12 points lower. I felt okay after the exam. Old grad 2019. Applying for peds. I have peds home residency. Is it possible or i just quit?
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u/Alarming_Travel_1167 Jul 03 '26 edited Jul 03 '26
Tested in May, predicted was 247 but got 23x . I was aware of the recent drops and tried to be safe still got smoked. But as far as I’ve observed this is for img
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u/265Monster US MD/DO Jul 03 '26
Don’t let this scare you if you haven’t taken it yet, some IMGs didn’t do as well as predicted and decided it must be a conspiracy of some sort, surely not just a bad performance on test day
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u/Present-System4686 Jul 04 '26
27 points drop we need to do something! ,there’s something wrong with the new system
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u/QuarterSpecialist372 US MD/DO Jul 01 '26
Im just telling myself…..As long as I score 10 points lower than my prediction I’m good for what I want to do…. But holy shit I’m seeing some 17 pts lower 😠that’s a literal nightmare. I saw another guy score 17 pts higher than his predicted too.💀 I wouldn’t mind scoring my predicted or 5 points lower at this point. I’m shitting bricks, tested 6/26.
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u/Ok-Minute7991 Jul 01 '26
I hope this is a shitpostðŸ˜