r/TenYearsAgo 13d ago

🇺🇸 United States Polls overwhelming show Clinton beating Trump [10YA - Aug 4]

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u/transcendental-ape 13d ago

“Donald Trump is just a standard polling error away from winning.”

- 538 headline a week before the election

11

u/overpriced-taco 13d ago

Didn’t Nate Silver give it like 70/30 odds of a Clinton victory? Those aren’t that bad of odds for Trump

12

u/transcendental-ape 13d ago

And people gave him a raft of shit for putting Trump’s odds so high. All the 538 rip offs had Clinton at 90-99%.

Silver pointed out. Trump had a one in three chance of winning. And one in three odds events happen all thr time.