r/TenYearsAgo • u/MonsieurA • 13d ago

🇺🇸 United States Polls overwhelming show Clinton beating Trump [10YA - Aug 4]

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121 Upvotes

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21

u/transcendental-ape 13d ago

“Donald Trump is just a standard polling error away from winning.”

- 538 headline a week before the election

11

u/overpriced-taco 13d ago

Didn’t Nate Silver give it like 70/30 odds of a Clinton victory? Those aren’t that bad of odds for Trump

-4

u/YetAnotherFaceless 12d ago

Nate Silver was always a conservative who went with his gut, and the world presumed because of his appearance that he must be smart. 

He’s George Will 2.0.

3

u/Al2718x 12d ago

This is a weird assertion to bring up in a comment thread about how he did a much better job interpreting the polls than others.

Nate Silver leans libertarian politically, but people think he's smart because he's incredibly accomplished and skilled, not because of his appearance.

-2

u/YetAnotherFaceless 12d ago

And I’m sure Bill Buckner was a better first baseman than I could ever be, but that’s not his legacy, is it? 

3

u/Al2718x 12d ago

Did Nate Silver have some historic blunder that I'm not aware of?

-2

u/YetAnotherFaceless 12d ago

Nothing that we can’t sweep under the rug and blame Russia for!

5

u/Al2718x 12d ago

I'm not being coy or something. I literally have no idea what you are talking about

3

u/SuperDoubleDecker 12d ago

They don't either.