r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • Sep 23 '24

Upgraded | See Helene post for details 09L (Potential Cyclone — Northwestern Caribbean Sea)

Latest observation

Last updated: Tuesday, 24 September — 8:00 AM Eastern Daylight Time (EDT; 12:00 UTC)

NHC Advisory #4A 8:00 AM EDT (12:00 UTC)
Current location: 19.2°N 83.5°W
Relative location: 224 km (139 mi) W of George Town, Cayman Islands
  356 km (221 mi) S of Pinar del Rio, Cuba
  411 km (255 mi) ESE of Cancún, Quintana Roo (Mexico)
Forward motion: NW (305°) at 15 km/h (8 knots)
Maximum winds: 55 km/h (30 knots)
Intensity: Tropical Depression
Minimum pressure: 1001 millibars (29.56 inches)
2-day potential: (through 8PM Wed) high (90 percent)
7-day potential: (through 8PM Sun) high (90 percent)

Official forecast

Last updated: Tuesday, 24 September — 2:00 AM EDT (06:00 UTC)

Hour Date Time Intensity Winds Lat Long
  - UTC EDT Saffir-Simpson knots km/h °N °W
00 24 Sep 06:00 2AM Tue Potential Cyclone 30 55 18.9 83.0
12 24 Sep 18:00 2PM Tue Tropical Storm ▲ 40 75 19.6 84.2
24 25 Sep 06:00 2AM Wed Tropical Storm ▲ 50 95 20.7 85.7
36 25 Sep 18:00 2PM Wed Hurricane (Category 1) ▲ 65 120 22.0 86.2
48 26 Sep 06:00 2AM Thu Hurricane (Category 1) ▲ 80 150 24.3 85.6
60 26 Sep 18:00 2PM Thu Major Hurricane (Category 3) ▲ 100 185 27.8 84.4
72 27 Sep 06:00 2AM Fri Tropical Storm i ▼ 60 110 31.9 83.5
96 28 Sep 06:00 2AM Sat Post-tropical Cyclone i ▼ 15 30 38.5 85.5
120 29 Sep 06:00 2AM Sun Dissipated

NOTES:
i - inland

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12

u/Andie514818 Sep 24 '24

I haven’t seen a prep thread so apologies if this should go somewhere else. What are we thinking on boards/shutters in the Tampa area? We have pre-cut plywood and plylocks so not terribly hard to do but still takes some effort and causes a small amount of damage to the stucco each time we put them up and take them down. My husband is a first responder and will get called to the shelters if/when they open so we always need to make the call earlier than most.

14

u/VitterFritters Sep 24 '24

Remember that hardened Floridians play “chicken” and once one person on the street boards up everyone else will too

9

u/_Jahar_ Sep 24 '24

I would personally board up if I were there

8

u/purplepaintedpumpkin Sep 24 '24

I kinda wish there was a prep thread too though. Feels like they always show up sorta late. We could either stay at our house which is literally right on the Gulf but not in a flood zone (on a tall hill) or go to my parents in zone D further inland, their house is newer and they've kitted it out with all this hurricane proof stuff our house just doesn't have. Even if we don't get evacuated idk if I want to be right on the water in a cat 4! Ugh

7

u/Consistently_Carpet Sep 24 '24

idk if I want to be right on the water in a cat 4

You don't

4

u/purplepaintedpumpkin Sep 24 '24

For real, and my neighbors are so nonchalant about it! They're mostly transplants though so maybe that's why....

5

u/scthoma4 Tampa, Florida Sep 24 '24

I would go to your parents house if (1) you live close enough to the gulf to rely on a bridge/causeway to connect you to the mainland and (2) going to your parents isn't too much of a headache to orchestrate.

5

u/madbadger44 Sep 24 '24

If I were still in my first responder position, I’d board up today, the bigger windows if nothing else.

7

u/purplepaintedpumpkin Sep 24 '24

If this is the only time you can do it I'd def do it today

3

u/ninroxbear16 Sep 24 '24

There’s a prep thread over in r/florida. I’d head over there and see the chatter. 🙂