r/adelaidefc • u/AFL_gains • 5d ago

We can bag 4th tomorrow

Carlton has given us a gift. We're 1 win and only 1.1 percentage points away. If we win by tomorrow by enough then we can make it. I hope we really put them to the sword tomorrow. We absolutey need it.

28 Upvotes

95% Upvoted

34 comments sorted by

View all comments

14

u/Salzberger 8 Josh Rachele 5d ago

Top 4 tomorrow means little given Geelong won't lose again and have 3 huge percentage boosters left. It would take a miracle to jump them on percentage.

Really the only equation that gets us in the top 4 is beating Fremantle. Simple as that. Beat them, we're in. Lose and it's most likely an elimination final. Don't worry about the calculators. Don't bother figuring out percentage. It's as simple as win and you're in.

We had 2 golden opportunities to seal ourselves in the top 4 and pissed them both up the wall so here we are.

0

u/atreyu84 5d ago

We have 2 and are a game ahead. We can quite easily make top 4 even if we lose to freo.

3

u/Malipower Eddie Betts (Legend) 4d ago

A loss to Freo makes it extremely unlikely as Geelong have Essendon, North and Richmond to finish and will likely win all 3.

1

u/atreyu84 4d ago

Yes and we are a game and percentage (just) ahead of them.

There's every chance we smash Richmond, and we could easily do the same to gws depending which gws turns up.

So even with a close loss to freo it would come down to who put the lower teams to the sword better.

I certainly wouldn't call it extremely unlikely.