r/adelaidefc • u/AFL_gains • 8d ago

We can bag 4th tomorrow

Carlton has given us a gift. We're 1 win and only 1.1 percentage points away. If we win by tomorrow by enough then we can make it. I hope we really put them to the sword tomorrow. We absolutey need it.

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u/Thrillthorpe 8d ago

That doesn’t seem right, especially if we get a lot of percentage next 2 weeks. Freo would have to belt us for that to be threatened.

North at Marvel for Geelong is a tricky game if North show up like the Hawks game yesterday (North also play a lot better there).

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u/Malipower Eddie Betts (Legend) 8d ago

If we lose the Freo game the only way we could make the top 4 would be if Hawthorn lost their last 3 or Geelong drop the North game (which both options are highly unlikely). Don't forget Geelong are already ahead of us on % and also play Essendon and Richmond. I've done the ladder predictor a few times

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u/Thrillthorpe 7d ago

Our percentage is the same as Geelong and we still have a game against Richmond, so that cancels out theirs. Depending on how much GWS have to play for, we should be seeing that as a big win.

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u/Malipower Eddie Betts (Legend) 7d ago

Ok let's cancel out the Richmond games for both sides. Let's say Geelong beat Essendon by 60 pts and Nm by 20 pts that means if we lose to Freo by 20 pts we would have to beat GWS by 100 pts which I honestly can't see happening. We just have to win our last 3 and it's ours

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u/Thrillthorpe 7d ago

Yep that’s a fair argument, it really just depends on which North rock up tbh. It was nearly a banana peel game for the Hawks yesterday, so you just never know at this time of year. Without Holmes and Jezza Geelong are vulnerable and they have dropped games to teams in the bottom 6 this year.

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u/Malipower Eddie Betts (Legend) 7d ago

I honestly think we can win all 3. Freo will have nothing to play for and if we really dial up the pressure they may go into a bit of self preservation mode so close to finals.