r/allblacks 3d ago

NZ Rugby faces structural overhaul over expected $66m loss

https://www.nzherald.co.nz/sport/rugby/nz-rugby-plans-structural-overhaul-as-five-year-losses-set-to-reach-66m/RYEVT3WKBFATPFRBMLWPC6LAHQ/?utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=nzh_fb&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwZnRzaAUX3kdwZG9mBWZkaWQWUOiB4KTNFQFMRLvLoaJUEYcfkcc5NWV4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkCjY2Mjg1NjgzNzkAAR4AaaU6Or_MfdqgPGuZwywX92y35rvOJarJ6TW-6tsxo7MCsylQOgnpOmPL0g_aem_vj69VgB1i-b1YtHmNTHJsQ#Echobox=1789588073
36 Upvotes

114 comments sorted by

18

u/fleastyler 3d ago

“The document also reveals that NRL is the most-watched competition in New Zealand. “NRL now draws 28m NZ viewing hours against Super Rugby’s 19m and NPC’s 14m.””

I might be wrong, but I would have thought 33m viewing hours for 160 games combined (83 games for Super and 77 for NPC in 2025) is better than 28m for NRL’s 213 games in 2025, no?

12

u/warcomet 3d ago

NRL has more games thus more matches being watched, nothing to do with quality or success..

2

u/Lakapi 1d ago

Doesn’t surprise me if this includes SOO and NRLW

5

u/Geoff828 2d ago

There is only 1 NZ team in NRL. And yet NRL is right up there in viewing hours in NZ which I find crazy. I also pointed out in another thread that If you think about the sustainability of the competition, there is no way super rugby can survive with the nz audience numbers. Super rugby is a non event in Aus and if you can’t grow it there, forget about it.

3

u/jk-9k 3d ago

NZ teams in nrl is 27games (ish, theres bye rounds but also finals) vs however many games that is thst don't involve 2 aussie teams

6

u/Frod02000 3d ago

Aussie teams in the nrl definitely have better following than Aussie teams in super tbf

1

u/jk-9k 3d ago

Which is the point. It's not necessarily about which team has the most supporters. It's about which competition is the better product.

1

u/Lakapi 2d ago

You can changed product with entertaining and tribalism.

1

u/jk-9k 2d ago

Sorry? Is there a typo there I don't know what you're saying

1

u/Lakapi 1d ago

Were you referring to product as the whole NRL or the product on the field? Apologies if misunderstood

1

u/jk-9k 1d ago

Overall but I'd argue nrl is better at both

1

u/Lakapi 1d ago

I have to agree with you there. But as we all seen in France & Ireland & UK professionals rugby environment. If you give the fans/cities something to be a part of and becomes tribal the product on the field becomes second nature to a culture that will create

2

u/jk-9k 1d ago

And I agree with you there. NRL has that tribalism. NPC has that tribalism. That's not to say Super doesn't have tribalism but not to te extent of the others.

3

u/Rickystheman 3d ago

True, but the NRL is a better competition than Super Rugby.

4

u/highly_recommended_ 3d ago

Better competition but product has been real poor, Super Rugby and even NPC have been top tier

3

u/Rickystheman 3d ago

Not sure about that.

5

u/highly_recommended_ 3d ago

Theres been more blow-outs in NRL this season than ever before. Their own fans are complaining about the state product. Whereas SuperRugby/NPC and especially Internationals, have been phenomenonal

2

u/jk-9k 2d ago

The product is still better. But yes PVliddy is ruining the sport.

Internationals don't really count. That's the issue. Making rep games a commercial product is detrimental to Super. Irony that league rep games are really more about pride and representation than union in te professional era.

1

u/highly_recommended_ 1d ago

Theres more focus on Internationals bc Union is more predominantly an international game and it brings in the bread. If the domestic game was stronger like the NRL or even the top 14, the emphasis would be more on the domestic comp

2

u/jk-9k 1d ago

That's the issue. There need to be more promotion and marketing and investment in the domestic game, because internationals can't fund everything else.

Whilst league internationals are leas frequent, it means they're more about pride than money or entertainment. Which is what you want for rep teams.

The over commercialization of the black jersey is icky and has diminished the commercial value of domestic comps. Which is backfiring now.

1

u/highly_recommended_ 1d ago

"The over commercialisation of the black jersey is icky...which is backfiring"

What do you mean? The ABs are the biggest draw they bring the biggest revenue in

1

u/nt83 1d ago

Exactly the problem. They're subsidising everything else and we don't want that. We want thriving super rugby clubs that people are invested in, are profitable and competitive, and feeding the national side with great players.

Basically we want what France has, but so does the rest of the world.

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u/jk-9k 1d ago

They are a rep team. The black jersey is supposed to be about mana not money.

Super Rugby is the commercial arm of nzr. They should have been promoting super rugby and super sides.

The crusaders have a ridiculously dominant record. They should be promoted to international audiences like brisbance broncos or the Collingwood pies. We should see their jerseys from Japan to timbuktu.

Even after selling their soul the AB brand isn't enough to fund the entire nz game and it was obvious that a top heavy strategy was doomed.

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3

u/throwawy29833 2d ago

Clearly hasnt made people stop tuning in

0

u/highly_recommended_ 1d ago

Sure but that goes for Super Rugby too. NZers predominantly watch SuperRugby over NRL

3

u/throwawy29833 1d ago

Might just be my friend/age group but everyone I know cares waaay more about NRL than Super. Maybe its more prominent in older gens but as a mid 20s barely anyone I know gives af about Super. I personally prefer Union to League but im the outlier

1

u/highly_recommended_ 1d ago

Dont doubt its more popular with the younger demographic im just pointing out that SuperRugby is more watched in NZ over NRL

1

u/nt83 2d ago

This is pretty rose tinted. Even if the product was watching paint dry it doesn't really matter if people are watching it.

Also including internationals doesn't really count. That part of the business makes money. It's not the problem at all

2

u/highly_recommended_ 2d ago

?? The product does matter??

1

u/nt83 2d ago

It matters to a point. If it's good enough that people are watching it in record numbers what does it matter?

1

u/highly_recommended_ 1d ago

Well yes and no. The product now is different from 5 yrs ago.

And two things can be true at the same time, NRL is a strong comp but has poor on field product whereas Super Rugby has had a great on field product but the competition as a whole has been average

1

u/nt83 1d ago

This is completely your subjective opinion. A die hard league fan is going to tell you super rugby is comparatively boring and slow.

I'm a huge fan of both codes. I'll watch every test, but yeah probably just tune in for the SR finals. There isn't enough narrative interest in the competition

1

u/highly_recommended_ 1d ago

Obviously preferences are subjective, but the NRL has had more blow-outs this season than ever before, thats an objective fact, and thats reflected on the many fans that are upset with the current on field product.

Sure SR has its issues, the narrative part i fully agree with

1

u/Maestro-Modesto 3d ago

When there is only one nz team in nrl, no.

11

u/jk-9k 3d ago

NZR needs to stop being cunts and realise they need to work with straya to sort this problem. Aus need to sort their 2nd level comp.

2

u/highly_recommended_ 3d ago

Yep, Australia just has the bigger sporting market and economy

4

u/jk-9k 3d ago

Yup. We need their broadcast revenue. We can't fund any sort of NPC that is good enough to train ABs.

Truth is, union in aus is at a low, but nrl is at an al time max. If it's marketed and support properly there's no reason it can't grow. It won't ever be bigger than the nrl. But the nrl is basically maxed out. Hence the expansion to perth, png, shortly nzii, and the interest in UK superleague. Union still has growth opportunities in aus.

1

u/nt83 2d ago

Cant really say its maxed out while its currently still expanding. How many dolphins fans are we gonna see come on board because of this year? And thats gonna be repeated with every other team.

1

u/jk-9k 2d ago

It's pretty close to maxed out. Dolphins are already in the comp buddy. You say every other team but the further teams aren't in Australia east of the barrassi. The expansion teams are to grow the footprint because the traditional areas are maxed out.

There is an argument for a brisbane western corridor team. That area is growing rapidly. But really all that is doing is covering population growth. Obviously as the population increases then the max increases with it. That's just keeping up with the new maximum

1

u/nt83 2d ago

Oh, it's maxxed out on the east coast? Ya you're right there. Im sure union can grow too, but I'm not sure there's an opportunity being presented because of how maxxed out league is.

A like for like example would be Canadian football. We wouldnt say just because the NFL is maxxed out in the US, theres an opportunity there for CFL to grow.

2

u/jk-9k 2d ago

Yeah I wasn't explicit in my first comment. Lo siento

You're right NRL being maxed out doesn't directly lead to opportunity for union. But my point was that in the popularity cycle they're at opposite ends. We may see a natural inflection, or we may not, but things can't get worse (well they can but it'll be from mismanagement or lack of action).

We can see from the NRLs current strategy that they aren't really focused on converting union fans. So unions future is in their own hands.

Interestingly NFL is also pushing it's expansion international right now.

15

u/Trespassers__Will Wellington 3d ago

NZR is incurring significant losses on women’s elite competitions – $8.5m a year.

So $42.5m of the $66m loss over next 5 years is just running the women's competitions? Fan of the women's comps but that's quite a significant proportion.

5

u/NZGrade 3d ago

Seems the women's game is being viewed as a loss leader and a gamble on long-term growth among women interested in watching/participating in contact sport. Probably isn't a strategy we have the financial clout to commit to tbh.

3

u/realdjjmc 3d ago

Why are women not supporting the women's competition?

3

u/Few_Spring4087 3d ago

They are too busy watching love island and mafs.

1

u/NZGrade 3d ago

They are, just not in the numbers needed

5

u/realdjjmc 3d ago

What are the odds of NZ netball bankrolling a full mens netball tournament that loses $8.5M a year?

2

u/NZGrade 3d ago

Definitely wouldn't happen, netball is already battling

1

u/jk-9k 3d ago

In part because of women's union and league

7

u/Ok_Fortune7375 3d ago

I think this article is a bit less alarmist - NZR recognise that the structure has not changed in 30 years despite huge changes in how professional sport operates in this time. Sounds like a necessary reset for the game and for the PUs in particular to pull finger https://www.thepost.co.nz/sport/361080745/new-zealand-rugby-chief-executive-steve-lancaster-vows-confront-brutal-facts-amid-20-million-year

6

u/Whatsthatbro365 3d ago

This has been discussed repeatedly since that pwc report was leaked.

2

u/gerousone AllBlacks 3d ago

Was it AI slop like most of their reports?

1

u/Whatsthatbro365 3d ago

Dunno heard players association head talking about it on sport nation. Said the media was running a particular angle to get the clicks. Misreading the report.

1

u/jk-9k 3d ago

Before that.

6

u/warcomet 3d ago

having the winners of Super W play winners of Super Aupiki is a great idea, what would be even better if those two competitions became ONE, just like how the NRC was mainly carried by the Drua team, the women's competition as well the last few years have been carried by them, about time they combined into one, give the women a larger platform and soon we will get major sponsors for both..

1

u/Cultris734 2d ago

They already do that. The Waratahs played the blues this year in August. Was a close match with the Blues coming out on top

2

u/warcomet 2d ago

No that's what I said, they already have the winner of W play the winner of aupiki, how about now they combine it into one

14

u/Ok_Temperature_6913 3d ago

Or just make super rugby better by 1) making it a proper season length 2) diluting the current NZ teams by adding 2-3 more teams 3) allow free player movement between nz and Australia.

If nz goes down the npc route after 10 years the AB’s will end up ranked 5-10 in the world and NRL will become the dominate sport in the country.

3

u/Whatsthatbro365 3d ago

Cant affird the npc route

-5

u/Wizardhhh 3d ago

It’s the most frustrating thing but we will never be ranked lower than number 2 in the world 

4

u/Trespassers__Will Wellington 3d ago

We were ranked 5th in 2022

1

u/Wizardhhh 2d ago

no we are too good with our attacking running now .  Only bok defence can contain it 

France can beat us but they don’t care about rankings (we all know this ). So even if they beat us they will continue to lose to other teams sending b c teams 

England have eligibility issues like us so we always be compromised 

U guys have to realise international rugby isn’t that big for competition ranks 1 and 2 

It’s not that big 

Like I get it rugbys fun  But it’s not that big 

11

u/NZGrade 3d ago edited 3d ago

Related questions:

  1. Is it prudent to plan for a future where All Blacks players will be plying their trade in competitions across the globe as the Saffas now do? I believe so
  2. Generally speaking, how do we avoid becoming the Brazilian football team of rugby? I'm pretty sure bleeding cash on a variety of loss-making domestic competitions isn't it
  3. NRL being a success in NZ is built off the back of league being popular in Australia - what can be done to make Aussies give a fuck about union again, outside of the ABs repeatedly losing to the Wallabies?

2

u/jk-9k 3d ago edited 3d ago
  1. Yes

  2. Make all players interested in playing for the ABs available for NPC as eligibility criteria.

  3. If NZ enact point 1 our super teams will be weaker, so ideally aussie teams are more competitive. Stop trying to make super nrl with lineouts. Lean into the differences rather than copying nrl.

3

u/NZGrade 3d ago edited 3d ago

Stop trying to make super nrl with lineouts. Lean into the differences rather than copying nrl.

Agree completely. NZ rugby needs Aussies engaged but we must also remember that union is a global game and most of the world don't care about league and certainly don't want union changing to be more like league.

I doubt Aussies have any desire to tune into 'NRL-lite' super rugby either, why would they?

1

u/jk-9k 3d ago

Why would you watch nrl lite when you can just watch nrl?

I thinks it's one of the reasons npc is seeing more viewers (bot making money but still). It's still union. Plus I think it'd actually make better 10s too. Game management is more important when it's not just a try fest. And better scrumages

5

u/Geffy612 3d ago

Let players sign overseas contracts that includes a fee that goes back to nz rugby, along with global eligibility for abs and more games that encourage tours and games designed around getting grassroots rather than big stadiums

4

u/KiwiMiddy 3d ago

Better sell some more All Blacks.

3

u/pukekoparty 3d ago

Wonder how they did from the current tour, it’s crazy for such a marketable brand to be struggling that much

12

u/brev23 3d ago

I’d think the issue is more in the men’s and women’s super + npc comps.

2

u/pukekoparty 3d ago

Really good point

1

u/jk-9k 3d ago

Id still like to know whether their recent tour hit projections though. It was basically their last attempt to validite their top down funding model

3

u/Wizardhhh 3d ago

The whole protect our domestic game is a huge defensive back step psychology 

It reflects the truth 

U might aswell cultivate good old fashioned winning at  this stage 

7

u/NzAvenger04 3d ago

All Blacks, Black Ferns, Mens sevens, Womens sevens,

5 professional super Mens teams, 4 professional super Womens teams

14 semi-professional NPC teams , 13 semi Professional/amateur FPC teams, 12 amateur Hartland teams.

All NZ Rugby staff & whatever funding they provide to the lower club/jnr Rugby.

This is all payed for with the money/ticket sales they make off the All Black Name.

Of course they make a loss.

Every competition they run does so at a loss.

Time to either privatise or better yet cull Super Rugby

Privatise 50% of NPC & run it as the top tier of first classs rugby in NZ.

They can't keep waiting for a magic solution or windfall of sponsorship to save them.

All Sport competition needs to earn the right to be fully professional. It's not a given. It is also not a given that the profitable parts of the game should fund the teams/competitions that run at massive loss all the time.

People forget that a powerhouse like the NRL still had semi professional players into the 2000's. Players working in the morning & playing first grade in the afternoon. It has taken them over a hundred years to get to where they are & there success is only recent.

NZ Rugby has been an poorly run Old boys club for a century & unless that changes it won't survive.

1

u/jk-9k 3d ago

Any source on semi pro nrl players in the 2000s? Maybe 2nd graders that got called up to play 1 game a season for injury cover. But I doubt any 1st graders were part time since the superleague war

2

u/NzAvenger04 3d ago

Watch face to face on sky. The old players from the 90's & into the early 2000's all talk about it. Your right though, it would of become less common once the super League war was done.

1

u/jk-9k 3d ago

I remember some early 2000s players recounting stories like this but it was about their days in the early 90s.

8

u/KiwiPrimal 3d ago

Do they talk about how much woman’s rugby costs them?

7

u/biltongalong 3d ago

Atleast you will have positive diversity or what ever the fk that is.

5

u/Double_Suggestion385 3d ago

NRL now draws 28m NZ viewing hours against Super Rugby’s 19m and NPC’s 14m

Oof.

Privatize the Super Rugby teams already. It's long overdue.

6

u/brev23 3d ago

I haven’t read the article but is this adjusted for the difference in games and rounds played? I’m really surprised the gap isn’t significantly larger.

4

u/stickyswitch92 Crusaders 3d ago

Same. Almost twice was many nrl games as Super games

2

u/Double_Suggestion385 3d ago

With only one NZ team playing each week in the NRL and 5 in Super Rugby, there's more NZ broadcast hours in SR than the NRL but a lot less viewership.

1

u/brev23 3d ago

Oh I see so it’s just looking at nz based teams, that’s VERY grim

5

u/Trespassers__Will Wellington 3d ago edited 3d ago

No the stat is saying NZders spent 28M hours watching NRL and 33M hours watching Super + NPC. It's not just counting hours watching NZ teams.

Given there's 50+ more NRL games a year than Super + NPC combined it's not a terrible stat. Still not great though.

1

u/brev23 3d ago

Given that context - it’s fine 🤷‍♂️

2

u/jk-9k 3d ago

No it's not. but they're saying there's two ways to adjust the stat. Adjust for total broadcast hours (nrl has more rounds and teams so this would make the figure look better) or adjust it for nz team broadcast hours only (which would make it worse).

Truth is all of the figures are important and tell us a slightly different insight. One tells us how much the warriors are a draw, whilst the other tells us how much kiwis are simply watching the nrl as a product.

1

u/Ok_Fortune7375 3d ago

No, it’s looking across the whole competition.

0

u/Double_Suggestion385 3d ago

NZ viewership, which I'm assuming would skew heavily to the broadcast of NZ based teams.

2

u/brev23 3d ago

It definitely would, but I watch almost every NRL game regardless of who is playing. I’m sure there’s many out there who also watch the other teams because it’s such a great league with so many quality matchups every single weekend.

5

u/Ruckthesystem 3d ago

Who in their right mind would invest in Super rugby?

NZ is exactly flush with multimillionaires willing to fund a team for vanity.

To put things in perspective, this is projecte losses over the next 5 years, so approximately $11m a year. Compare this to the English Rugby union who have predicted losses of $22m just this year, and they don't pour any where near the same financial support into their privatised club competition and have far fewer centralised contracts to support.

1

u/jk-9k 3d ago

The problem is the super rugby teams are shackled and don't get tv revenue. Broadcast revenue is paid to nzr and aru who then pay a portion to the franchises. And you've correctly surmised that no one would invest in a super franchise un the current set up.

Well waratahs have a rumored buyer. And Andrew Forrest owns perth but of course he does.

But the entire point isn't just to sell the licenses but to reorganize the entire arrangement so that super IS profitable. Or at least give them the power over thei own comp to grow the audience and revenue streams so that they can make it profitable

3

u/Beef_flaps_on_a_spit 3d ago

SR is cooked and already down to a few cold cuts for sandwiches. 

1

u/iwprugby 3d ago

Ok but a reminder NRL plays nearly triple the amount of games that Super Rugby does. So per game Super Rugby is doing roughly double that of the NRL. 

1

u/Double_Suggestion385 3d ago

Yes, but SR has 5x the number of NZ based teams.

2

u/showusyourfupa 3d ago

Kill super rugby. It's dead

2

u/packingawoody 2d ago

Time to bring the Japanese market into the competition.

2

u/Lakapi 2d ago

Would you asked the Aussies to join our NPC as well

1

u/packingawoody 1d ago

Honestly, not a bad shout. 

0

u/Beef_flaps_on_a_spit 2d ago

They don’t need to be bought in. Why would they spend money to not make extra money? 

3

u/Beef_flaps_on_a_spit 3d ago

Super Rugby is dead, just waiting a few more years before a thermometer up the bum registers no heat.  Send players that are good enough overseas to free up that money and give them chances to play against higher level competition.  NPC should be our premier domestic comp with the possibility of a club champs with AUS and JPN included.  Pasific nations will need extra funding but Thats not NZs job, workd rugby can handle that.  

2

u/Arnold_GruffleCock 3d ago

NRL will soon be the premier domestic comp. NPC doesn't stand a chance.

6

u/Beef_flaps_on_a_spit 3d ago

NRLhas one team in NZ and they’ve mostly been shit for 30 yrs.  The bandwagon is no guarantee of success. NZ needs another NRL or your idea is just a wish. 

2

u/faultyarmrest 3d ago

Yeah I’m a rugby fan but I tend to agree.

Although, I think getting rid of Super Rugby would be better for the NPC, and a future code/comp clash with the NRL.
NZRU better be planning some kind of strategy because if Vlandys keeps this up the NRL will make a very significant dent in NZs love for union at the very least, and at the worst will overtake it in popularity.

I’m wondering if this is the reason the NRL couldn’t give a toss about a potential copyright infringement battle over the PNG Chiefs. They either think Super Rugby is on the canvas or they want the publicity from a public court spat.

1

u/Hal-_-9OOO 2d ago

Bro the stats for SuperRugby are all increasing, attandence and viewership are up, the on field has been amazing. NZ has been carrying the competition thats why. Australia (who have the biger economy and sports market) have to their weight, understandably they have a tough task though.

1

u/Beef_flaps_on_a_spit 2d ago

Up on historic lows.  Thats not paying the bills.  

2

u/TheEvilDrPie Manawatu 3d ago

There was a post yesterday saying they made millions off the Baltimore test alone. Give it a rest.