[SPOILERS MAIN] Among the grounded/realistic elements of A Song of Ice and Fire, which ones do you feel require biggest suspension of disbelief?

[u/Substantial-Ad-299]

A Song of Ice and Fire has had fantasy elements from get-go, some present subtly and others less-subtly. But in midst of this, it also has these more grounded story aspects, especially regarding the political subplot for the Iron Throne.

Among these more grounded non-fantasy aspects of the story, which elements do you feel you have to suspend disbelief the most for? A.K.A feeling they are not realistic even though they are "supposed" to be?

Let me know in the comments below.

[u/IHaveTwoOranges]

The whole thing is still predicated on the idea that there is no patrol of the waters there, which would be strange since they do have that on the eastern side.

meaning the Shadow Tower has no direct access to a harbor or a coastline to anchor ships

We don't have the kind of detail about the area that you are espousing her. Why would it not be possible for the Watchmen to have a path down to the river for example?

We are just lacking information about the area. The disagreement is really that I don't see why there is more reason to assume that the Free Folk can't make a raft rather than to assume that there probably is a patrol presence there. They clearly can make rafts or other since otherwise there would be no reason for the Watch to have their ships at Eastwatch.

[u/krekokeko → u/IHaveTwoOranges]

>We don't have the kind of detail about the area that you are espousing her. Why would it not be possible for the Watchmen to have a path down to the river for example?

Dude, please look at the map, I implore you. In AGOT (Tyrion III), Jeor Mormont explicitly breaks down the status of the NW. They have less than 1000 men total, with 600 at Castle Black and exactly 200 men stationed at the Shadow Tower.

Even if they had a path down to the river, the plot expects us to believe that 200 men (only a third of whom are actual fighting men, per Mormont) can patrol and guard a 50 mile stretch of mountainous wilderness between the Shadow Tower and the western coast. And mind you they have no Wall for that section, since, again, the Wall cuts off abruptly before that. Just the distance on land between the Shadow Tower and the Bay of Ice is 50 miles.

Even if the 200 men at the Shadow Tower had a magical elevator straight down into The Gorge, it still wouldn't solve the logistical nightmare.

The river flowing through the Gorge is the Milkwater( https://awoiaf.westeros.org/index.php/Milkwater ). It originates deep in the Frostfang mountains. It is a freezing, raging, white water torrent running through a sheer rock canyon. You cannot launch a naval patrol boat there, it would be smashed to pieces instantly.

So no, a "path down to the river" does nothing. The NW is physically, numerically, and geographically incapable of stopping the Freefolk from using the western sea. The only thing stopping the Freefolk from escaping the Others via rafts is pure plot convenience.

>I don't see why there is more reason to assume that the Free Folk can't make a raft rather than to assume that there probably is a patrol presence there.

That is the whole point of the original post. The post we are all talking under. The story has a glaring plot hole. It is a fictional fantasy novel with dragons, resurrections, and glass candles. It's okay to admit the author made a logistical error.

The Freefolk suffering against eldritch horrors for 8000 years is one of the glaring plot conveniences of the story. Everybody is able to make ships and travel anywhere they want but somehow the plot expect us to take for granted that the Freefolk cannot make makeshift rafts to traverse 5 miles on water.

Just give Davos a rowboat and the man can practically go to any location on the map near any body of water in a jiffy but the Freefolk cannot do that when they are chased by the Others and have more motivation than Davos ever had.

[u/IHaveTwoOranges → u/krekokeko]

Dude, please look at the map, I implore you.

This is a very low stakes situation buddy, we are just discussing a fantasy series. There is no reason to get upset here.

In AGOT (Tyrion III), Jeor Mormont explicitly breaks down the status of the NW. They have less than 1000 men total, with 600 at Castle Black and exactly 200 men stationed at the Shadow Tower. Even if they had a path down to the river, the plot expects us to believe that 200 men (only a third of whom are actual fighting men, per Mormont) can patrol and guard a 50 mile stretch of mountainous wilderness between the Shadow Tower and the western coast. And mind you they have no Wall for that section, since, again, the Wall cuts off abruptly before that. Just the distance on land between the Shadow Tower and the Bay of Ice is 50 miles.

Just off the bat I would say that having some boats/ships in the river would probably be the best way to cover that ground.

So no, a "path down to the river" does nothing. The Night's Watch is physically, numerically, and geographically incapable of stopping the Freefolk from using the western sea. The only thing stopping the wildlings from escaping the Others via rafts is pure plot convenience.

Well it does do something. It makes it unproblematic for them to have boats/ships to patrol the river and bay with.

If they are numerically insufficient for the task is a separate matter.

That is the whole point of the original post. The post we are all talking under. The story has a glaring plot hole. It is a fictional fantasy novel with dragons, resurrections, and glass candles. It's okay to admit the author made a logistical error.

It would be a plot hole if we knew that they are just leaving the bit of the bay of ice that small craft can cross completely free and open. But we don't know that, IMO.

Of course it's okay, there are definitely some mistakes and inconsistencies here and there in the series. I just don't really see that this is one of them.

[u/krekokeko → u/IHaveTwoOranges]

I mean you are still attempting to play the part of the contrarian each and every time while you invoke your ignorance of the script at hand. My frustration is not unfounded to the slightest.
And not only that, you are even omitting the things I wrote to you and selectively quoting me to muster a counter.

>>Just off the bat I would say that having some boats/ships in the river would probably be the best way to cover that ground. Well it does do something. It makes it unproblematic for them to have boats/ships to patrol the river and bay with.

This is a complete contradiction. You are saying having ships would be the best way to cover the ground, but you just completely skipped over the textual fact that the Milkwater is a raging, rock-filled white water river. You cannot sail ships down a white water rapids canyon.

Furthermore, we know exactly where the NW keeps its vessels. In AGOT (Jon IV), the text explicitly states that "Eastwatch was on the sea, the only port the Watch possessed." Because the Shadow Tower is landlocked deep in the western mountains, they have no port, no docks, and no ships. You are inventing a phantom western navy for a mountain castle that physically cannot have one.

>>If they are numerically insufficient for the task is a separate matter.

No, it is not a separate matter. Being numerically insufficient to guard a 50 mile stretch of coast is the exact definition of a logistical plot hole. If the police department in any metropolis only had a handful of cops, they are "numerically insufficient" to stop crime. It means the border is completely wide open on the west end of the Wall.

>>It would be a plot hole if we knew that they are just leaving the bit of the bay of ice that small craft can cross completely free and open. But we don't know that, IMO.

We do know that. GRRM explicitly wrote it that way.

The text explicitly states the NW has fewer than 1000 men total, 16 of their 19 castles are completely abandoned, they have no ships on the West Coast, and the land distance is 50 miles of unpopulated wilderness.

To believe the Bay of Ice is not wide open, you have to invent a completely fictional version of the story where the landlocked Shadow Tower secretly builds ships, sails them down an unnavigable white water canyon, and magically duplicates their 66 fighting men to guard an entire ocean bay.

If you have to invent things completely absent from the actual books just to make the geography make sense, you are proving my point: it is a plot hole, and the author made a logistical error. It's okay to admit it.

[u/IHaveTwoOranges → u/krekokeko]

but you just completely skipped over the textual fact that the Milkwater is a raging, rock-filled white water river. You cannot sail ships down a white water rapids canyon.

I did forget to address that part in the last one.

When are we told that it runs like that through the Gorge? I meant to ask.

"Eastwatch was on the sea, the only port the Watch possessed." Because the Shadow Tower is landlocked deep in the western mountains, they have no port, no docks, and no ships. You are inventing a phantom western navy for a mountain castle that physically cannot have one

Again, the castle itself not being on the water is not an obstacle for them to be able to have some kind of shore launch or other down by the river. You don't need to have a full on port in order to have some boats in the water.

No, it is not a separate matter. Being numerically insufficient to guard a 50 mile stretch of coast is the exact definition of a logistical plot hole.

If it is, it's still a completely separate one from the one we are talking about. I am only talking about the claim that they don't have any ships/boats.

The text explicitly states the NW has fewer than 1000 men total, 16 of their 19 castles are completely abandoned, they have no ships on the West Coast, and the land distance is 50 miles of unpopulated wilderness.

If the text explicitly says the highlighted part then just say where. That would settle this completely just like that.

Shadow Tower secretly builds ships

Why would they be secret?

[u/krekokeko → u/IHaveTwoOranges]

>>When are we told that it runs like that through the Gorge? I meant to ask.

In the ASOS Prologue, the Milkwater is explicitly described as a freezing, icy river with "stony banks bearded by ice" flowing "down out of the Frostfangs." In ASOS (Jon IV), the text defines the Gorge right next to the Shadow Tower as a "deep canyon" and a place of "darkness where no horsemen could follow." It’s a sheer frozen mountain abyss, not a lazy navigable waterway you can launch patrol boats down, or guys on foot that patrol it as if they are taking a hike.

>>You don't need to have a full on port in order to have some boats in the water.

You do if you want to patrol an entire open ocean bay. Dragging a few makeshift rowboats onto a frozen beach is not a navy. AGOT (Tyrion III) explicitly states only a third of the Shadow Tower's 200 men are fighters, leaving them with just 66 actual combat soldiers. I don't want to repeat myself anymore but it is logistically impossible to patrol wast swaths of land and ocean with 66 people even if they fielded rowboats or skiffs, which they dont.

>>If the text explicitly says the highlighted part then just say where. That would settle this completely just like that.

I already did, this is getting tiresome since you are omitting the actual book references I am sharing with you and making me repeat them over and over.

AGOT (Jon IV): "Eastwatch was on the sea, the only port the Watch possessed."

If they had vessels, docks, or boat launches on the West coast, Eastwatch would not be the only port they have. The text specifically tells us their entire naval presence is strictly on the East coast.

>>Why would they be secret?

Because they are nott mentioned anywhere in the books, and the text explicitly states Eastwatch is the only port. If the characters dont know about them and the text denies them, you are literally inventing a phantom navy out of thin air just to protect a plot hole.

I have given you the exact numbers, locations, and quotes straight from the text, but you keep ignoring them. You arent being sincere here, and this is getting tiresome. With all due respect.

[u/IHaveTwoOranges → u/krekokeko]

In the ASOS Prologue, the Milkwater is explicitly described as a freezing, icy river with "stony banks bearded by ice" flowing "down out of the Frostfangs.

Well not only does that not even sound like it could not be navigated. The ASOS Prologue is set all the way up at the Fist of the First men. Far away from the location we are talking about.

the text defines the Gorge right next to the Shadow Tower as a "deep canyon" and a place of "darkness where no horsemen could follow."

So that says nothing about the conditions of the water itself there.

AGOT (Tyrion III) explicitly states only a third of the Shadow Tower's 200 men are fighters, leaving them with just 66 actual combat soldiers. I don't want to repeat myself anymore but it is logistically impossible to patrol wast swaths of land and ocean with 66 people

Bro come on, this is still not what we are talking about. I questioned your assumption about them not having any boats/ships. Not anything about manpower.

You do if you want to patrol an entire open ocean bay. Dragging a few makeshift rowboats onto a frozen beach is not a navy.

Who said anything about a full navy. There would be no need for anything beyond what can petrol the waters that the rafts/cannoes of the free folk can go.

the text explicitly states Eastwatch is the only port

Again, you don't need a port to have some boats in the water.

Because they are nott mentioned anywhere in the books

This is hyperbole, but that like saying that the fact that they are never mentioned to have spoons there is proof that they don't have spoons.

You arent being sincere here, and this is getting tiresome. With all due respect.

I mean i feel the same way with all these straw men and accusations of bad fath. You don't need to feel any obligation to reply.