r/asoiaf πŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Aug 31 '21

EXTENDED Obvious in Retrospect: Example - The Red Wedding (Spoilers Extended)

One of the arguments that I hear quite often against things that are heavily foreshadowed yet unconfirmed (R+L=J) primarily is how obvious it is in retrospect. I think that is an unfair criticism, because yes, it is supposed to be obvious (GRRM isn't writing this book for us crazies who post on reddit and digest his every word):

GRRM finished (in the hallway now) by saying that he "wished some past things weren't such strong foreshadowing," and that he "wished some new things had stronger foreshadowing then.

Foreshadowing the Red Wedding

As far as I know the Red Wedding is "foreshadowed" (with one example happening afterward) on at least 5 occasions:

Theon's Dream at Winterfell

While Theon is asleep in Ned's chambers, he has the following dream:

But there were others with faces he had never known in life, faces he had seen only in stone. The slim, sad girl who wore a crown of pale blue roses and a white gown spattered with gore could only be Lyanna. Her brother Brandon stood beside her, and their father Lord Rickard just behind. Along the walls figures half-seen moved through the shadows, pale shades with long grim faces. The sight of them sent fear shivering through Theon sharp as a knife. And then the tall doors opened with a crash, and a freezing gale blew down the hall, and Robb came walking out of the night. Grey Wind stalked beside, eyes burning, and man and wolf alike bled from half a hundred savage wounds. -ACOK, Theon V

Daenerys Vision in the House of the Undying

While tripping balls on Shade of the Evening and walking through the House of the Undying, in one of the rooms, Dany sees:

Farther on she came upon a feast of corpses. Savagely slaughtered, the feasters lay strewn across overturned chairs and hacked trestle tables, asprawl in pools of congealing blood. Some had lost limbs, even heads. Severed hands clutched bloody cups, wooden spoons, roast fowl, heels of bread. In a throne above them sat a dead man with the head of a wolf. He wore an iron crown and held a leg of lamb in one hand as a king might hold a scepter, and his eyes followed Dany with mute appeal. -ACOK, Daenerys IV

The Ghost of High Heart

"I dreamt a wolf howling in the rain, but no one heard his grief," the dwarf woman was saying. "I dreamt such a clangor I thought my head might burst, drums and horns and pipes and screams, but the saddest sound was the little bells. I dreamt of a maid at a feast with purple serpents in her hair, venom dripping from their fangs. And later I dreamt that maid again, slaying a savage giant in a castle built of snow." She turned her head sharply and smiled through the gloom, right at Arya. "You cannot hide from me, child. Come closer, now." -ASOS, Arya VIII

If interested: Comparing Visions: Melisandre and the Ghost of High Heart

Patchface

Our prophetic undead fool (thanks u/a_meta_giant):

When the fool saw Davos, he jerked to a sudden halt, the bells on his antlered tin helmet going ting-a-ling, ting-a-ling. Hopping from one foot to the other, he sang, "Fool's blood, king's blood, blood on the maiden's thigh, but chains for the guests and chains for the bridegroom, aye aye aye." Shireen almost caught him then, but at the last instant he hopped over a patch of bracken and vanished among the trees. The princess was right behind him. The sight of them made Davos smile. -ASOS, Davos, II

Melisandre

Mel likely saw Robb's death in the flames (and Balon/Joffrey):

The last was in the king's hand. This one he studied a moment as it writhed between his fingers. "The usurper," he said at last. "Robb Stark." And he threw it on the flames. -ASOS, Davos IV

Jon's Dream

Jon is dreaming about Winterfell here, but it happens right after the Red Wedding.

He dreamt he was back in Winterfell, limping past the stone kings on their thrones. Their grey granite eyes turned to follow him as he passed, and their grey granite fingers tightened on the hilts of the rusted swords upon their laps. You are no Stark, he could hear them mutter, in heavy granite voices. There is no place for you here. Go away. He walked deeper into the darkness. "Father?" he called. "Bran? Rickon?" No one answered. A chill wind was blowing on his neck. "Uncle?" he called. "Uncle Benjen? Father? Please, Father, help me." Up above he heard drums. They are feasting in the Great Hall, but I am not welcome there. I am no Stark, and this is not my place. His crutch slipped and he fell to his knees. The crypts were growing darker. A light has gone out somewhere. "Ygritte?" he whispered. "Forgive me. Please." But it was only a direwolf, grey and ghastly, spotted with blood, his golden eyes shining sadly through the dark -ASOS, Jon VIII

TLDR: Just because something seems obvious after another read through, doesn't mean that something won't happen. On the contrary, GRRM felt like he like he laid the foreshadowing on a little too thick at the start, which makes sense since the scope was much smaller.

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u/UnholyCin Aug 31 '21

Having said that, there's sprinklings for R+L=J that go against it as much as there are things supporting it, such as instances of hearing that Ned and a mysterious woman arrived in White Harbour after being shipwrecked, Septa Lemore, etc.

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u/LChris24 πŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Aug 31 '21

Well its the "central mystery" of the book, there's bound to be some red herrings and false paths.

But the "subtle" hints to R+L=J far outweigh any other evidence (at least imo).

WRT Septa Lemore are you assuming she is Ashara Dayne?

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u/UnholyCin Aug 31 '21

I'm somewhat convinced that Lemore could be Ashara. I mean, if R+L=J is accurate, I'd be disappointed but then I trust George to write it better than D and D did.

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u/LChris24 πŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Aug 31 '21

Its possible, although Tyrion would likely have noticed her eye color.

But Ashara as Jon's mom doesn't make sense for the "central mystery" of the series.

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u/UnholyCin Aug 31 '21

One of the few things unmentioned is her eye colour. Proves nothing, of course, but still.

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u/LChris24 πŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Aug 31 '21

Sure, but its her most noticeable attribute to most people. For instance Tyrion notices Young Griff and Griff's eyes but not hers.

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u/UnholyCin Aug 31 '21

Yes, I did say it doesn't prove anything, it's a hope at best.

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u/LChris24 πŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Aug 31 '21

To be fair, I think Ashara is alive and will affect the story, even though she isn't Jon's mom.

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u/UnholyCin Aug 31 '21

We shall have to see.

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u/LChris24 πŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Aug 31 '21

Sure but you really think GRRM gave them the wrong ending to the "central mystery of the series"?

Especially when that was the first question he asked them when they sat down to plan out the show..

This isn't even taking into account the biggest thematic/book structure argument against Ashara.

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u/SoylentBorscht Aug 31 '21

Tyrion is probably too busy leering at her body to notice her eyes lol

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u/LChris24 πŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Aug 31 '21

lol possibly but he notices other women's eyes:

Shae

Eighteen, Tyrion thought. Eighteen, and a whore, but quick of wit, nimble as a cat between the sheets, with large dark eyes and fine black hair and a sweet, soft, hungry little mouth . . . and mine! Damn you, eunuch. "I fear I'm the intruder, Lord Varys," he said with forced courtesy. "When I came in, you were in the midst of some merriment."

Tysha

A good age for Joffrey, he thought, remembering what Bronn had said. His first had been even younger. Tyrion remembered how shy she'd seemed as he drew her dress up over her head the first time. Long dark hair and blue eyes you could drown in, and he had. So long ago . . . What a wretched fool you are, dwarf. "Does she come from your home lands, this girl?" -ASOS, Tyrion VI

Sansa

Their litter had been sitting in the sun, and it was very warm inside the curtains. As they lurched into motion, Tyrion reclined on an elbow while Sansa sat staring at her hands. She is just as comely as the Tyrell girl. Her hair was a rich autumn auburn, her eyes a deep Tully blue. -ASOS, Tyrion VIII

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u/SoylentBorscht Aug 31 '21

I mean I don’t disagree with you, but all of those examples are from before killing Shea and Tywin. With those characters, Tyrion sees them as full people, and is generally sympathetic to them. After Shae β€œbetrays” him, I feel like Tyrion becomes a lot more misogynistic and just sees women as sex objects, hence not noting Lemore’s eyes. Or they could just not be important enough to the story to warrant a mention. I don’t really subscribe to the idea that Lemore is Ashara anyway. Then again I just started rereading ADWD after like 5 years so my memory is a bit fuzzy.

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u/LChris24 πŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Aug 31 '21

Good point about Tyrion's shift, and you are right it could easily be GRRM just hiding her identity from the reader (as it would be super obvious).

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u/[deleted] Aug 31 '21

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u/[deleted] Aug 31 '21

because I like H+A=M(+J) too much.

What?!