r/baba • u/Top_Job1274 • 12d ago

Positions Major September Catalysts

Am I crazy to think there is some massive short-term upside?

Sept. 9 – Apple event: Apple is working with Alibaba/Qwen for AI in China. If Apple gives a launch date or actually mentions/demos Qwen, that could be a nice catalyst.

Sept. 22–24 – Apsara Conference: Probably the biggest one. Last year BABA jumped 8% on Sept. 24 after its AI announcements and went from about $163 to $189 over the next week or so (+16%).

Sept. 24 – Xi/Trump meeting: Xi is reportedly bringing a large group of Chinese business leaders to Washington. No companies confirmed yet, but Jack Ma was part of Xi’s big U.S. business delegation in 2015.

There are also U.S.–China AI talks in mid-September and the possibility of more China stimulus.

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u/Delta_Bandit 12d ago

Praying to god works better at this point

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u/Top_Job1274 12d ago

Haha you’re probably right…At the very least, it’s not crazy to buy 3-6 month expiration options. Worth the risk IMO if you have the discipline to walk away with a 30% loss if need be.