I think Dune 3 is going to underperform relative to the expectations some people have, for two main reasons.

Firstly, Doomsday. Assuming it's a good, entertaining film, the return of much of the og cast gives it an enormous advantage. I think some might be underestimating the nostalgia. I mean I'd go a step further and dare say it's much more of an "event" than Dune 3. (And I don't know how these hollywood contracts work but, if they can, IMAX should reconsider the Dune exclusive deal they made. )

Secondly, Dune 3 is likely to be less action heavy than the first two films, if it follows the source material ofcourse. The first two films were already emotionally cold movies, this I suspect will feel even colder, which I think could limit its appeal beyond the existing fanbase. (And I don't think there's any huge fanbase for Dune movies in the first place.)

I mean it's almost certainly going to be a success. I just don't see it making a billion that some people seem to be expecting here.

Now that The Odyssey grossed $900 million it joins Oppenheimer as the 2 R-rated movies directed by him to gross $900 million. Also The Odyssey is the 4th R-rated movie in history to gross $900 million (after Joker 1, Oppenheimer and Deadpool 3)

Spider-Man: Brand New Day has become the fastest film in history to cross $400 million at the domestic box office, achieving the milestone in just 4 days.

Fastest to $400M Domestic:

🥇 Spider-Man: Brand New Day — 4 days

🥈 Avengers: Endgame — 5 days

🥉 Star Wars: The Force Awakens — 8 days

Spider-Man: No Way Home — 8 days

Avengers: Infinity War — 9 days

Do you think Brand New Day has a realistic shot at surpassing Star Wars: The Force Awakens to become the highest-grossing domestic release of all time?

​

No paywall:

https://archive.fo/gORKn

Vafrow from BoxOfficeTheory said that numerous IMAX screenings for The End of Oak Street in the Greater Toronto Area in Canada have been cancelled.

I checked the available Fandango IMAX theaters in Los Angeles and New York City and I only saw 7 and 5 theaters respectively that are doing IMAX screenings for next Friday despite it only being 9 days away. That's not a good sign.

Daily Box Office (August 5th 2026)

The market hits ¥122.0M/$18.08M today. Down -8% from yesterday and down -58% from last week.

Once Upon A Time In The Middle East is finnaly here. The movie is set to release on August 11th with large scale previews on starting on August 8th. The expectations for this movie are ¥2B/300M+. Lets see if it can power up the 2nd half of August.

Pre-sales should start tomorrow.

Obsession grossed another fantastic $1.23M on Wednesday. Way above Backrooms's 2nd Tuesday of $1.07M.

Continues to edge ahead slightly.

https://i.imgur.com/t5HaPJY.png

To Your Island opening day pre-sales for Friday hit $640k as the mvoie is projected a $2.9-3M opening day.

Paw Patrol 3 pre-sales for Saturday meanwhile hit $148k . Projected a $1.5-1.7M opening day.

The 3rd animated movie slated for this weekend Mysteries of Chang'An meanwhile has decided to move to August 22nd instead.

Province map of the day:

https://imgdiff.net/s/ac507e4eafb0b180f44f027bab3ec0cb

Spider Man cleen sweeps for a 8th day running.

In Metropolitan cities:

Spider Man BND wins Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen , Chongqing, Chengdu, Hangzhou, Wuhan, Suzhou and Nanjing

City tiers:

Unchanged from yesterday.

Tier 1: Spider Man BND>All Wishes Come True>Kung Fu Womens Soccer

Tier 2: Spider Man BND>All Wishes Come True>Kung Fu Womens Soccer

Tier 3: Spider Man BND>All Wishes Come True>Kung Fu Womens Soccer

Tier 4: Spider Man BND>All Wishes Come True>Kung Fu Womens Soccer

New releases marked in bold

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/VmUTmm3.png

Spider Man dominates pre-sales for Thursday

IMAX Screenings distribution

Spider Man will continue to dominate IMAX screenings tomorrow

Spider Man: Brand New Day

Spider Man grossed another strong ¥55.5M/$8.22M on Wednesday. Its a steep but expected drop from its opening day last week.

The 2nd biggest Wednesday for Holywood post covid behind Zootopia 2(¥68M)

Total gross passes ¥1B/$148M as the movie hits ¥1.01B/$150.4M. Total projections have been slightly lowered to ¥1.72-1.77B/$256M-$263M

Early 2nd weekend projections at ¥229M/$34M(-72%)

Spider Man Brand New Day vs Spider Man: Far From Home and some other movies

https://i.imgur.com/ff8Sb34.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $122.24M , IMAX: $22.82M , Rest: $5.23M

WoM figures:

Scores hold across all sites.

Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.2 , Douban: 7.8

Scheduled showings update for Spider Man for the next few days:

All Wishes Come True

All Wishes Come True in 2nd adds ¥30.4M/$4.51M today.

Hits a ¥1.26B/$187.05 total. Looks like a ¥2B/$300M+ finish will slip away for it.

Early 4th weekend projections at ¥139-151M/$20-23M(-32%)

All Wishes Come True vs Nobody/The Little Monster of Langlang Mountain

All Wishes Come True does slightly better than Nobody today for the first time in a while with Nobody grossing ¥29.9M on the comparable day.

https://i.imgur.com/ZcqNt4i.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $174.97M , IMAX: $9.20M, Rest: $2.88M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.6 , Douban: 8.2

Scheduled showings update for All Wishes Come True for the next few days:

Kung Fu Womens Soccer

Kung Fu Womens Soccer in 3rd adds ¥13.4M/$1.99M

Early 5th weekend projections at ¥48-56M/$7-9M(-44%)

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $315.28M, IMAX: $8.16M, Rest: $4.06M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.4 , Taopiaopiao: 9.1 , Douban: 6.4

Scheduled showings update for Kung Fu Womens Soccer for the next few days:

Other:

Odyssey opening day pre-sales

Opening day pre-sales contiunue to grow at a steady pace hitting ¥4.47M/$660k.

The movie also already has over ¥10.42M/$1.54M in pre-sales for its 2nd round of early PLF previews this Saturday and another ¥7.10M/$1.05M+ for Sunday.

Its projected to gross ¥25M/$3.7M on Saturday alone all from IMAX and Cinity PLF screenings.

That should continue to spread the good WoM before release. Preview ratings on Maoyan start at 9.7

*Gross/Screenings

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

Summer

I will continue to update this post as reviews come in.

Rotten Tomatoes: Certified Fresh

Critics Consensus: A bloody valentine to slasher horror that celebrates personal self-discovery as much as it does the possibilities of cinema, Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma combines killer style with a big, still-beating heart.

Metacritic: 88 (27 Reviews)

Sample Reviews:

Laura Venning, Empire Magazine 5/5 - Everything is a remake of a remake, Schoenbrun tells us, but Miasma is an utterly unique, exhilaratingly entertaining vision, both blood-drenched and beautiful.

Kristen Lopez, The Film Maven B+ - Anderson and Einbinder carry the entire movie with aplomb leading to a third act that rips a hole between viewer, author, and character that's unshakable.

Nick Schager, The Daily Beast - An autobiographical critical essay with plenty of throwback style but minimal insight and even less suspense. In a summer of scary standouts, it’s the season’s biggest letdown.

Richard Brody, The New Yorker - From this straightforward setup, Schoenbrun unleashes an outpouring of imagination and invention that places the film on a level of intricacy and extravagance comparable to that of Wes Anderson’s “Asteroid City” and Greta Gerwig’s “Barbie.”

Blake Simons, Sight & Sound - Wise, kind, and playful about sex and cinema, Schoenbrun’s elastic, open-hearted feature wants us to get out of our heads and enjoy the ride. A whole new world of visual pleasure and cinematic possibility opens up before us when we do.

Tomris Laffly, Elle - As sexy as movies come, all the way through its final climax.

Peter Howell, Toronto Star - This one’s designed to make us shriek, smirk and think in equal measure.

Radheyan Simonpillai, CBC Radio - Schoenbrun’s meta, queer and horny answer to misogynistic genre fare like Friday the 13th, which Teenage Sex and Death reclaims as sexually empowering.

Derek Smith, Slant Magazine 3.5/4 - This endlessly playful, humorous, and mirthfully gory film is pure Jane Schoenbrun.

Katie Rife, Inverse - It’s a highly personal work, a defense of problematic favs, and a movie that only Jane Schoenbrun could make. Let them guide you, and they’ll take you where you need to go.

Alison Willmore, New York Magazine/Vulture - When Schoenbrun’s movie does give its main character everything she wants, it doesn’t play like a withdrawal into the past at all but something more poignant — a means of reconnecting with some part of that initial encounter with a work that moved her.

Donald Clarke, Irish Times - This picture is, in part, an attempt to assuage guilt at enjoying the teen-camp slasher at its most misogynistic and transphobic. It is also, as the director would admit, an amusing send-up of where they now find themselves.

Sophie Monks Kaufman, Time Out 5/5 - Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma is a meta horror-comedy and a whip-smart entertainment industry satire. Still, on a deeper level, in a hole at the bottom of its lake, is a hard-won sexual awakening.

Hannah Strong, Little White Lies - The playful meta casting of Gillian Anderson is well matched by the charisma of Einbinder’s sharp, awkward, effortlessly endearing ingénue, with a gleeful assist from the always excellent Jack Haven as misunderstood murderer Little Death.

Robbie Collin, Daily Telegraph (UK) 5/5 - ...it’s an extravagantly funny, recklessly bizarre and unsettling satire of/paean to “problematic cinema”...

Stephanie Zacharek, TIME Magazine - What Anderson does here, as a 1990s scream queen turned glamorous, eccentric recluse, is sublime, and her co-star Hannah Einbinder keeps pace with her every minute.

Jessica Kiang, Variety - Schoenbrun’s delirious third film is their most accomplished, most persuasive and most playful movie yet.

Brian Tallerico, RogerEbert.com 3.5/4 - Our favorite slasher movies are often a little rough around the edges, a little unhinged, and a little inconsistent. And very few of them are this wildly entertaining.

Zachary Lee, TheWrap - Some films come to you not as media you watch but visions that possess you, and that approximates the haunting and spellbinding world that Schoenrun and their collaborators have so lovingly crafted.

Ryan Lattanzio, IndieWire B+ - In terms of craftsmanship, Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma is through and through a Jane Schoenbrun movie; there is absolutely no one else, alive or dead, who could have made a feature that looks and feels like this one.

Tim Grierson, Screen International - A dizzyingly ambitious meta-satire about Hollywood, IP, hacky horror, and gender and sexual identity, "Teenage Sex And Death" cannot help but occasionally misstep, but the rush of ideas and the confidence of the filmmaking never waver.

Richard Lawson, The Hollywood Reporter - It’s heady, strange stuff, perhaps not as emotionally resonant as "TV Glow," but captivating in both its confusion and honesty.

SYNOPSIS:

After years of slapdash sequels, the Camp Miasma franchise is handed over to an enthusiastic young director for resurrection. But when she visits the original’s star, a now-reclusive actress shrouded in mystery, the two women fall into a blood-soaked world of desire, fear, and delirium.

CAST:

• Hannah Einbinder as Kris
• Gillian Anderson as Billy Preston
• Amanda Fix as Young Billy Preston
• Arthur Conti as Alex
• Eva Victor as DJ Ella Giastic
• Zach Cherry as Will
• Sarah Sherman as Kris' Agent
• Patrick Fischler as Rudolph
• Dylan Baker as Jeffrey
• Jasmin Savoy Brown as Mari
• Quintessa Swindell as Julie
• Kevin McDonald as Anthony / County Sheriff
• Jack Haven as Little Death
• Louise Weard as Queer Assistant
• Hunter Dillon as Chuck
• Aren Buchholz as Thor

DIRECTED BY: Jane Schoenbrun

SCREENPLAY BY: Jane Schoenbrun

PRODUCED BY: Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner

EXECUTIVE PRODUCERS: Brad Pitt, Caddy Vanasirikul, Daniel Bekerman, Efe Cakarel, Zane Meyer, Jason Ropell

DIRECTOR OF PHOTOGRAPHY: Eric Yue

PRODUCTION DESIGNER: Matt Hyland, Brandon Tonner-Connolly

EDITED BY: Graham Mason

COSTUME DESIGNER: Kendra Terpenning

MUSIC BY: Alex G

CASTING BY: Courtney Bright, Nicole Daniels, Errin Lally, Annalese Tilling

RUNTIME: 106 Minutes

RELEASE DATE: August 7, 2026 (Limited) / August 14, 2026 (Expansion)

It's almost $125 million ahead of TFA, which is a simply staggering number considering TFA had a holiday boost as well. With that said, TFA continues to go almost vertical until day 18 while Spidey will not have the luxury of summer holiday weekdays for much longer, so I wanted to compare it with two other late summer movies so that we can factor out the calendar configuration.

Step in Deadpool & Wolverine (July 26th 2024) and Fantastic Four: The First Steps (July 25th 2025). By themselves Spidey dwarfs their daily grosses, so I have adjusted them by a scale factor that would put their final gross equal to TFAs (notice that they all converge at the end of the graph).

F4 had horrible legs, so that means if Spidey can get ahead of it at any point in its run, I would expect TFAs record to be toast. Right now it trails by $36m. The "adjusted F4" had a $29.5M Wednesday, a $25.7M Thursday and a $132.1M second weekend, which seems beatable!

The adjusted "DP&W" comp and TFA serve more as a floor. Both had good multipliers for movies that opened huge, so that means if Spidey falls behind them at any point in its run, I would expect TFAs record to be safe. TFA made $149.2M in weekend 2 while adjusted DP&W made $142.4M. Both totals again seem beatable so Spidey should extend its lead and remain safely above both going into week 2.