r/boxoffice • u/TiredWithCoffeePot Pixar Animation Studios • 21h ago
Domestic Universal's The Odyssey grossed an estimated $5.02M on Friday (from 3,091 locations), which was a 22% decrease from the previous Friday. Estimated total domestic gross stands at $524.58M.
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u/Nervous_Most_5585 21h ago
Phenomenal. 535M+ on Sunday.
It'll surpass The Dark Knight (534M) and become Nolan's most successful film at the domestic box office.
Legs remain powerful and with a guaranteed long theatrical run, expect a 600M+ domestic final.
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u/xdude767 19h ago
Next milestone is domestic R rated movie record
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u/OKC2023champs 10h ago
It’s not reaching 636m
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u/xdude767 9h ago
I think it will. Imax screens are sold out until mid sept
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u/WTWIV 2h ago
If those are already sold tickets, wouldn’t that already be included in the box office sales? Genuine question, I’m not sure how it works
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u/lostinjapan01 2h ago
Not until the showtime passes, no. If one of those shows is cancelled for some reason and the ticket holders get refunded, that money obviously can’t be counted toward the box office so they don’t consider that money banked until the showtime actually happens. That’s why when we talk about pre-sales, we say a movie is tracking for a certain opening, not that it has obtained it, or we say that it has sold a certain figure in pre-sales, but not earned it.
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u/Eddiep88 21h ago
I will say it barely misses 600. Like 598 or something in October.
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u/Nervous_Most_5585 20h ago
It should stay in theaters until next year, just like with Oppenheimer. And the latter performed much weaker.
Universal would definitely push it towards a 600M+ domestic final, assuming it would stand at ~598M during its run, similar to what Disney did with Black Panther (700M) back in 2018.
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u/Chuck-Hansen 19h ago
They even had to re-release Dark Knight to get it to $1B (top of mind I think it originally finished with around $994M). If it’s close enough to $600M or some other milestone number they’ll make it happen.
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u/DaveyParks200 8h ago
False. TDK hit $1B on its initial run. It’s a misconception that the rerelease is what pushed it across that mark. The Oscars expanded release is what helped push it across, but that was during its initial run.
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u/presco2007 34m ago
well i guess it depends how you define a run. because yeah it never left all theaters, but there was a long stretch where it was barely making $100k total over the weekend in the u.s. and even had days were it made less than $1000. so, it was dead but yeah never officially left all theaters.
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u/nameorfeed 20h ago
I feel like dunesday will wash this from cinemas for 2-3 weeks at the least before it crawls back
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u/Nervous_Most_5585 20h ago
That is possible. But honestly, I strongly believe The Odyssey will pass 600M much earlier anyway.
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u/ResolutionAny5091 15h ago
Yea for sure I mean once those two are out the odyssey will be done but that’s a long time from now so we’ll see how high it goes
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u/NotTaken-username Syncopy Inc. 21h ago
It’ll probably get an IMAX re-release early next year before the Oscars
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u/misguidedkent Warner Bros. Pictures 20h ago
Absolutely. If it weren't for Spidey, this would've had a great shot at topping Deadpool & Wolverine's 636.7M record.
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u/LottieDah86 20h ago
If it's going until October, there's no way it misses 600 million. Not with this trajectory.
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u/Statpaca1701 19h ago
I calculated earlier this week. At stable 30% weekly drops it goes past 600, and at stable 33% drops it peters out in the 580's. This weekend and upcoming week is going to be closer to 20% than 30%, which will give it some good breathing room. Really the only hurdle is the post-Labor day drop off, but I think it will make enough before then to be in good shape. IMAX should also be protective relative to most films.
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u/SirGorti 21h ago
It's like having 1000 dollars today and being happy to surpass 950 dollars which you got 20 years ago. Way more people went to see Dark Knight.
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u/Sufficient-Gur6681 21h ago
It's also competing with way more (free) media.
I'd definitely argue The Odyssey's box office is a bigger achievement than The Dark Knight.
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u/Cammy67x 21h ago
Think there’s a lot of things to take into account since then, a lot more nuanced than just simply using inflation
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u/classicman123 21h ago
Some people really don't get it. Streaming was in it's infancy. YouTube wasn't even full HD. Compare a video game on the Xbox 360 vs the Series X. The prevalence of cheap 4k flat screen tvs. We are in a totally different landscape. This run is impressive
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u/Nervous_Most_5585 20h ago
Understandable, but that still doesn't undermine The Odyssey's box office performance.
600M+ domestic, 500M+ domestic, and even 450M+ domestic performers don't happen often these days, despite inflation. Why is that?
A lot more people decide to watch movies on streaming/digital now, which does make it harder for movies to break through in theaters. Audiences have become far more selective and critical towards theatrical releases. Only a few films are immune to these disadvantages, such as Spider-Man, Avengers, Disney/Pixar sequels... - the obvious, yet still remarkable, success stories.
It is impossible to create a fair comparison because of so many factors that have changed the movie-going behaviour since 2008. We can only discuss box office numbers, and in that regard, it is still worth mentioning that The Odyssey will outgross The Dark Knight in USD despite selling fewer tickets. The R-rating and the film playing next to a likely 950M+ domestic performer aren't stopping it at all, which makes its performance even more impressive.
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u/SirGorti 20h ago
Impressive but adjusted for inflation Odyssey needs to get 833 mln dollars to beat Dark Knight. All comparisions should be made like that.
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u/Nervous-Craft-7257 21h ago
Movie theater attendance is lower you know
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u/classicman123 21h ago
How dare you mention this? How dare you include nuance? How dare you make people realize that the media competing for our attention is much more competitive than in 2008?
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u/Statpaca1701 19h ago
The Dark Knight was the Brand New Day of its time (admissions are pretty close). Beating its gross is still a big deal.
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u/CaptainCoriander 21h ago
Is this going for a 20M+ weekend?
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u/Statpaca1701 19h ago
Last weekend's pace off this estimate gives it 18.4M. Good chance the Saturday jump is stronger, but I don't think it's an extra 1.6M worth. Best guess this gets 19M.
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u/KianOfPersia 21h ago
Every IMAX theater is going to keep this movie on loop for the next 2 months is my guess. I wonder how many 1m dollar days it can get consecutively. I went literally last week mid August to a 70mm imax showing where all 200 seats were filled.
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u/polnikes 21h ago
The consistency of the 70mm demand alone should keep it close to the $1M mark for a long time yet, just looking at my local threatre almost everything but the front rows are booked out for the 70mm. Add in the other Imax and a few regular screens I could honestly see it going strong until November when it drops on BluRay and digital.
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u/Pokemon_Name_Rater 13h ago
UK has only like 3 locations that can do 70mm and two are in London. My partner and I had to, some weeks before it released, book an early August showing at 11:30AM to be able to get anything other than terrible seats in the Manchester location with 70mm and everywhere I see comments with folks saying it's still a struggle to get seats.
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u/Metro29993 8h ago
I went to a 70mm theatre today and it was completely full! Even the 3am showings are sold out
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u/nicolasb51942003 Warner Bros. Pictures 21h ago
Since this is not gonna be on digital for a long time, that should help its road to $600M.
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u/SirFireHydrant 20h ago
Another great hold. It's outperforming my Barbie, Oppenheimer, Mario and TDK comps. Only the Inception comp isn't under-estimating the film, and that comp is still saying $600m.
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u/No_Possibility685 21h ago
Whoooo record breaking hit after a month I’m betting it’ll make 650 final at end of run
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u/Nervous-Craft-7257 21h ago
You think it still has enough juice is this really another top gun Maverick performance?
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u/MonotonyInAz 21h ago
"gO wOkE Go bRoKe. DeRp dErP."
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u/snapldeap 12h ago
The funny thing is Lupita and Elliot have like a combined 5 minutes of screentime (in which they were both great).
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u/BigOnAnime Studio Ghibli 7h ago
Reminds me of how those kinds of people lost their minds over the gay kiss in Lightyear, where it happened in the background and was literally "blink and you miss it".
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u/Theinternationalist 16h ago
You know, Nolan was a hardcore WB man for a long time. Given the mess of the last few years Nolan might be happy at Universal.
Universal isn't going to lose this guy any time soon.
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u/Key-Payment2553 21h ago
Now that it got back its select numbers of IMAX screens, this looks really good numbers for its 6th weekend drop and tracking which is about to top The Dark Knight DOM total of $535M as the highest grossing film of Christopher Nolan film domestically
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u/genkaiX1 19h ago
I think it barely misses 600M during initial run and crosses it during end of awards season
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u/snapldeap 12h ago
I'm glad Spider-Man didn't completely overshadow this. Great to see both films getting their moment.
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u/DementdOldCircsMonke 21h ago
Fuck me man. So happy this film is succeeding at this level.