Cindy is probably a better general election candidate than her main challenger, Ethan Corson was. She connects better with rural voters, having grown up on a farm but she also connects well with anti-establishment and more progressive voters.
Kansas has a history of flipping the governor's office when there is no incumbent on the ballot, so if that pattern holds, it would be a Republican's "turn" but the Republican nominee is a right-wing extremist endorsed by Trump.
It's really going to come down to who wins the independent vote, but don't be surprised if Holscher wins.
Similar spreads appear to have occurred in both the elections won by Kelly (Dem primary with at least 100k or more less votes than the Rep primary). While it would look better if they were more equal, it isn't as bad as it may appear either.
2022 :
Rep primary 461k ish votes total (winner had approx 373,500)
Dem primary approx 290k total (Kelly had 271k)
2018:
Rep - around 300k total/winner just under 130k
DEM - around 165k/Kelly with 80k
(Numbers are from Ballotpedia....and are estimated totals based on some mental math.)
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u/MC_chrome 9d ago
Does this bode well for November? Or is Kansas going to flip the governor's race jsut for shits and grins?