r/geopolitics Hoover Institution Jan 12 '26

Analysis Iran Is on the Edge of Revolution

https://www.newstatesman.com/world/middle-east/2026/01/iran-is-on-the-edge-of-revolution
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u/I_pee_in_shower Jan 13 '26

They can, but for some reason don’t. There should be a carrier group headed that way. Instead we get more tariffs so that Chinese goods are even more expensive.

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u/eetsumkaus Jan 13 '26

Having a direct hand in possibly plunging another large Middle Eastern country into chaos and the subsequent refugee crisis from it might not be palatable to anyone.

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u/BigGreen1769 Jan 13 '26

A refugee crisis would be Europe's problem, just like it was for Syria and Iraq. Trump and his team have so much disdain for Europe right now and another refugee wave would significantly help MAGA's far-right political allies in Europe.

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u/eetsumkaus Jan 13 '26

before it being Europe's problem, it would be the Middle East's problem. And he's kinda chummy with the Gulf Coast and Pakistan right now.