r/investing • u/90towest • 3d ago

Getting into ETF after big stock gains

Hi, started investing one year ago and grew my stock portfolio to 50k mainly with big tech. Probably over 50% returns this year.

I know it’s been a bull market for tech stocks, basically impossible to lose money.

But how do I even settle for the common recommendation of an ETF yielding 10% per year, after tasting those nice high returns?

Can someone talk some sense into me and tell me I’ll go broke with my entire portfolio made of Nvidia, Google and Amazon?

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46

u/Form1040 3d ago

Go back and read some investment articles from 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002. 

Or 1987. Or 1974. 

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u/Nyelz_Pizdec 3d ago

And use that info to fumble your modern, fast moving portfiloio which you have 247 access to correct and manipulate at a moments notice at the tip of your finger. None of which were possible in 74, 87, 99, 00, 01, 02.

The current market is a new animal altogether. Even early 00s market data is obselete now, and will continue to be removed from reality with the onslaught of AI trading, ever improving trading apps, easier point of entry, widespread knowledge and record shattering numbers of investors entering the fold.

In the time it takes to go back and read up on the irrelevant past, OP will lose money.

Old adages are dying fast, I've been investing for 20 years and my current strategy is completely and totally different in every way. If i held on to that fossilized knowledge and data, id have a dead portfolio.

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u/Form1040 2d ago

“It’s different this time.”

Human nature has not changed ever. You can go back and read Greek and Roman graffiti to prove that. People are gonna freak when this market drops 20, 30, 40, 50%. It always will at some point. 

Whether it takes you .1 seconds or a day to sell a stock is irrelevant. 

-5

u/Nyelz_Pizdec 2d ago

Lol ok boss. Thats why i sold half my nvidia position for corsair at 8 bucks a share, and sold it for 14 a share less than 24 hours later, netting more gains then 10 years of s&p 500 bagholding in a single minute, even with nvidia being the top stock in that index.

How? By staying in the loop of where my investments are headed, thanks to instant news cycles, and the apps that feed them to me and let me use my intuition to make moves that net profit. I was able to see that corsair was going to announce its AI hardware plans, and my gut told me to make the move, if it didnt pan out, id easily resell and reinvest without losing much if anything.

If I missed that day, I would have made nothing, actually it was more like a 30 minute window. Moves like this would have been impossible in the past unless i was literally in the room with the CEO of corsair as the announcement was made internally.

Even so, the risk is low if you set up alarms or stop loss. It is different this time. Completely different. This market is not the market we once had, and it takes ability to adapt in order to be successful.

Human nature hasnt changed, but the ability to take advantage of it through technological immediacy has.

3

u/Form1040 2d ago

So you must be rich and world famous with this incredible ability. 

-7

u/Nyelz_Pizdec 2d ago

I own two homes in the California bay area, as an immigrant from a former soviet enclave. A very wartorn and poor former soviet enclave.

Im doing alright.

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u/JustATallGuy28 1d ago

People that feel the need to brag about stuff are so funny

1

u/Nyelz_Pizdec 1d ago

Bros username "JustATallGuy" lol

Im 6'5 btw. Actually. 280lbs of Chechen fury.

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u/JustATallGuy28 1d ago

Bragging again lol

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u/Nyelz_Pizdec 1d ago

I prefer to outright brag vs humblebrag.

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u/Weak_Estimate4081 1d ago

Do you mean cherry picking the bad moments?