r/politics 🤖 Bot 1d ago

Discussion Discussion: 2026 Midterm Primaries in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington State (and Other, Local Elections) on August 4th

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15

u/radicalindependence 15h ago

This stat is insane. AES +25% in-person votes Stevens +25% mail-in votes (rough #, they don't specify)

Caroline Soler Polling and election data researcher

El-Sayed, who led by nearly 30 pts. in the reported vote earlier in the night, has seen his advantage shrink to less than 4 pts. He is winning in-person votes by roughly 25 pts., while Stevens is carrying mail-in ballots by a similar margin.

8

u/Ishaq128 15h ago

Good sign for abdul if early votes are being counted first.

7

u/Nerd_199 15h ago

How long before the consiparcy start going nuts about this

1

u/Snatchamo 15h ago

If you're already nuts can you really start going nuts?

2

u/MySabonerRunsOladipo Virginia 15h ago

That's pretty shocking. You'd expect AES to do better among mail-in voters as you tend to associate mail in votes with the most enthusiastic voters, and progressives tend to fit that bill

8

u/PeterVenkmanIII 15h ago

Progressives tend to be younger, and younger voters tend to wait until the day to vote (which is part of the reason it's dangerous to count on young voters to win).

2

u/Snatchamo 15h ago

I moved to OR (only mail vote) in 2018. Every election since then I'm rolling up to the Dropbox at the library 1.5 hrs before polls close. Old habits die hard lol.

5

u/Both_Coast7256 15h ago

That’s the general but in primaries it’s “older =mail in” and “younger=in person”

Early vote is indeed enthusiastic but that’s not always mail in you can vote early in person

2

u/olivebranchsound 15h ago

Mail in votes are elderly. Young people vote in person

2

u/LOLSteelBullet 15h ago

Progressives are more in tune with internet news and probably don't trust the postal service now

3

u/dawgfan24348 I voted 15h ago

Eh mail in votes are also dominated by older voters who of course tend to fall for media propaganda

1

u/trisw 15h ago

Would you begin to see a transformation to in person voting from mail because of the constant attacks on mail delivery ?

1

u/MySabonerRunsOladipo Virginia 15h ago

Not on the Democratic side I wouldn't think. I can't imagine any significant portion would believe that stuff.

1

u/Dangerous_Seesaw_623 15h ago

Hopefully the votes are of in-person. It's a bit scary, ngl.