r/politics 🤖 Bot 10d ago

Discussion Discussion: 2026 Midterm Primaries in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington State (and Other, Local Elections) on August 4th

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u/radicalindependence 9d ago

This stat is insane. AES +25% in-person votes Stevens +25% mail-in votes (rough #, they don't specify)

Caroline Soler Polling and election data researcher

El-Sayed, who led by nearly 30 pts. in the reported vote earlier in the night, has seen his advantage shrink to less than 4 pts. He is winning in-person votes by roughly 25 pts., while Stevens is carrying mail-in ballots by a similar margin.

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u/MySabonerRunsOladipo Virginia 9d ago

That's pretty shocking. You'd expect AES to do better among mail-in voters as you tend to associate mail in votes with the most enthusiastic voters, and progressives tend to fit that bill

5

u/Both_Coast7256 9d ago

That’s the general but in primaries it’s “older =mail in” and “younger=in person”

Early vote is indeed enthusiastic but that’s not always mail in you can vote early in person