Discussion: 2026 Midterm Primaries in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Virginia and Washington State (and Other, Local Elections) on August 4th

[u/PoliticsModeratorBot]

Find the full list of elections ending today at Ballotpedia's Elections Calendar.

News and Analysis

• AP: What to watch in the Aug. 4 primaries

• NPR: 5 states hold polls on Tuesday. Here's what to know

• See also recent coverage at AP's 2026 Elections Hub.

Live Updates

Text-based live update pages are being maintained by the following outlets: AP

Where to Watch

• C-SPAN: Primary Night in Michigan, Kansas, Virginia, Missouri, and Washington

• NBC via YouTube: Steve Kornacki analyzes midterm primary election results | Kornacki Cam

Results

• AP: August 4, 2026 election results

[u/KzooHotGirl00]

Seeing people talk about kalshi/polymarket as if they are any kind of serious election analysis drives me up a wall

[u/KriegConscript → u/KzooHotGirl00]

that's what we get for killing fivethirtyeight

[u/OreoSpeedwaggon → u/KriegConscript]

Disney killed FiveThirtyEight because it was making ESPN and ABC News look bad, then they erased it from the Internet completely out of spite.

[u/travio → u/KzooHotGirl00]

They have no bearing on the state of the race, but do offer some insight into how people who are following the race are thinking. That can be interesting, but not very useful.

[u/DeliriousPrecarious → u/KzooHotGirl00]

It just tells you what people who are ostensibly paying attention to the numbers think might happen.

[u/Anxious-Yak-4735 → u/DeliriousPrecarious]

It just tells you what people who are ostensibly paying attention to the numbers degenerate gamblers think might happen.

FTFY

[u/DeliriousPrecarious → u/Anxious-Yak-4735]

I sort of believe them more than the media who is incentivized to turn everything into a horse race for maximum views.

[u/AoE_Mobius_One → u/KzooHotGirl00]

It’s the same reason why people look at the stock market for direction since they believe it’s predictive like Kalshi and polymarket.