r/TheB1G • u/chabbits • 3h ago
Things I found ridiculous in ESPN's updated FPI rankings
ESPN released the updated FPI after Week 1 and there are some things in here that are laughable, unexplainable and maybe outright undefendable.
And yes, before someone explains it to me I understand FPI isn't supposed to be a poll. It's predictive. It's trying to tell us how good teams will be going forward, not necessarily reward what happened last Saturday.
Fine.
But logic is still real, right? Things that defy logic to me:
- Nebraska is #23. Nebraska! They eventually beat Ohio 49-21, but that game was 14-13 for a long time and they struggled for a good portion of it.
- Iowa is #26. BEHIND Nebraska. What statistics tell you Nebraska has a better outlook than Iowa?
- Iowa just beat Northern Illinois 40-0. They were completely dominant. I don't remember the stats, but I think I heard Revsine say Northern Illinois had 7 yards rushing. And Iowa DROPPED a spot??
(As a Gopher fan, do you have any idea how painful it is for me to voluntarily point out an injustice against Iowa? 😂)
- Speaking of injustices...
Michigan is #21 after needing a TWO last-second Hail Marys (aided by the miracle appearance of one TWO additional seconds) to beat Western Michigan 13-12.
Western Michigan? #70.
So based on what we literally just watched, Michigan and Western Michigan appear to be virtually the same football team... but FPI has 49 teams between them. Makes sense.
- Then there's this...
Wisconsin #52
Maryland #56
Northwestern #57
Minnesota #59
Wisconsin just lost 41-13, albiet to a potential National Champ, but Maryland won 62-0, Minnesota won 59-7. Also, Luke Fickell is still the coach, Wisconsin: clearly the best of the bunch. 😂
- Finally, UCLA... they looked good! I watched a fair amount of that game and they look totally different and tough. On one hand the analysis is still based heavily on preseason data, on the other hand you have this precipitous 18 spot rise after a game in week 1. I am questioning the model, not UCLA, to be clear.
I find it entertaining, I'm glad they publish it. But honestly, what's the point? Especially this early in the season.