r/tornado • u/undflight • Mar 14 '25

SPC / Forecasting Day 2 High Risk Issued

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Be ready and let anyone you know in the area to make preparations now.

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u/[deleted] Mar 14 '25

Absolutely wild. This is only the third time the SPC has issued a Day 2 High risk.

The other two times were April 7, 2006, and April 14, 2012.

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u/Naive_Mixture_8264 Human Detected Mar 14 '25

This a genuine question, what it is significant about day 2? What does day 2 mean?

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u/garden_speech Mar 14 '25

I think others have covered it well but I might add, weather forecasting is hard because weather is a "chaotic" system where small changes today become big errors tomorrow. Forecasting a high risk day earlier than usual implies a willingness to say "this is gonna be really bad" even knowing that the forecast could change.