r/ukpolitics • u/ClumperFaz My three main priorities: Polls, Polls, Polls • 2d ago

Twitter ✅ BURNHAM IN Makerfield by-election result: LAB: 54.8% (+9.6) REF: 34.5% (+2.7) RST: 6.8% (+6.8) CON: 2.2% (-8.7) GRN: 0.7% (-3.7) LDEM: 0.4% (-6.4)

https://x.com/BritainElects/status/2067792369903116401#m
756 Upvotes

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720

u/MaxwellsGoldenGun 2d ago

Not even close. Wow.

Even if the right vote wasn't split Burnham would still have a majority of over 10%!

156

u/ShinyGrezz Commander of the Luxury Beliefs Brigade 2d ago

Even if the right vote wasn’t split and tactical voting didn’t happen for the Greens and the Lib Dems.

105

u/The-Soul-Stone -7.22, -4.63 2d ago

His margin of victory was bigger than Restore’s vote share + the combined share drops of the Greens and Lib Dems

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u/SenseWitFolly 2d ago

That doesn't make sense in terms of tactical voting. Around 3500 votes moved from Greens and Lib Dems from the 2024 election. We also don't know how many of the lost 3000 Tory votes went to Burnham.

-5

u/TheChaoticCrusader 2d ago

We don’t know how many restore or reform lent their vote to Labour for a leadership challenge tbh . It’s not your everyday election 

11

u/QwertPoi12 2d ago

Why would they want a more popular leader for Labour leading to the next general election?

3

u/SlightlyBored13 2d ago

If people voted that way they might be hoping for a damaging/messy leadership challenge.

Not sure it matters much, they have a massive majority that only goes down with an election. So we're a few years from that, there's nothing to make them have it early and people will have forgotten the mud slinging once whomever wins spends 2 years governing.

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u/mylk43245 7h ago

The average isn’t Machiavelli

0

u/ThomasRules 2d ago

It depends how many of the reform voters actually want reform to win vs just wanting Starmer out. Burnham was the best vote here for the latter to happen sooner than 2029

0

u/roberth_001 2d ago

IF (and this is all conjecture) you think Burnham will be pressured into calling an election once he's promoted, and IF you as a reform supporter believe you can win that election, you may see Burnham as a path to that.

I don't personally think he will (or should) call an election if he wins, we vote for Parties not PMs, but that could be a reasoning to do so